- Lead
- 2,606
- Total
- 5,145
- vs nation
- R+49.2
- Turnout
- 62.3%
Prowers County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.3% of 8,362 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,550
- Total
- 5,561
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Turnout
- 67.7%
- Lead
- 2,345
- Total
- 5,016
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Lead
- 1,711
- Total
- 4,863
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,556
- Total
- 4,615
- vs nation
- R+41.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,084
- Total
- 4,745
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,665
- Total
- 4,524
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 759
- Total
- 4,652
- vs nation
- R+24.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,9102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,5082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bailey County, TX · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.3%5,209 participants ÷ 8,362 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.3%–49.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,147 | 8,255 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,272 | 8,177 | 52.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,623 | 8,301 | 67.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,426 | 8,551 | 51.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,209 | 8,362 | 62.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 5,145 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -004004 | 288 | 884 | 19 | 1,191 | 24.2% | 74.2% | R+50.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001001 | 224 | 897 | 20 | 1,141 | 19.6% | 78.6% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -003003 | 271 | 799 | 11 | 1,081 | 25.1% | 73.9% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -002002 | 178 | 796 | 17 | 991 | 18.0% | 80.3% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -005005 | 266 | 457 | 18 | 741 | 35.9% | 61.7% | R+25.8 |
| Prowers 108_0809950001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 1008_0809950010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 1108_0809950011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 1208_0809950012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 1308_0809950013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 208_0809950002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 308_0809950003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 408_0809950004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 508_0809950005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 608_0809950006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 708_0809950007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 808_0809950008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prowers 908_0809950009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −49.2% |
| 1896 | +28.4% |
| 1900 | −9.4% |
| 1904 | −36.7% |
| 1908 | −15.4% |
| 1912 | +3.6% |
| 1916 | +11.7% |
| 1920 | −34.4% |
| 1924 | −35.2% |
| 1928 | −44.6% |
| 1932 | +7.9% |
| 1936 | +8.4% |
| 1940 | −14.7% |
| 1944 | −17.8% |
| 1948 | −0.2% |
| 1952 | −31.0% |
| 1956 | −15.3% |
| 1960 | −18.4% |
| 1964 | +29.5% |
| 1968 | −7.4% |
| 1972 | −26.6% |
| 1976 | +5.1% |
| 1980 | −27.7% |
| 1984 | −39.9% |
| 1988 | −14.6% |
| 1992 | −11.2% |
| 1996 | −16.3% |
| 2000 | −36.8% |
| 2004 | −43.9% |
| 2008 | −33.7% |
| 2012 | −35.2% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −45.9% |
| 2024 | −50.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 26 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,331 | 1,574 | 3,322 | 2,351 | 84 |
| 2018 | 7,563 | 1,497 | 3,339 | 2,643 | 84 |
| 2020 | 7,828 | 1,429 | 3,398 | 2,888 | 113 |
| 2022 | 7,984 | 1,319 | 3,264 | 3,276 | 125 |
| 2024 | 8,069 | 1,180 | 3,183 | 3,529 | 177 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−67 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,190 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,678 in average income, against $57,416 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bent County, CO20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −55 |
| 2012 | −150 |
| 2013 | −167 |
| 2014 | −321 |
| 2015 | −177 |
| 2016 | −36 |
| 2017 | +11 |
| 2018 | +9 |
| 2019 | +34 |
| 2021 | −59 |
| 2022 | −115 |
| 2023 | −159 |
| 2024 | +62 |
| 2025 | −67 |
Prowers County, anchored by Lamar on the Arkansas River, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, making it among the most reliably one-sided counties in a state that otherwise trends competitive statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.7 points.
A population of 11,910, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,508 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bailey County and Garza County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Prowers County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.