Florida, Florida
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +75.8% |
| 1896 | +41.5% |
| 1900 | +53.8% |
| 1904 | +47.6% |
| 1908 | +41.4% |
| 1912 | +61.1% |
| 1916 | +51.2% |
| 1920 | +31.3% |
| 1924 | +28.8% |
| 1928 | −16.7% |
| 1932 | +49.8% |
| 1936 | +52.2% |
| 1940 | +48.0% |
| 1944 | +40.6% |
| 1948 | +15.2% |
| 1952 | −10.0% |
| 1956 | −14.5% |
| 1960 | −3.0% |
| 1964 | +2.3% |
| 1968 | −9.6% |
| 1972 | −44.1% |
| 1976 | +5.3% |
| 1980 | −17.0% |
| 1984 | −30.7% |
| 1988 | −22.4% |
| 1992 | −1.9% |
| 1996 | +5.7% |
| 2000 | −0.0% |
| 2004 | −5.0% |
| 2008 | +2.8% |
| 2012 | +0.9% |
| 2016 | −1.2% |
| 2020 | −3.4% |
| 2024 | −13.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.0%Harris4,683,038 | 56.1%Trump6,110,125 | 0.4%Stein43,155 | 10,893,752 | ||
| R | 47.9%Biden5,297,045 | 51.2%Trump5,668,731 | 0.6%Jorgensen70,324 | 11,067,456 | ||
| R | 47.8%Clinton4,504,975 | 49.0%Trump4,617,886 | 2.2%Johnson207,043 | 9,420,039 | ||
| D | 50.0%Obama4,237,756 | 49.1%Romney4,163,447 | 0.5%Johnson44,726 | 8,474,179 | ||
| D | 51.0%Obama4,282,074 | 48.2%McCain4,045,624 | 0.3%Nader28,124 | 8,390,744 | ||
| R | 47.1%Kerry3,583,544 | 52.1%Bush3,964,522 | 0.4%Nader32,971 | 7,609,810 | ||
| R | 48.8%Gore2,912,253 | 48.8%Bush2,912,790 | 1.6%Nader97,488 | 5,963,110 | ||
| D | 48.0%Clinton2,546,870 | 42.3%Dole2,244,536 | 9.1%Perot483,870 | 5,303,794 | ||
| R | 39.0%Clinton2,072,698 | 40.9%Bush2,173,310 | 19.8%Perot1,053,067 | 5,314,392 | ||
| R | 38.5%Dukakis1,656,701 | 60.9%Bush2,618,885 | 0.5%Paul19,796 | 4,302,313 | ||
| R | 34.7%Mondale1,448,816 | 65.3%Reagan2,730,350 | 0.0%Other885 | 4,180,051 | ||
| R | 38.5%Carter1,419,475 | 55.5%Reagan2,046,951 | 5.1%Anderson189,692 | 3,687,026 | ||
| D | 51.9%Carter1,636,000 | 46.6%Ford1,469,531 | 0.8%McCarthy23,643 | 3,150,631 | ||
| R | 27.8%McGovern718,117 | 71.9%Nixon1,857,759 | 0.3%Schmitz7,407 | 2,583,283 | ||
| R | 30.9%Humphrey676,794 | 40.5%Nixon886,804 | 28.5%Wallace624,207 | 2,187,805 | ||
| D | 51.1%Johnson948,540 | 48.9%Goldwater905,941 | 0.0% | 1,854,481 | ||
| R | 48.5%Kennedy748,700 | 51.5%Nixon795,476 | 0.0% | 1,544,176 | ||
| R | 42.7%Stevenson480,371 | 57.3%Eisenhower643,849 | 0.0% | 1,124,220 | ||
| R | 45.0%Stevenson444,950 | 55.0%Eisenhower544,036 | 0.0% | 988,986 | ||
| D | 48.8%Truman281,988 | 33.6%Dewey194,280 | 17.5%Thurmond101,375 | 577,643 | ||
| D | 70.3%Roosevelt339,377 | 29.7%Dewey143,215 | 0.0% | 482,592 | ||
| D | 74.0%Roosevelt359,334 | 26.0%Willkie126,158 | 0.0% | 485,492 | ||
| D | 76.1%Roosevelt249,117 | 23.9%Landon78,248 | 0.0% | 327,365 | ||
| D | 74.9%Roosevelt206,307 | 25.1%Hoover69,170 | 0.0% | 275,477 | ||
| R | 40.1%Smith101,764 | 56.8%Hoover144,168 | 3.1%Thomas7,740 | 253,672 | ||
| D | 56.9%Davis62,083 | 28.1%Coolidge30,633 | 15.1%La Follette16,442 | 109,158 | ||
| D | 62.1%Cox90,515 | 30.8%Harding44,853 | 7.1%Debs10,316 | 145,684 | ||
| D | 69.3%Wilson55,984 | 18.1%Hughes14,611 | 12.6%Benson10,139 | 80,734 | ||
| D | 69.5%Wilson35,343 | 8.4%Taft4,279 | 22.1%Roosevelt11,215 | 50,837 | ||
| D | 63.0%Bryan31,104 | 21.6%Taft10,654 | 15.4%Debs7,602 | 49,360 | ||
| D | 68.8%Parker27,016 | 21.2%Roosevelt8,314 | 10.1%Debs3,949 | 39,279 | ||
| D | 71.8%Bryan18,993 | 18.1%McKinley4,775 | 10.1%Woolley2,668 | 26,436 | ||
| D | 67.9%Bryan20,648 | 26.4%McKinley8,017 | 5.7%Palmer1,743 | 30,408 | ||
