- Lead
- 1,880
- Total
- 11,428
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- 78.6%
Houston County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.6% of 14,610 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,481
- Total
- 11,440
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- 79.1%
- Lead
- 1,471
- Total
- 10,604
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- 73.0%
- Lead
- 330
- Total
- 10,446
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,163
- Total
- 10,883
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 355
- Total
- 11,082
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 10,167
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 479
- Total
- 9,450
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,6532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,8252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winneshiek County, IA · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.6%11,490 participants ÷ 14,610 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.6%–63.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,737 | 14,701 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,076 | 14,548 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,492 | 14,524 | 79.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,817 | 14,666 | 60.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,490 | 14,610 | 78.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
54 precincts · 11,428 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LA CRESCENT P-1LA CRESCENT P-1 | 731 | 713 | 27 | 1,471 | 49.7% | 48.5% | D+1.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LA CRESCENT P-2LA CRESCENT P-2 | 579 | 466 | 25 | 1,070 | 54.1% | 43.6% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -CALEDONIA P-2CALEDONIA P-2 | 317 | 515 | 16 | 848 | 37.4% | 60.7% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -LA CRESCENT TWPLA CRESCENT TWP | 327 | 381 | 9 | 717 | 45.6% | 53.1% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -LA CRESCENT P-3LA CRESCENT P-3 | 357 | 344 | 11 | 712 | 50.1% | 48.3% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct -SPRING GROVESPRING GROVE | 295 | 372 | 16 | 683 | 43.2% | 54.5% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -CALEDONIA P-1CALEDONIA P-1 | 228 | 424 | 15 | 667 | 34.2% | 63.6% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -HOUSTONHOUSTON | 175 | 362 | 13 | 550 | 31.8% | 65.8% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -MONEY CREEK TWPMONEY CREEK TWP | 118 | 253 | 11 | 382 | 30.9% | 66.2% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -CALEDONIA TWPCALEDONIA TWP | 117 | 257 | 7 | 381 | 30.7% | 67.5% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -MOUND PRAIRIE TWPMOUND PRAIRIE TWP | 147 | 208 | 4 | 359 | 40.9% | 57.9% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -BROWNSVILLEBROWNSVILLE | 155 | 162 | 5 | 322 | 48.1% | 50.3% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct -HOKAHHOKAH | 146 | 170 | 3 | 319 | 45.8% | 53.3% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -HOKAH TWPHOKAH TWP | 112 | 179 | 7 | 298 | 37.6% | 60.1% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -BROWNSVILLE TWPBROWNSVILLE TWP | 115 | 176 | 6 | 297 | 38.7% | 59.3% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -HOUSTON TWPHOUSTON TWP | 82 | 183 | 4 | 269 | 30.5% | 68.0% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -WILMINGTON TWPWILMINGTON TWP | 86 | 168 | 6 | 260 | 33.1% | 64.6% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -SPRING GROVE TWPSPRING GROVE TWP | 74 | 167 | 5 | 246 | 30.1% | 67.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -YUCATAN TWPYUCATAN TWP | 86 | 144 | 5 | 235 | 36.6% | 61.3% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -MAYVILLE TWPMAYVILLE TWP | 68 | 163 | 1 | 232 | 29.3% | 70.3% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -UNION TWPUNION TWP | 69 | 142 | 2 | 213 | 32.4% | 66.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -SHELDON TWPSHELDON TWP | 43 | 148 | 6 | 197 | 21.8% | 75.1% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -BLACK HAMMER TWPBLACK HAMMER TWP | 71 | 95 | 3 | 169 | 42.0% | 56.2% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -CROOKED CREEK TWPCROOKED CREEK TWP | 60 | 93 | 1 | 154 | 39.0% | 60.4% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -WINNEBAGO TWPWINNEBAGO TWP | 39 | 111 | 3 | 153 | 25.5% | 72.5% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -EITZENEITZEN | 37 | 112 | 1 | 150 | 24.7% | 74.7% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSON TWPJEFFERSON TWP | 33 | 39 | 2 | 74 | 44.6% | 52.7% | R+8.1 |
| Black Hammer Twp. Voting District27_270550005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brownsville Twp. Voting District27_270550015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brownsville Voting District27_270550010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caledonia P-127_270550020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caledonia P-227_270550025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caledonia Twp. Voting District27_270550030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crooked Creek Twp. Voting District27_270550035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eitzen Voting District27_270550040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hokah Twp. Voting District27_270550050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hokah Voting District27_270550045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Houston Twp. Voting District27_270550060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Houston Voting District27_270550055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Twp. Voting District27_270550065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Crescent P-127_270550070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Crescent P-227_270550075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Crescent P-327_270550076 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Crescent Twp. Voting District27_270550080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mayville Twp. Voting District27_270550085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Money Creek Twp. Voting District27_270550090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mound Prairie Twp. Voting District27_270550095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sheldon Twp. Voting District27_270550100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Grove Twp. Voting District27_270550110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Grove Voting District27_270550105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Twp. Voting District27_270550115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilmington Twp. Voting District27_270550120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winnebago Twp. Voting District27_270550125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yucatan Twp. Voting District27_270550130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.8% |
| 1896 | −34.6% |
| 1900 | −32.2% |
| 1904 | −54.8% |
| 1908 | −37.8% |
| 1912 | +3.7% |
| 1916 | −40.3% |
| 1920 | −73.2% |
| 1924 | −45.8% |
| 1928 | −30.1% |
| 1932 | +13.1% |
| 1936 | +7.5% |
| 1940 | −39.5% |
| 1944 | −37.1% |
| 1948 | −14.7% |
| 1952 | −48.9% |
| 1956 | −36.0% |
| 1960 | −21.9% |
| 1964 | +6.2% |
| 1968 | −22.7% |
| 1972 | −34.9% |
| 1976 | −11.1% |
| 1980 | −24.9% |
| 1984 | −23.1% |
| 1988 | −9.5% |
| 1992 | −1.0% |
| 1996 | +5.1% |
| 2000 | −5.7% |
| 2004 | −3.2% |
| 2008 | +10.7% |
| 2012 | +3.2% |
| 2016 | −13.9% |
| 2020 | −12.9% |
| 2024 | −16.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,653 |
| 2018 | 12,175 |
| 2020 | 12,939 |
| 2022 | 12,668 |
| 2024 | 13,341 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−23 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −662 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,824 in average income, against $80,935 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.4 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Houston County, MN itself (R+16.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- La Crosse County, WI169D+9.4
- Winona County, MN46R+4.9
- Fillmore County, MN22R+25.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- La Crosse County, WI160
- Winona County, MN39
- Fillmore County, MN28
- Hennepin County, MN21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −145 |
| 2012 | −138 |
| 2013 | −29 |
| 2014 | −99 |
| 2015 | −18 |
| 2016 | +2 |
| 2017 | −83 |
| 2018 | −111 |
| 2019 | +23 |
| 2021 | −1 |
| 2022 | −4 |
| 2023 | −12 |
| 2024 | −24 |
| 2025 | −23 |
Houston County hugs Minnesota's southeastern corner along the Mississippi River, a rural, agriculture-rooted area that has shifted steadily toward Republican margins over the past two decades, landing at R+16.4 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 73.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.5 points.
A population of 18,653, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,825 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winneshiek County and Steele County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Houston County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.