- Lead
- 3,354
- Total
- 52,439
- vs nation
- R+4.9
Minnesota 58th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,363
- Total
- 50,032
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Lead
- 4,139
- Total
- 45,185
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Lead
- 2,668
- Total
- 45,227
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Lead
- 1,169
- Total
- 44,130
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Lead
- 3,385
- Total
- 42,750
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Lead
- 2,237
- Total
- 35,316
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Lead
- 3,216
- Total
- 30,161
- vs nation
- D+2.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,4452024 5-year
- Population density
- 141 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 608 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $112,6042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 24, MN · twin score 88.6
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 58th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.4%
8,527 votes · D+29.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 62.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.7%
4,209 votes · R+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 67.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
23,965votes
45.7% of the vote · R+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 23,267 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,319votes
52.1% of the vote · R+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+14.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.8 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +12.8 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+25.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.2 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +20.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.1%25,433 | 44.9%20,763 | 46,196 |
| 2020 | D | 52.1%22,936 | 47.9%21,120 | 44,056 |
District 58 backed the 2024 Republican presidential candidate by 6.4 points, placing it among the competitive-to-safe Republican tier of Minnesota Senate seats that determine which party holds the chamber.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 85,445, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $112,604 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 24 and State Senate District 41.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 58th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.