Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bakersfield
presidential margin
2008R+17.72012R+16.72016R+12.72020R+10.22024R+21.1
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+21.1
2024
median income$70,210U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age32.7U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate19.1%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)18.8%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english45.7%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican50.4%
Salvadoran1.5%
Guatemalan0.8%
German5.7%
English5.6%
Irish4.8%
Filipino2.2%
Asian Indian1.5%
Chinese0.4%
African American†4.3%
African0.2%
Aztec0.4%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.7%
Black Protestant1.0%
Mainline0.5%
Muslim0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bakersfield, California

Akashic
BakersfieldTrumpR+21.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Bakersfield, CAA map of the single county of Bakersfield, CA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Kern County, CA · R+21.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican59.3%167,879
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.2%108,241
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.5%7,126
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bakersfield, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Kern County, CARepublicanR+21.1
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.2%Harris108,241
59.3%Trump167,879
2.5%Kennedy7,126
−21.1%
283,246
R
43.7%Biden133,366
53.9%Trump164,484
2.4%Jorgensen7,442
−10.2%
305,292
R
40.4%Clinton98,689
53.1%Trump129,584
6.5%Johnson15,890
−12.7%
244,163
R
40.3%Obama89,495
57.0%Romney126,618
2.7%Johnson6,076
−16.7%
222,189
R
40.0%Obama93,457
57.7%McCain134,793
2.4%Nader5,558
−17.7%
233,808
R
32.5%Kerry68,603
66.5%Bush140,417
1.0%Badnarik2,154
−34.0%
211,174
R
36.2%Gore66,003
60.7%Bush110,663
3.1%Nader5,642
−24.5%
182,308
R
36.6%Clinton62,658
53.8%Dole92,151
9.7%Perot16,582
−17.2%
171,391
R
33.8%Clinton60,510
45.1%Bush80,762
21.2%Perot37,991
−11.3%
179,263
R
37.4%Dukakis55,083
61.5%Bush90,550
1.1%Paul1,660
−24.1%
147,293
R
34.0%Mondale49,567
65.0%Reagan94,776
1.0%Bergland1,401
−31.0%
145,744
R
33.7%Carter41,097
59.6%Reagan72,842
6.7%Anderson8,182
−26.0%
122,121
R
45.6%Carter50,567
52.3%Ford58,023
2.1%Macbride2,371
−6.7%
110,961
R
35.2%McGovern41,937
60.1%Nixon71,686
4.7%Schmitz5,570
−25.0%
119,193
R
42.5%Humphrey49,284
46.6%Nixon53,990
10.8%Wallace12,558
−4.1%
115,832
D
58.7%Johnson64,174
41.2%Goldwater45,014
0.1%Hass120
+17.5%
109,308
R
49.1%Kennedy51,440
50.4%Nixon52,800
0.4%Byrd465
−1.3%
104,705
R
48.3%Stevenson43,533
51.3%Eisenhower46,220
0.4%Andrews322
−3.0%
90,075
R
44.4%Stevenson36,151
54.8%Eisenhower44,600
0.7%Hallinan581
−10.4%
81,332
D
56.2%Truman33,029
41.6%Dewey24,464
2.2%Thurmond1,318
+14.6%
58,811
D
55.6%Roosevelt26,205
44.0%Dewey20,730
0.5%Thomas226
+11.6%
47,161
D
61.8%Roosevelt32,202
37.3%Willkie19,445
0.9%Thomas479
+24.5%
52,126
D
74.6%Roosevelt25,726
24.2%Landon8,345
1.2%Lemke408
+50.4%
34,479
D
70.3%Roosevelt19,634
25.1%Hoover7,011
4.6%Thomas1,275
+45.2%
27,920
R
36.4%Smith8,541
62.7%Hoover14,692
0.9%Thomas212
−26.2%
23,445
R
16.8%Davis3,159
46.1%Coolidge8,646
37.1%La Follette6,958
−29.2%
18,763
R
42.2%Cox6,095
49.0%Harding7,079
8.8%Debs1,270
−6.8%
14,444
D
59.9%Wilson9,566
35.1%Hughes5,611
5.0%Benson804
+24.7%
15,981
D
51.7%Wilson5,569
0.0%Taft0
48.3%Roosevelt5,196
+51.7%
10,765
R
44.5%Bryan2,215
45.6%Taft2,270
9.9%Debs493
−1.1%
4,978
R
37.7%Parker1,724
51.6%Roosevelt2,359
10.7%Debs488
−13.9%
4,571
D
52.3%Bryan1,960
45.2%McKinley1,692
2.5%Woolley94
+7.2%
3,746
D
54.0%Bryan1,763
43.8%McKinley1,430
2.2%Palmer72
+10.2%
3,265
D
50.4%Cleveland1,266
39.5%Harrison992
10.1%Weaver255
+10.9%
2,513
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −21.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−21.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+10.9%
1896+10.2%
1900+7.2%
1904−13.9%
1908−1.1%
1912+51.7%
1916+24.7%
1920−6.8%
1924−29.2%
1928−26.2%
1932+45.2%
1936+50.4%
1940+24.5%
1944+11.6%
1948+14.6%
1952−10.4%
1956−3.0%
1960−1.3%
1964+17.5%
1968−4.1%
1972−25.0%
1976−6.7%
1980−26.0%
1984−31.0%
1988−24.1%
1992−11.3%
1996−17.2%
2000−24.5%
2004−34.0%
2008−17.7%
2012−16.7%
2016−12.7%
2020−10.2%
2024−21.1%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in BakersfieldRegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 451,797 in 2024.112.9K225.9K338.8K451.8K451.8K20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Bakersfield
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2022433,887151,871157,47988,83535,702
2024451,797152,791167,72592,49938,782
Source: California Secretary of State

Anchored by Kern County's oil-and-agriculture economy, the Bakersfield media market consistently returns some of the widest Republican margins of any media market in California, making it a structural outlier in an otherwise Democratic-dominant state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.1 points.

A population of 915,075, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,210 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fresno-Visalia and San Antonio.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Fresno-Visalia
California
91.9twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White
San Antonio
Texas
82.6twin score
% Latino% Whiteelasticity≠ college share
Yakima-Pasco-Richland-Kennewick
Washington
78.4twin score
2000–2008 trajectorymedian age≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bakersfield, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/800/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bakersfield

counties1
Kern County

Frequently asked questions

How did Bakersfield, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bakersfield, California voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,246 votes cast, 108,241 went Democratic and 167,879 went Republican.
When did Bakersfield, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bakersfield, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bakersfield, California?
Bakersfield, California has a population of 915,075 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bakersfield, California?
Median household income in Bakersfield, California is $70,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bakersfield, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bakersfield, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.