- Lead
- 4,830
- Total
- 15,409
- vs nation
- R+29.9
South Dakota 31st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,216
- Total
- 13,828
- vs nation
- R+34.9
- Lead
- 4,055
- Total
- 11,842
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Lead
- 3,052
- Total
- 11,359
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Lead
- 1,855
- Total
- 12,055
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Lead
- 3,632
- Total
- 11,619
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Lead
- 3,530
- Total
- 9,406
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Lead
- 862
- Total
- 9,442
- vs nation
- R+17.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,7682024 5-year
- Population density
- 32 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 800 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,3842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 9, MT · twin score 91.3
presidential history
Party record book
South Dakota 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 20 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
56.4%
2,905 votes · D+13.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 53.9%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
69.4%
5,949 votes · R+39.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,074votes
32.9% of the vote · R+31.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,932 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,904votes
64.3% of the vote · R+31.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,753 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
+34.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.9 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +19.6 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+39.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +38.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%9,917 | 9,917 |
| 2018 | R | 33.7%3,301 | 66.3%6,499 | 9,800 |
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+31.3 in 2024 and R+15.4 in 2008, switching sides at least once in between. About 27,200 residents lived here, with White alone at 90.4% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.3 points.
A population of 25,768, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,384 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 9 and State Senate District 28.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
South Dakota 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/46031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.