Florida, Florida: Bellwether state. In 2024, voted R+13%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 22,416,0772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,5682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Browse all of Florida
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,680,896 | 6,109,564 | 10,890,948 | ||
| R | 5,297,045 | 5,668,731 | 11,067,456 | ||
| R | 4,504,975 | 4,617,886 | 9,420,039 | ||
| D | 4,237,756 | 4,163,447 | 8,474,179 | ||
| D | 4,282,074 | 4,045,624 | 8,390,744 | ||
| R | 3,583,544 | 3,964,522 | 7,609,810 | ||
| R | 2,912,253 | 2,912,790 | 5,963,110 | ||
| D | 2,546,870 | 2,244,536 | 5,303,794 | ||
| R | 2,072,698 | 2,173,310 | 5,314,392 | ||
| R | 1,656,701 | 2,618,885 | 4,302,313 | ||
| R | 1,448,816 | 2,730,350 | 4,180,051 | ||
| R | 1,419,475 | 2,046,951 | 3,687,026 | ||
| D | 1,636,000 | 1,469,531 | 3,150,631 | ||
| R | 718,117 | 1,857,759 | 2,583,283 | ||
| R | 676,794 | 886,804 | 2,187,805 | ||
| D | 948,540 | 905,941 | 1,854,481 | ||
| R | 748,700 | 795,476 | 1,544,176 | ||
| R | 480,371 | 643,849 | 1,124,220 | ||
| R | 444,950 | 544,036 | 988,986 | ||
| D | 281,988 | 194,280 | 577,643 | ||
| D | 339,377 | 143,215 | 482,592 | ||
| D | 359,334 | 126,158 | 485,492 | ||
| D | 249,117 | 78,248 | 327,365 | ||
| D | 206,307 | 69,170 | 275,477 | ||
| R | 101,764 | 144,168 | 253,672 | ||
| D | 62,083 | 30,633 | 109,158 | ||
| D | 90,515 | 44,853 | 145,684 | ||
| D | 55,984 | 14,611 | 80,734 | ||
| D | 35,343 | 4,279 | 50,837 | ||
| D | 31,104 | 10,654 | 49,360 | ||
| D | 27,016 | 8,314 | 39,279 | ||
| D | 18,993 | 4,775 | 26,436 | ||
| D | 20,648 | 8,017 | 30,408 | ||
| D | 19,655 | 1,525 | 23,914 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 31,787 | 27,984 | 59,771 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
Florida in the Gulf South and peninsula has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Florida more often than not also wins the national popular vote.
The Democratic margin in Florida has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the state to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most states. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $74,568 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Florida, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/FL/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.