HarrisDemocratic70.7%17,459TrumpRepublican25.6%6,324KennedyIndependent1.2%306
D+45.1- Lead
- 11,135
- Total
- 24,698
- vs nation
- D+46.6
- Turnout
- 84.6%
Akashiccounty
Jefferson County, WA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 84.6% of 29,203 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic69.4%17,204TrumpRepublican28.0%6,931JorgensenLibertarian1.3%330
D+41.4- Lead
- 10,273
- Total
- 24,792
- vs nation
- D+37.0
- Turnout
- 91.1%
ClintonDemocratic60.6%12,656TrumpRepublican28.9%6,037JohnsonLibertarian3.6%746
D+31.7- Lead
- 6,619
- Total
- 20,879
- vs nation
- D+29.6
- Turnout
- 82.8%
ObamaDemocratic63.8%12,739RomneyRepublican32.1%6,405HonkalaGreen1.5%301
D+31.7- Lead
- 6,334
- Total
- 19,961
- vs nation
- D+27.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic66.3%13,252McCainRepublican31.7%6,330OtherAll other candidates2.0%409
D+34.6- Lead
- 6,922
- Total
- 19,991
- vs nation
- D+27.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic62.3%11,610BushRepublican35.7%6,650OtherAll other candidates2.1%390
D+26.6- Lead
- 4,960
- Total
- 18,650
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic52.3%8,281BushRepublican38.5%6,095NaderGreen7.8%1,241
D+13.8- Lead
- 2,186
- Total
- 15,833
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.6%7,145DoleRepublican32.6%4,607PerotReform9.8%1,385
D+18.0- Lead
- 2,538
- Total
- 14,119
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+45.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,5772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Juan County, WA · twin score 98.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 84.6%24,698 participants ÷ 29,203 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 68.3%–75.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,171 | 25,579 | 82.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 21,121 | 26,308 | 80.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,941 | 27,384 | 91.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 21,377 | 28,590 | 74.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,698 | 29,203 | 84.6% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
77 precincts · 24,698 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NORDLAND - 2401NORDLAND - 2401 | 590 | 239 | 31 | 860 | 68.6% | 27.8% | D+40.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND I - 1101PORT TOWNSEND I - 1101 | 745 | 80 | 26 | 851 | 87.5% | 9.4% | D+78.1 |
| Precinct -PORT LUDLOW IV - 3604PORT LUDLOW IV - 3604 | 520 | 256 | 21 | 797 | 65.2% | 32.1% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct -DISCOVERY BAY - 3206DISCOVERY BAY - 3206 | 496 | 263 | 29 | 788 | 62.9% | 33.4% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND IV - 1104PORT TOWNSEND IV - 1104 | 680 | 76 | 25 | 781 | 87.1% | 9.7% | D+77.3 |
| Precinct -KALA POINT - 2302KALA POINT - 2302 | 603 | 135 | 22 | 760 | 79.3% | 17.8% | D+61.6 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND VII - 1107PORT TOWNSEND VII - 1107 | 651 | 77 | 21 | 749 | 86.9% | 10.3% | D+76.6 |
| Precinct -PORT LUDLOW III - 3603PORT LUDLOW III - 3603 | 515 | 213 | 16 | 744 | 69.2% | 28.6% | D+40.6 |
| Precinct -PORT LUDLOW II - 3602PORT LUDLOW II - 3602 | 524 | 194 | 20 | 738 | 71.0% | 26.3% | D+44.7 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND II - 1102PORT TOWNSEND II - 1102 | 622 | 92 | 22 | 736 | 84.5% | 12.5% | D+72.0 |
| Precinct -PORT LUDLOW I - 3601PORT LUDLOW I - 3601 | 495 | 222 | 18 | 735 | 67.3% | 30.2% | D+37.1 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND V - 1105PORT TOWNSEND V - 1105 | 603 | 96 | 36 | 735 | 82.0% | 13.1% | D+69.0 |
| Precinct -CAPE GEORGE I - 2202CAPE GEORGE I - 2202 | 582 | 110 | 31 | 723 | 80.5% | 15.2% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -OAK BAY I - 2502OAK BAY I - 2502 | 441 | 234 | 35 | 710 | 62.1% | 33.0% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -CAPE GEORGE II - 2203CAPE GEORGE II - 2203 | 576 | 113 | 20 | 709 | 81.2% | 15.9% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND VI - 1106PORT TOWNSEND VI - 1106 | 602 | 80 | 26 | 708 | 85.0% | 11.3% | D+73.7 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND III - 1103PORT TOWNSEND III - 1103 | 601 | 72 | 32 | 705 | 85.2% | 10.2% | D+75.0 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND XI - 1111PORT TOWNSEND XI - 1111 | 624 | 50 | 31 | 705 | 88.5% | 7.1% | D+81.4 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND X - 1110PORT TOWNSEND X - 1110 | 591 | 79 | 18 | 688 | 85.9% | 11.5% | D+74.4 |
