HarrisDemocratic32.9%5,074TrumpRepublican64.3%9,904KennedyIndependent2.0%310
R+31.3- Lead
- 4,830
- Total
- 15,409
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- 69.6%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, SD
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.6% of 22,627 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.8%4,537TrumpRepublican63.3%8,753JorgensenLibertarian3.9%538
R+30.5- Lead
- 4,216
- Total
- 13,828
- vs nation
- R+34.9
- Turnout
- 67.5%
ClintonDemocratic28.3%3,356TrumpRepublican62.6%7,411JohnsonLibertarian7.9%934
R+34.2- Lead
- 4,055
- Total
- 11,842
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Turnout
- 61.0%
ObamaDemocratic35.0%3,973RomneyRepublican61.8%7,025OtherAll other candidates3.2%361
R+26.9- Lead
- 3,052
- Total
- 11,359
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.9%4,932McCainRepublican56.3%6,787OtherAll other candidates2.8%336
R+15.4- Lead
- 1,855
- Total
- 12,055
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.2%3,857BushRepublican64.5%7,489OtherAll other candidates2.3%273
R+31.3- Lead
- 3,632
- Total
- 11,619
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic29.7%2,797BushRepublican67.3%6,327OtherAll other candidates3.0%282
R+37.5- Lead
- 3,530
- Total
- 9,406
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic37.8%3,568DoleRepublican46.9%4,430PerotReform13.9%1,308
R+9.1- Lead
- 862
- Total
- 9,442
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,2332024 5-year
- Population density
- 34 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 800 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,3842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, NE · twin score 83.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.6%15,739 participants ÷ 22,627 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +7.5 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.1%–62.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,123 | 19,858 | 61.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,980 | 20,316 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,026 | 20,777 | 67.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,792 | 21,307 | 60.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,739 | 22,627 | 69.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Lawrence County, SD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
56.4%
2,905 votes · D+13.5
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 53.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
76.6%
5,559 votes · R+53.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 71.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,074votes
32.9% of the vote · R+31.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,932 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,904votes
64.3% of the vote · R+31.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,753 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+34.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.9 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +19.6 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+42.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.1 · U.S. R+10.8
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +39.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%10,481 | 10,481 |
| 2018 | R | 33.7%3,489 | 66.3%6,868 | 10,357 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+39.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+31.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.3 points more Democratic than the rolls.
22,948 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+786 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,028 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $93,281 in average income, against $100,494 for residents who stayed — 7% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.8 on average — 6.4 points more Republican-leaning than Lawrence County, SD itself (R+31.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pennington County, SD126R+26.4
- Butte County, SD92R+60.6
- Meade County, SD86R+50.9
- Maricopa County, AZ33R+3.5
- Minnehaha County, SD27R+12.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pennington County, SD156
- Butte County, SD116
- Meade County, SD108
- Maricopa County, AZ28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +99 |
| 2012 | +70 |
| 2013 | +546 |
| 2014 | −241 |
| 2015 | +89 |
| 2016 | +371 |
| 2017 | +236 |
| 2018 | +48 |
| 2019 | +110 |
| 2021 | +396 |
| 2022 | +1,036 |
| 2023 | +813 |
| 2024 | +669 |
| 2025 | +786 |
Home to Deadwood and Lead, Lawrence County sits in the Black Hills and has voted Republican by double-digit margins in every recent presidential cycle, reaching R+31 in 2024 despite a tourism-driven economy that draws visitors from across the country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.3 points.
A population of 27,233, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,384 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Beaverhead County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washington County
Nebraska
83.7twin score
2000 margin12-yr trendelasticity≠ median income
Beaverhead County
Montana
78.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000 margin≠ Italian ancestry
Pennington County
South Dakota
78.4twin score
2000 marginelasticity12-yr trend≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lawrence County
South Dakota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, South Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, South Dakota voted Republican by 31.3 points (R+31.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,409 votes cast, 5,074 went Democratic and 9,904 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, South Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, South Dakota voted Democratic was 1916.
How many people live in Lawrence County, South Dakota?
Lawrence County, South Dakota has a population of 27,233 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, South Dakota?
Median household income in Lawrence County, South Dakota is $73,384 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, South Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, South Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.