akashic
1876–2024
San Juan County, Washington
San Juan County·Washington

For forty years, San Juan County voted Republican. Then it stopped.

Island county posting one of Washington's widest presidential margins

18762024·38 elections
San Juan County, Washington · Konrad Roeder · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+51
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
18,478
2024 ACS
Most similar
Boulder County
CO · similarity 1.00
23 precincts · 13,006 votes cast
Harris · D+51
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+51.1%
9,5392,89013,006
2020D
+50.5%
9,7253,05713,197
2016D
+40.3%
7,1722,68811,134
2012D
+37.5%
7,1253,11110,692
2008D
+41.9%
7,3742,95810,531
2004D
+32.7%
6,5893,29010,104
2000D
+16.9%
4,4263,0058,424
1996D
+15.5%
3,6632,5237,354
1992D
+20.4%
3,3531,9017,117
1988D
+6.0%
3,0082,6605,814
1984R
−7.0%
2,5142,9005,526
1980R
−13.9%
1,6662,3635,031
1976R
−14.3%
1,4671,9983,722
1972R
−31.5%
9061,7862,795
1968R
−24.4%
6851,1641,963
1964D
+3.8%
9068391,750
1960R
−28.0%
6241,1121,740
1956R
−30.8%
5841,1051,693
1952R
−29.1%
6191,1331,766
1948R
−15.6%
6368811,575
1944R
−4.4%
6447031,354
1940D
+3.1%
8608081,675
1936D
+5.3%
7756901,595
1932D
+11.9%
7866071,501
1928R
−33.9%
4008141,220
1924R
−59.0%
867441,116
1920R
−51.0%
1968331,250
1916D
+5.6%
6695911,395
1912R
−2.4%
3113411,239
1908R
−45.7%
178581881
1904R
−57.3%
113554770
1900R
−26.3%
245428696
1896R
−17.0%
291411705
1892R
−19.2%
226348634
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Irish
1.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.9%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Non-Christian
0.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 76.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Juan County, reachable only by ferry or small plane, combines a tiny year-round population with a heavily educated, affluent resident base that has produced some of the most lopsided presidential margins in the Pacific Northwest.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in San Juan County peaked at fifty-one points in 2024; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1988 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of six points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. San Juan County's median household income of $84,800 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boulder County and Charlottesville city.