- Lead
- 1,841
- Total
- 5,906
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- 69.5%
Lake County, SD
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.5% of 8,556 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,613
- Total
- 5,873
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 1,724
- Total
- 6,786
- vs nation
- R+27.5
- Turnout
- 73.3%
- Lead
- 695
- Total
- 6,285
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 40
- Total
- 6,157
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 850
- Total
- 6,007
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 393
- Total
- 5,154
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 560
- Total
- 5,109
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,9722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,8082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winneshiek County, IA · twin score 88.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.5%5,948 participants ÷ 8,556 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +2.5 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.4%–67.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,011 | 9,566 | 73.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,284 | 9,872 | 53.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,966 | 9,939 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,082 | 8,839 | 57.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,948 | 8,556 | 69.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 5,906 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WARD 1WARD 1 | 550 | 753 | 31 | 1,334 | 41.2% | 56.4% | R+15.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WARD 2WARD 2 | 290 | 421 | 21 | 732 | 39.6% | 57.5% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -WARD 3WARD 3 | 280 | 422 | 13 | 715 | 39.2% | 59.0% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -WENTWORTH-RUTLANDWENTWORTH-RUTLAND | 174 | 420 | 8 | 602 | 28.9% | 69.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -LAKEVIEWLAKEVIEW | 211 | 372 | 6 | 589 | 35.8% | 63.2% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -CHESTER-FRANKLINCHESTER-FRANKLIN | 145 | 430 | 4 | 579 | 25.0% | 74.3% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -HERMAN-WINFREDHERMAN-WINFRED | 123 | 350 | 10 | 483 | 25.5% | 72.5% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -FARMINGTON-LEROY-CLARNO-ORLANDFARMINGTON-LEROY-CLARNO-ORLAND | 86 | 294 | 7 | 387 | 22.2% | 76.0% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -CONCORD-BADUS-WAYNE/RAMONACONCORD-BADUS-WAYNE/RAMONA | 81 | 191 | 5 | 277 | 29.2% | 69.0% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -NUNDA-SUMMITNUNDA-SUMMIT | 38 | 166 | 4 | 208 | 18.3% | 79.8% | R+61.5 |
| Chester-Franklin precinct46_460794301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concord-Badus-Wayne-Ramona Town precinct46_460794304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmington-LeRoy-Clarno-Orland precinct46_460794306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Herman-Winfred precinct46_460794305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeview precinct46_460794307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison ward 146_460794308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison ward 246_460794309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison ward 346_460794310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nunda-Summit-Nunda Town precinct46_460794303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wentworth-Rutland-Wentworth Village precinct46_460794302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −32.0% |
| 1896 | +7.2% |
| 1900 | −12.8% |
| 1904 | −67.0% |
| 1908 | −36.1% |
| 1912 | +33.5% |
| 1916 | −14.6% |
| 1920 | −58.0% |
| 1924 | −38.2% |
| 1928 | −27.1% |
| 1932 | +16.1% |
| 1936 | −11.0% |
| 1940 | −37.7% |
| 1944 | −31.4% |
| 1948 | −14.9% |
| 1952 | −46.6% |
| 1956 | −24.6% |
| 1960 | −22.6% |
| 1964 | +10.6% |
| 1968 | −10.9% |
| 1972 | −0.6% |
| 1976 | +7.3% |
| 1980 | −15.1% |
| 1984 | −12.2% |
| 1988 | +4.4% |
| 1992 | +8.9% |
| 1996 | +11.0% |
| 2000 | −7.6% |
| 2004 | −14.2% |
| 2008 | +0.6% |
| 2012 | −11.1% |
| 2016 | −25.4% |
| 2020 | −27.5% |
| 2024 | −31.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.1%1,785 | 74.9%5,324 | 7,109 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%4,717 | 4,717 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.8 points more Republican.
7,714 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−56 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,231 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $71,188 in average income, against $96,043 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.8 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Lake County, SD itself (R+31.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Minnehaha County, SD63R+12.7
- Brookings County, SD28R+17.4
- Lincoln County, SD25R+26.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Minnehaha County, SD103
- Lincoln County, SD20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +252 |
| 2012 | +117 |
| 2013 | +143 |
| 2014 | +158 |
| 2015 | +229 |
| 2016 | +244 |
| 2017 | +190 |
| 2018 | +245 |
| 2019 | −273 |
| 2021 | −148 |
| 2022 | +88 |
| 2023 | +88 |
| 2024 | −46 |
| 2025 | −56 |
Lake County anchors the Coteau des Prairies plateau in eastern South Dakota, where agricultural economies and a stable rural electorate have produced consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 25 points across the last four election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 67.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.2 points.
A population of 10,972, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,808 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winneshiek County and Winnebago County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lake County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.