† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupApple ValleyMinnesotaUnited States
German27.6%29.2%12.5%
Irish11.1%9.9%9.4%
Norwegian10.2%12.1%—
English7.4%6.6%9.5%
Swedish5.3%6.5%—
Polish3.4%3.7%2.2%
Italian2.6%—4.8%
American2.5%2.3%5.3%
African American†5.6%3.8%9.9%
Somali2.0%1.1%—
African1.0%0.5%0.5%
Ethiopian1.0%0.5%—
Nigerian0.4%0.2%0.2%
Kenyan0.4%0.2%—
Mexican4.5%3.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.3%1.8%
Salvadoran0.4%0.2%0.7%
Venezuelan0.2%——
Dominican0.2%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian1.5%0.8%1.4%
Vietnamese0.8%0.4%0.6%
Filipino0.7%0.2%0.9%
Chinese0.6%0.5%1.3%
Hmong0.6%1.7%—
Korean0.5%0.2%0.4%
Cambodian0.5%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Apple Valley
Minnesota
United States
Median age
39
39
39.1
Age 18–24
7.3%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.2%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Apple Valley
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$97,673
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.0%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
45.9%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Apple Valley
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.9%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
5.7%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.2%
0.8%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.0%
2.3%
1.1%
Other languages
4.8%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Apple Valley
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Apple Valley, Minnesota
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−2.1%
2008
+5.5%
2012
+4.8%
2016
+10.4%
2020
+21.9%
2024
+22.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
59.8%Harris19,366
37.4%Trump12,122
2.8%
D+22.4
D+0.5
D+23.8
32,385
D
59.7%Biden20,213
37.8%Trump12,803
2.4%
D+21.9
D+11.5
D+17.4
33,842
D
50.6%Clinton15,047
40.2%Trump11,955
9.2%
D+10.4
D+5.6
D+8.3
29,724
D
51.3%Obama15,262
46.5%Romney13,824
2.2%
D+4.8
R+0.6
D+1.0
29,737
D
51.9%Obama15,158
46.4%McCain13,560
1.7%
D+5.5
D+7.6
R+1.8
29,216
R
48.7%Kerry13,581
50.8%Bush14,172
0.5%
R+2.1
—
D+0.3
27,899
Apple Valley sits at the edge of the Minneapolis–Saint Paul metro's southern sprawl, where homeownership rates and family-household composition have historically made it a bellwether for suburban swing behavior in Dakota County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.4 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 2.1 points in 2004. The 2024 margin was 22.4 points.
A population of 55,679, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,673 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Eagan and Burnsville.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Apple Valley, Minnesota voted Democratic by 22.4 points (D+22.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 32,385 votes cast, 19,366 went Democratic and 12,122 went Republican.
When did Apple Valley, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Apple Valley, Minnesota voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Apple Valley, Minnesota?
Apple Valley, Minnesota has a population of 55,679 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Apple Valley, Minnesota?
Median household income in Apple Valley, Minnesota is $97,673 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Apple Valley, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Apple Valley, Minnesota from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
