- Lead
- 6,405
- Total
- 22,015
- vs nation
- D+30.6
Minnesota State House District 51B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,181
- Total
- 23,647
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Lead
- 4,345
- Total
- 21,457
- vs nation
- D+18.2
- Lead
- 2,306
- Total
- 21,975
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Lead
- 2,591
- Total
- 21,310
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Lead
- 554
- Total
- 21,044
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 391
- Total
- 18,785
- vs nation
- R+2.6
- Lead
- 1,081
- Total
- 16,898
- vs nation
- R+2.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,9472024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,771 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,0782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 51A, MN · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 51B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63.9%
15,111 votes · D+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 63.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
82.5%
1,225 votes · R+76.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 82.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,111votes
63.9% of the vote · D+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 13,890 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
10,147votes
48.2% of the vote · D+2.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 10,089 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+30.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +25.9 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+56.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+76.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +38.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.1%15,617 | 32.9%7,640 | 23,257 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+29.1, this dense metro district posts margins that place it among the most one-sided legislative constituencies in Minnesota, reflecting concentrated urban demographics and voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 76.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 42,947, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,078 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 51A and State House District 39B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 51B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2751B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.