† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLakevilleMinnesotaUnited States
German31.3%29.2%12.5%
Irish12.6%9.9%9.4%
Norwegian11.5%12.1%—
English8.3%6.6%9.5%
Swedish6.0%6.5%—
Polish3.8%3.7%2.2%
Italian3.0%—4.8%
American2.8%2.3%5.3%
Mexican3.9%3.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.3%1.8%
Salvadoran0.4%0.2%0.7%
Venezuelan0.2%——
Asian Indian1.6%0.8%1.4%
Vietnamese0.8%0.4%0.6%
Filipino0.7%0.2%0.9%
Chinese0.6%0.5%1.3%
Hmong0.6%1.7%—
Korean0.5%0.2%0.4%
Cambodian0.5%——
African American†3.3%3.8%9.9%
Somali1.2%1.1%—
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
Ethiopian0.6%0.5%—
Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%
Kenyan0.3%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lakeville
Minnesota
United States
Median age
36.8
39
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
10.9%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lakeville
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$139,041
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
2.9%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
50.6%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lakeville
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.2%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.3%
4.2%
13.6%
Vietnamese
1.1%
0.4%
0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.0%
2.3%
1.1%
Other languages
3.0%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lakeville
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lakeville, Minnesota
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−17.8%
2008
−10.1%
2012
−14.4%
2016
−11.7%
2020
−1.0%
2024
−0.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
48.6%Harris21,628
49.0%Trump21,787
2.4%
R+0.4
D+0.6
D+1.1
44,491
R
48.4%Biden20,252
49.4%Trump20,653
2.2%
R+1.0
D+10.8
R+5.4
41,838
R
39.8%Clinton13,567
51.5%Trump17,573
8.7%
R+11.7
D+2.6
R+13.8
34,107
R
41.7%Obama13,424
56.1%Romney18,049
2.2%
R+14.4
R+4.2
R+18.2
32,177
R
44.1%Obama13,370
54.3%McCain16,445
1.6%
R+10.1
D+7.7
R+17.4
30,298
R
40.9%Kerry11,961
58.8%Bush17,173
0.3%
R+17.8
—
R+15.4
29,229
Lakeville has been one of Minnesota's fastest-expanding cities for two decades, drawing younger families from the Twin Cities metro whose shifting composition has made it a reliable bellwether for suburban swing-voter trends in Dakota County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 17.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.4 points.
A population of 74,354, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,041 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prior Lake and Savage.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Lakeville, Minnesota voted a near-tie (R+0.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,491 votes cast, 21,628 went Democratic and 21,787 went Republican.
How many people live in Lakeville, Minnesota?
Lakeville, Minnesota has a population of 74,354 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lakeville, Minnesota?
Median household income in Lakeville, Minnesota is $139,041 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Lakeville, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lakeville, Minnesota from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