| Precinct -OAK BAY II - 3504OAK BAY II - 3504 | 412 | 256 | 12 | 680 | 60.6% | 37.6% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -PORT LUDLOW V - 3605PORT LUDLOW V - 3605 | 371 | 283 | 13 | 667 | 55.6% | 42.4% | D+13.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH JACOB - 1201NORTH JACOB - 1201 | 480 | 134 | 38 | 652 | 73.6% | 20.6% | D+53.1 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND IX - 1109PORT TOWNSEND IX - 1109 | 504 | 110 | 36 | 650 | 77.5% | 16.9% | D+60.6 |
| Precinct -CENTER - 3503CENTER - 3503 | 313 | 298 | 28 | 639 | 49.0% | 46.6% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -FOUR CORNERS I - 2204FOUR CORNERS I - 2204 | 431 | 170 | 32 | 633 | 68.1% | 26.9% | D+41.2 |
| Precinct -IRONDALE I - 2303IRONDALE I - 2303 | 402 | 208 | 21 | 631 | 63.7% | 33.0% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -QUILCENE - 3701QUILCENE - 3701 | 289 | 308 | 32 | 629 | 45.9% | 49.0% | R+3.0 |
| Precinct -IRONDALE II - 2304IRONDALE II - 2304 | 340 | 255 | 31 | 626 | 54.3% | 40.7% | D+13.6 |
| Precinct -GLEN COVE - 2301GLEN COVE - 2301 | 416 | 163 | 39 | 618 | 67.3% | 26.4% | D+40.9 |
| Precinct -COYLE - 3702COYLE - 3702 | 379 | 197 | 24 | 600 | 63.2% | 32.8% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -PORT TOWNSEND VIII - 1108PORT TOWNSEND VIII - 1108 | 454 | 123 | 21 | 598 | 75.9% | 20.6% | D+55.4 |
| Precinct -PORT HADLOCK - 2305PORT HADLOCK - 2305 | 336 | 233 | 24 | 593 | 56.7% | 39.3% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct -FOUR CORNERS II - 2205FOUR CORNERS II - 2205 | 364 | 186 | 23 | 573 | 63.5% | 32.5% | D+31.1 |
| Precinct -CHIMACUM - 2501CHIMACUM - 2501 | 347 | 190 | 32 | 569 | 61.0% | 33.4% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -BRINNON II - 3802BRINNON II - 3802 | 249 | 252 | 8 | 509 | 48.9% | 49.5% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -BRINNON I - 3801BRINNON I - 3801 | 233 | 218 | 12 | 463 | 50.3% | 47.1% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -WEST END - 3901WEST END - 3901 | 78 | 59 | 9 | 146 | 53.4% | 40.4% | D+13.0 |
| Voting District 10153_5303131101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10253_5303131102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10353_5303131103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10453_5303131104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10553_5303131105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10653_5303131106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10753_5303131107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10853_5303131108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10953_5303131109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11053_5303131110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20053_5303131200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20153_5303131201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20353_5303131203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20453_5303131204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20653_5303131206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30153_5303131301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30253_5303131302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30353_5303131303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30453_5303131304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30553_5303131305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40153_5303131401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50153_5303131501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50253_5303131502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50353_5303131503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 60053_5303131600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 60153_5303131601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70153_5303131701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70253_5303131702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70353_5303131703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70453_5303131704 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 70553_5303131705 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Admiralty Inlet53_53031WVADMI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Dabob Bay53_53031WVDABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Discovery Bay53_53031WVDISB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Hood Canal53_53031WVHOOC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Oak Bay53_53031WVOAKB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Pacific Ocean53_53031WVPACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Port Townsend Bay53_53031WVPTOB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Quilcene Bay53_53031WVQUIB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Water: Strait of Juan de Fuca53_53031WVSJDF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +4.0% |
