HarrisDemocratic33.0%4,284TrumpRepublican64.7%8,400KennedyIndependent1.1%149
R+31.7- Lead
- 4,116
- Total
- 12,990
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 72.1%
Akashiccounty
Lyon County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.1% of 18,101 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.9%4,634TrumpRepublican61.9%7,979JorgensenLibertarian1.1%140
R+25.9- Lead
- 3,345
- Total
- 12,893
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Turnout
- 71.1%
ClintonDemocratic31.3%3,825TrumpRepublican59.4%7,256JohnsonLibertarian4.3%523
R+28.1- Lead
- 3,431
- Total
- 12,215
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 66.7%
ObamaDemocratic44.1%5,465RomneyRepublican53.2%6,594GRAYLibertarian1.3%156
R+9.1- Lead
- 1,129
- Total
- 12,388
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.1%6,110McCainRepublican49.7%6,315OtherAll other candidates2.2%283
R+1.6- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 12,708
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.8%5,292BushRepublican56.8%7,203OtherAll other candidates1.4%178
R+15.1- Lead
- 1,911
- Total
- 12,673
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.2%4,737BushRepublican53.0%6,087NaderGreen4.0%460
R+11.8- Lead
- 1,350
- Total
- 11,489
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.1%5,062DoleRepublican43.0%4,932PerotReform11.8%1,351
D+1.1- Lead
- 130
- Total
- 11,477
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,5032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,3032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Polk County, MN · twin score 87.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.1%13,058 participants ÷ 18,101 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.6%–57.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,367 | 18,536 | 66.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,084 | 18,467 | 54.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,948 | 18,220 | 71.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,857 | 18,072 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,058 | 18,101 | 72.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
66 precincts · 12,990 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-2MARSHALL W-2 | 981 | 1,458 | 62 | 2,501 | 39.2% | 58.3% | R+19.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-3MARSHALL W-3 | 800 | 1,153 | 53 | 2,006 | 39.9% | 57.5% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-1MARSHALL W-1 | 763 | 1,045 | 49 | 1,857 | 41.1% | 56.3% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -TRACYTRACY | 301 | 614 | 17 | 932 | 32.3% | 65.9% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -MINNEOTAMINNEOTA | 219 | 498 | 19 | 736 | 29.8% | 67.7% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -COTTONWOODCOTTONWOOD | 187 | 464 | 13 | 664 | 28.2% | 69.9% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE MARSHALL TWPLAKE MARSHALL TWP | 105 | 233 | 11 | 349 | 30.1% | 66.8% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -BALATONBALATON | 97 | 239 | 8 | 344 | 28.2% | 69.5% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -LYND TWPLYND TWP | 81 | 191 | 4 | 276 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW TWPFAIRVIEW TWP | 40 | 180 | 8 | 228 | 17.5% | 78.9% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -GHENTGHENT | 74 | 147 | 6 | 227 | 32.6% | 64.8% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -LYNDLYND | 56 | 136 | 8 | 200 | 28.0% | 68.0% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -RUSSELLRUSSELL | 41 | 149 | 2 | 192 | 21.4% | 77.6% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -ROCK LAKE TWPROCK LAKE TWP | 30 | 145 | 4 | 179 | 16.8% | 81.0% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -SODUS TWPSODUS TWP | 30 | 143 | 3 | 176 | 17.0% | 81.3% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -GRANDVIEW TWPGRANDVIEW TWP | 36 | 133 | 2 | 171 | 21.1% | 77.8% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -COON CREEK TWPCOON CREEK TWP | 35 | 118 | 2 | 155 | 22.6% | 76.1% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -CLIFTON TWPCLIFTON TWP | 35 | 108 | 8 | 151 | 23.2% | 71.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -STANLEY TWPSTANLEY TWP | 32 | 117 | 1 | 150 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -WESTERHEIM TWPWESTERHEIM TWP | 39 | 109 | 2 | 150 | 26.0% | 72.7% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -VALLERS TWPVALLERS TWP | 24 | 111 | 2 | 137 | 17.5% | 81.0% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -LYONS TWPLYONS TWP | 14 | 117 | 0 | 131 | 10.7% | 89.3% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -LUCAS TWPLUCAS TWP | 30 | 100 | 0 | 130 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -NORDLAND TWPNORDLAND TWP | 39 | 86 | 0 | 125 | 31.2% | 68.8% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -AMIRET TWPAMIRET TWP | 14 | 102 | 3 | 119 | 11.8% | 85.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -ISLAND LAKE TWPISLAND LAKE TWP | 23 | 91 | 3 | 117 | 19.7% | 77.8% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -EIDSVOLD TWPEIDSVOLD TWP | 25 | 86 | 3 | 114 | 21.9% | 75.4% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -CUSTER TWPCUSTER TWP | 42 | 68 | 3 | 113 | 37.2% | 60.2% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -SHELBURNE TWPSHELBURNE TWP | 23 | 88 | 2 | 113 | 20.4% | 77.9% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -MONROE TWPMONROE TWP | 22 | 81 | 4 | 107 | 20.6% | 75.7% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -TAUNTONTAUNTON | 24 | 39 | 3 | 66 | 36.4% | 59.1% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -GARVINGARVIN | 16 | 41 | 1 | 58 | 27.6% | 70.7% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -FLORENCEFLORENCE | 6 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
