- Lead
- 67,997
- Total
- 315,700
- vs nation
- R+20.1
Youngstown
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 50,380
- Total
- 327,781
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Lead
- 34,300
- Total
- 315,200
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Lead
- 50,688
- Total
- 323,303
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Lead
- 53,978
- Total
- 337,450
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Lead
- 56,325
- Total
- 342,078
- vs nation
- D+18.9
- Lead
- 51,279
- Total
- 303,517
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Lead
- 83,232
- Total
- 302,331
- vs nation
- D+19.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 637,3812024 5-year
- Population density
- 285 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,234 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,4982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.6 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Erie, PA · twin score 76.3
presidential history
Party record book
Youngstown · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.5%
206,181 votes · D+37.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 63.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
70.5%
127,055 votes · R+41.8
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 69.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
206,181votes
68.5% of the vote · D+37.0
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 198,127 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
190,600votes
60.4% of the vote · R+21.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 186,966 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+27.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+9.2 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +25.6 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+29.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.2 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +28.4 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.4 points.
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 71,800 | 23,109 | 38,261 | 8,404 | 2,026 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+967 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −19,184 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,812 |
| 2012 | −3,359 |
| 2013 | −2,096 |
| 2014 | −2,176 |
| 2015 | −3,584 |
| 2016 | −4,060 |
| 2017 | −2,416 |
| 2018 | −2,540 |
| 2019 | −1,133 |
| 2021 | +368 |
| 2022 | +1,078 |
| 2023 | +909 |
| 2024 | +670 |
| 2025 | +967 |
Once a union-Democratic stronghold anchored by the steel industry, the Youngstown media market has swung sharply toward Republican margins over the past decade as deindustrialization and demographic change reshaped voter allegiances across Mahoning and Trumbull counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.5 points.
A population of 637,381, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,498 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Erie and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Youngstown, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/536/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.