- Lead
- 1,003
- Total
- 22,652
- vs nation
- D+5.9
Minnesota State House District 54A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,759
- Total
- 21,942
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Lead
- 627
- Total
- 18,783
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Lead
- 337
- Total
- 17,885
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Lead
- 275
- Total
- 16,814
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Lead
- 1,075
- Total
- 15,007
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 10,958
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Lead
- 1,433
- Total
- 8,534
- vs nation
- D+8.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,9922024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,535 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 28 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $106,0712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+68.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 55A, MN · twin score 83.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 54A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
84.0%
1,421 votes · D+68.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 79.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
62.3%
655 votes · R+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 53.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,559votes
52.7% of the vote · D+8.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,546 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,543votes
46.5% of the vote · D+4.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,800 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+70.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+53.4 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +50.9 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+15.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.5 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +5.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.8%11,866 | 50.2%11,983 | 23,849 |
| 2020 | R | 43.5%9,750 | 56.5%12,641 | 22,391 |
With roughly 43,000 residents, Minnesota House District 54A sits in a competitive suburban tier where a 4.4-point Democratic presidential lean in 2024 signals a district that neither party can take for granted.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 26.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.
A population of 42,992, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,071 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 55A and State House District 57B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 54A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2754A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.