- Lead
- 94
- Total
- 55,402
- vs nation
- D+1.6
Minnesota 48th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 53,347
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Lead
- 3,738
- Total
- 44,702
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Lead
- 6,035
- Total
- 42,253
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Lead
- 3,789
- Total
- 39,733
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 7,613
- Total
- 36,106
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Lead
- 5,223
- Total
- 27,933
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Lead
- 434
- Total
- 22,735
- vs nation
- R+6.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,6272024 5-year
- Population density
- 631 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 136 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $131,4972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 57, MN · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 48th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.4%
3,726 votes · D+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 62.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
85.4%
3,859 votes · R+74.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 76.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,043votes
48.8% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,303 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,949votes
48.6% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,774 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+14.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.8 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +8.3 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+62.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.7 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +59.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.7%22,284 | 57.3%29,881 | 52,165 |
Minnesota Senate District 48 ranks among the state's most evenly divided legislative districts, where a presidential margin of two-tenths of a point signals a constituency that neither party can take for granted.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 74.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 85,627, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,497 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 57 and State Senate District 37.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 48th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.