akashic
1876–2024
State House District 53B·Minnesota

State House District 53B delivered D+11 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MN
Latest
D+11
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
15,541
2024 ACS

State House District 53B, Minnesota: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+11%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
15,5412024 5-year
Median household income
$111,3512024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.4%2024 5-year
Black
6.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1904MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+10.6%
5,0434,0589,325
D
+11.3%
5,0514,0059,277
D
+3.1%
3,8103,5618,101
D
+1.7%
3,9953,8588,019
D
+4.9%
4,0063,6287,777
R
−2.8%
3,5403,7437,359
R
−1.4%
2,8752,9616,168
D
+14.5%
2,6081,8625,142
D
+9.1%
2,1061,6405,105
D
+3.3%
2,0521,9184,005
R
−3.1%
1,6531,7613,436
D
+4.2%
1,4741,3413,184
D
+10.0%
1,5121,2292,821
R
−9.2%
9441,1402,132
D
+18.7%
9546401,678
D
+34.3%
1,0064911,501
D
+7.9%
6835831,270
R
−7.7%
430502934
R
−5.6%
427478909
D
+21.7%
445284741
O
+0.0%
308308619
D
+0.3%
341339683
D
+27.3%
349184605
D
+26.6%
339194545
R
−8.1%
242285530
R
−40.1%
36201411
R
−49.5%
83266370
R
−5.1%
8797196
O
+20.1%
6828199
R
−31.4%
63124194
R
−54.9%
37133175
R
−27.3%
69123198
R
−29.3%
85158249
D
+7.4%
10085204
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.9%
Irish
12.1%
English
7.5%
Polish
3.9%
Italian
3.3%
French
3.1%
American
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.6%
65–74
5.2%
6.6%
55–64
6.8%
6.3%
45–54
6.2%
7.1%
35–44
7.1%
6.1%
25–34
5.9%
4.0%
18–24
3.7%
9.3%
5–17
8.9%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$111,351
State House District 53B ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 53B$111,351
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
5.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 185.5%
Working age (18–64)5.1%
Seniors (65+)8.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.8%
speak English only
Spanish4.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.1%
Other languages2.5%
Other Indo-European2.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.1%
Mainline Protestant
14.2%
Other Christian
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Methodist
1.0%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

State House District 53B in the Upper Midwest delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the district by eleven points — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 15,541, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $111,351 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 53B, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2753B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 53B, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 53B, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.6 points (D+11), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,325 votes cast, 5,043 went Democratic and 4,058 went Republican.
What is State House District 53B, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 53B, Minnesota as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 14 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 53B, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 53B, Minnesota voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 53B, Minnesota?
State House District 53B, Minnesota has a population of 15,541 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 53B, Minnesota?
Median household income in State House District 53B, Minnesota is $111,351 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State House District 53B, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 53B, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.