| Amiret Twp. Voting District27_270830005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Balaton Voting District27_270830010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clifton Twp. Voting District27_270830015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coon Creek Twp. Voting District27_270830020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cottonwood Voting District27_270830025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Custer Twp. Voting District27_270830030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eidsvold Twp. Voting District27_270830035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Twp. Voting District27_270830040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florence Voting District27_270830045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garvin Voting District27_270830050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ghent Voting District27_270830055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grandview Twp. Voting District27_270830060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Island Lake Twp. Voting District27_270830065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Marshall Twp. Voting District27_270830070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lucas Twp. Voting District27_270830075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynd Twp. Voting District27_270830085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynd Voting District27_270830080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyons Twp. Voting District27_270830090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-127_270830095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-227_270830105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-327_270830115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneota Voting District27_270830125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monroe Twp. Voting District27_270830130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nordland Twp. Voting District27_270830135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Lake Twp. Voting District27_270830140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Russell Voting District27_270830145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelburne Twp. Voting District27_270830150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sodus Twp. Voting District27_270830155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stanley Twp. Voting District27_270830160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taunton Voting District27_270830165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tracy Voting District27_270830170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vallers Twp. Voting District27_270830180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Westerheim Twp. Voting District27_270830185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −27.7% |
| 1896 | −8.9% |
| 1900 | −33.8% |
| 1904 | −70.5% |
| 1908 | −20.1% |
| 1912 | +20.7% |
| 1916 | +14.1% |
| 1920 | −53.4% |
| 1924 | −48.6% |
| 1928 | −10.6% |
| 1932 | +36.9% |
| 1936 | +31.0% |
| 1940 | +9.7% |
| 1944 | +12.3% |
| 1948 | +33.3% |
| 1952 | −19.7% |
| 1956 | −10.6% |
| 1960 | +7.9% |
| 1964 | +35.5% |
| 1968 | +9.9% |
| 1972 | −1.8% |
| 1976 | +16.7% |
| 1980 | −1.8% |
| 1984 | −14.1% |
| 1988 | −2.7% |
| 1992 | −0.9% |
| 1996 | +1.1% |
| 2000 | −11.8% |
| 2004 | −15.1% |
| 2008 | −1.6% |
| 2012 | −9.1% |
| 2016 | −28.1% |
| 2020 | −25.9% |
| 2024 | −31.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,431 |
| 2018 | 14,002 |
| 2020 | 15,094 |
| 2022 | 14,786 |
| 2024 | 15,811 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−197 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,854 in average income, against $83,995 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.6 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Lyon County, MN itself (R+31.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yellow Medicine County, MN41R+40.5
- Redwood County, MN32R+43.2
- Lincoln County, MN28R+37.7
- Hennepin County, MN24D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN52
- Minnehaha County, SD41
- Redwood County, MN39
- Murray County, MN31
- Lincoln County, SD31
- Ramsey County, MN28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −249 |
| 2012 | −398 |
| 2013 | −123 |
| 2014 | −204 |
| 2015 | −223 |
| 2016 | −157 |
| 2017 | −295 |
| 2018 | −569 |
| 2019 | −319 |
| 2021 | −36 |
| 2022 | −306 |
| 2023 | −149 |
| 2024 | +14 |
| 2025 | −197 |
Lyon County sits in southwest Minnesota's agricultural flatlands, where a farm-dependent economy and a predominantly white, non-college electorate have produced some of the state's most consistent Republican presidential margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.
A population of 25,503, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,303 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Polk County and Brown County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Polk County
Minnesota
87.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory≠ % Asian
Brown County
South Dakota
86.0twin score
elasticity% Catholicmedian age≠ French ancestry
Richland County
North Dakota
84.2twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% Catholic≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lyon County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lyon County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Lyon County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lyon County, Minnesota voted Republican by 31.7 points (R+31.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,990 votes cast, 4,284 went Democratic and 8,400 went Republican.
When did Lyon County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lyon County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lyon County, Minnesota?
Lyon County, Minnesota has a population of 25,503 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lyon County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Lyon County, Minnesota is $75,303 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Lyon County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lyon County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.