- Lead
- 3,241
- Total
- 27,338
- vs nation
- R+10.4
Minnesota State House District 54B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,039
- Total
- 26,365
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Lead
- 4,682
- Total
- 22,252
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Lead
- 4,482
- Total
- 21,257
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Lead
- 3,481
- Total
- 19,812
- vs nation
- R+24.8
- Lead
- 4,680
- Total
- 18,058
- vs nation
- R+23.5
- Lead
- 2,689
- Total
- 12,992
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Lead
- 54
- Total
- 9,638
- vs nation
- R+8.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8982024 5-year
- Population density
- 433 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 99.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $127,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 57A, MN · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 54B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
78.7%
1,339 votes · D+58.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · 69.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
72.1%
943 votes · R+46.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 62.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
11,751votes
43.0% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,379 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,992votes
54.8% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,418 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+56.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.2 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +40.3 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+34.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.9 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +24.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.8%11,840 | 50.2%11,956 | 23,796 |
| 2020 | R | 43.5%9,728 | 56.5%12,613 | 22,341 |
With fewer than 43,000 residents and an R+11.9 presidential margin in 2024, District 54B reflects the broader rural realignment seen across greater Minnesota over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 11.9 points.
A population of 42,898, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,885 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 57A and State House District 48A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 54B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2754B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.