- Lead
- 15,240
- Total
- 53,639
- vs nation
- D+29.9
Minnesota 49th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 15,088
- Total
- 54,410
- vs nation
- D+23.3
- Lead
- 8,221
- Total
- 49,818
- vs nation
- D+14.4
- Lead
- 3,166
- Total
- 51,008
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Lead
- 3,908
- Total
- 49,579
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Lead
- 748
- Total
- 49,259
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Lead
- 2,661
- Total
- 44,164
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Lead
- 986
- Total
- 39,572
- vs nation
- R+6.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,3342024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,985 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 43 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $125,1942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 42, MN · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 49th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
62.8%
33,693 votes · D+28.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 62.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.7%
3,039 votes · R+69.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 72.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
34,138votes
62.7% of the vote · D+27.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 33,693 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
24,719votes
50.2% of the vote · R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 24,585 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+29.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +23.3 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.7 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +38.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.2%31,030 | 32.8%15,179 | 46,209 |
Minnesota 49th State Senate District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 69.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.4 points.
A population of 85,334, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $125,194 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 42 and State Senate District 50.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 49th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.