- Lead
- 4,940
- Total
- 11,169
- vs nation
- D+45.7
- Turnout
- 82.1%
Pitkin County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 82.1% of 13,815 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,209
- Total
- 11,957
- vs nation
- D+47.5
- Turnout
- 88.2%
- Lead
- 4,783
- Total
- 10,523
- vs nation
- D+43.4
- Turnout
- 82.8%
- Lead
- 3,825
- Total
- 10,075
- vs nation
- D+34.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,865
- Total
- 9,966
- vs nation
- D+41.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,551
- Total
- 9,256
- vs nation
- D+40.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 7,800
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,980
- Total
- 6,985
- vs nation
- D+19.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,9852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $102,6452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.5 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Miguel County, CO · twin score 95.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 82.1%11,349 participants ÷ 13,815 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.6%–68.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,992 | 13,273 | 82.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,129 | 13,806 | 73.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,397 | 14,056 | 88.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,724 | 13,964 | 69.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,349 | 13,815 | 82.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 11,169 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -30557490113055749011 | 862 | 341 | 35 | 1,238 | 69.6% | 27.5% | D+42.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -30557490013055749001 | 797 | 283 | 29 | 1,109 | 71.9% | 25.5% | D+46.3 |
| Precinct -30557490073055749007 | 692 | 243 | 26 | 961 | 72.0% | 25.3% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -30557490083055749008 | 733 | 210 | 16 | 959 | 76.4% | 21.9% | D+54.5 |
| Precinct -30557490053055749005 | 652 | 290 | 14 | 956 | 68.2% | 30.3% | D+37.9 |
| Precinct -30557490023055749002 | 653 | 278 | 19 | 950 | 68.7% | 29.3% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -30557490063055749006 | 660 | 253 | 28 | 941 | 70.1% | 26.9% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -30557490033055749003 | 676 | 205 | 24 | 905 | 74.7% | 22.7% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -30557490043055749004 | 649 | 235 | 14 | 898 | 72.3% | 26.2% | D+46.1 |
| Precinct -30557490093055749009 | 557 | 244 | 12 | 813 | 68.5% | 30.0% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -30557490103055749010 | 503 | 215 | 10 | 728 | 69.1% | 29.5% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -30557490123055749012 | 498 | 195 | 18 | 711 | 70.0% | 27.4% | D+42.6 |
| Pitkin 108_0809749001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 1008_0809749010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 208_0809749002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 308_0809749003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 408_0809749004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 508_0809749005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 608_0809749006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 708_0809749007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 808_0809749008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pitkin 908_0809749009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −11.6% |
| 1888 | −11.0% |
| 1892 | −13.7% |
| 1896 | +98.3% |
| 1900 | +66.3% |
| 1904 | +8.6% |
| 1908 | +38.2% |
| 1912 | +42.0% |
| 1916 | +50.8% |
| 1920 | −6.3% |
| 1924 | −25.5% |
| 1928 | −3.3% |
| 1932 | +48.2% |
| 1936 | +34.8% |
| 1940 | +1.9% |
| 1944 | −1.8% |
| 1948 | +12.0% |
| 1952 | −28.5% |
| 1956 | −24.4% |
| 1960 | −16.4% |
| 1964 | +27.8% |
| 1968 | −20.1% |
| 1972 | +10.0% |
| 1976 | −13.8% |
| 1980 | −7.3% |
| 1984 | −14.9% |
| 1988 | +9.8% |
| 1992 | +28.6% |
| 1996 | +28.3% |
| 2000 | +20.2% |
| 2004 | +38.4% |
| 2008 | +48.8% |
| 2012 | +38.0% |
| 2016 | +45.5% |
| 2020 | +51.9% |
| 2024 | +44.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 24 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,413 | 5,703 | 2,651 | 6,782 | 277 |
| 2018 | 15,722 | 5,706 | 2,438 | 7,298 | 280 |
| 2020 | 15,362 | 5,756 | 2,178 | 7,127 | 301 |
| 2022 | 15,488 | 5,290 | 2,008 | 7,905 | 285 |
| 2024 | 15,770 | 5,138 | 2,014 | 8,266 | 352 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−198 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,307 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $164,793 in average income, against $303,543 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.5 on average — 19 points more Republican-leaning than Pitkin County, CO itself (D+44.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Eagle County, CO110D+24.4
- Garfield County, CO103D+2.1
- Denver County, CO49D+56.1
- Los Angeles County, CA24D+32.9
- New York County, NY22D+64.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Garfield County, CO163
- Eagle County, CO151
- Denver County, CO50
- Los Angeles County, CA24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −167 |
| 2012 | 0 |
| 2013 | +5 |
| 2014 | +90 |
| 2015 | +47 |
| 2016 | −156 |
| 2017 | −192 |
| 2018 | −169 |
| 2019 | −380 |
| 2021 | −75 |
| 2022 | −615 |
| 2023 | −309 |
| 2024 | −188 |
| 2025 | −198 |
Pitkin County, anchored by the resort city of Aspen, combines a small permanent population with high incomes and strong college-educated majorities — a profile that has pushed its presidential margins well above 40 points Democratic in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.3 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 28.5 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.2 points.
A population of 16,985, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,645 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Miguel County and Dukes County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pitkin County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08097/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.