| 1896 | −13.4% |
| 1900 | −26.4% |
| 1904 | −52.0% |
| 1908 | −32.5% |
| 1912 | +0.3% |
| 1916 | −11.0% |
| 1920 | −44.0% |
| 1924 | −43.7% |
| 1928 | −28.7% |
| 1932 | +31.9% |
| 1936 | +35.5% |
| 1940 | +14.9% |
| 1944 | +12.7% |
| 1948 | +8.2% |
| 1952 | −9.8% |
| 1956 | −13.6% |
| 1960 | +2.2% |
| 1964 | +35.5% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −13.0% |
| 1976 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | −4.5% |
| 1984 | +0.6% |
| 1988 | +11.3% |
| 1992 | +20.7% |
| 1996 | +18.0% |
| 2000 | +13.8% |
| 2004 | +26.6% |
| 2008 | +34.6% |
| 2012 | +31.7% |
| 2016 | +31.7% |
| 2020 | +41.4% |
| 2024 | +45.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 1 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983Special · Class I | D | 50.6%Mike Lowry3,470 | 49.4%Daniel J. Evans3,393 | 6,863 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,902 |
| 2018 | 28,117 |
| 2020 | 29,957 |
| 2022 | 29,751 |
| 2024 | 30,674 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+344 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,960 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $94,486 in average income, against $92,617 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+29.1 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Jefferson County, WA itself (D+45.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- King County, WA203D+51.3
- Kitsap County, WA146D+20.8
- Clallam County, WA80D+7.8
- Snohomish County, WA64D+18.8
- Pierce County, WA61D+10.7
- Multnomah County, OR28D+61.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kitsap County, WA142
- King County, WA109
- Clallam County, WA93
- Pierce County, WA41
- Snohomish County, WA34
- Thurston County, WA31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +113 |
| 2012 | +91 |
| 2013 | +318 |
| 2014 | +261 |
| 2015 | +366 |
| 2016 | +727 |
| 2017 | +496 |
| 2018 | +728 |
| 2019 | +683 |
| 2021 | +804 |
| 2022 | +265 |
| 2023 | +363 |
| 2024 | +401 |
| 2025 | +344 |
Jefferson County's small, highly educated coastal population on the Olympic Peninsula consistently produces some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in Washington state, reaching D+45 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.1 points.
A population of 33,577, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,048 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Juan County and Lincoln County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
San Juan County
Washington
98.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ French ancestry
Lincoln County
Oregon
94.5twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Clatsop County
Oregon
93.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jefferson County, Washington. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/53031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Jefferson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Jefferson County, Washington vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jefferson County, Washington voted Democratic by 45.1 points (D+45.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 24,698 votes cast, 17,459 went Democratic and 6,324 went Republican.
When did Jefferson County, Washington last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Jefferson County, Washington voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in Jefferson County, Washington?
Jefferson County, Washington has a population of 33,577 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson County, Washington?
Median household income in Jefferson County, Washington is $74,048 — below the national median of $80,734. The Washington state median is $98,141.
What is the political history of Jefferson County, Washington?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jefferson County, Washington from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.