| D | 82.2%Cleveland19,655 | 6.4%Harrison1,525 | 11.4%Weaver2,734 | 23,914 |
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seatno nominee yet
Byron DonaldsJay CollinsJames FishbackDavid Jolly
Open seat: incumbent Ron DeSantis (R) is term-limited. The Aug 18 primary has not occurred. GOP: U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds is the clear frontrunner (Trump-endorsed) over Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback. Democrats: former U.S. Rep. David Jolly is the frontrunner, with Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings second; the Democratic field is large with many voters undecided. No nominees yet.
U.S. Senateno nominee yet
Ashley Moodypresumptive nomineeAlex Vindmanpresumptive nomineeAngie NixonChris Gleason
SPECIAL election (Class 1) to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's term; Rubio resigned to become Secretary of State and Gov. DeSantis appointed AG Ashley Moody (R), who is the appointed incumbent and is running. Primary is Aug 18, 2026 (not yet held as of 2026-06-25); filing closed April 24, 2026. Moody is the GOP frontrunner; Vindman is the Democratic frontrunner. Independent Neil J. Gillespie qualified for the general ballot.
Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 571 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 8 · R 20 | 42.0% | 57.9% | 10,327,923 | |
| D 8 · R 20 | 39.6% | 58.3% | 7,332,305 | |
| D 11 · R 15 | 47.2% | 52.3% | 10,464,790 | |
| D 13 · R 14 | 47.1% | 52.3% | 7,021,480 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8%4,603,077 | 55.6%5,977,706 | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3%3,201,522 | 57.7%4,474,847 | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9%4,089,472 | 50.1%4,099,505 | 8,188,977 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3%4,122,088 | 52.0%4,835,191 | 9,301,716 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2%4,523,451 | 42.2%3,458,267 | 8,189,905 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2%1,092,936 | 48.9%2,645,743 | 5,411,016 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3%2,890,548 | 38.1%1,826,127 | 4,793,440 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3%3,590,201 | 49.4%3,672,864 | 7,429,707 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0%2,989,487 | 46.2%2,705,348 | 5,856,643 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5%2,436,407 | 37.5%1,463,755 | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5%1,210,577 | 70.5%2,895,200 | 4,105,777 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4%3,245,565 | 34.6%1,716,505 | 4,962,070 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6%2,016,553 | 50.4%2,051,071 | 4,067,624 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7%1,877,543 | 45.3%1,552,376 | 3,429,919 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7%1,637,667 | 38.3%1,015,330 | 2,652,997 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3%1,705,409 | 51.7%1,822,460 | 3,527,869 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0%1,799,518 | 37.0%1,057,886 | 2,857,534 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 12,876,381 | 4,815,749 | 4,550,146 | 3,447,811 | 62,675 |
| 2018 | 13,396,112 | 4,980,923 | 4,718,846 | 3,585,429 | 110,914 |
| 2019 | 13,508,317 | 4,977,612 | 4,750,402 | 3,635,437 | 144,866 |
| 2020 | 14,607,956 | 5,340,228 | 5,233,242 | 3,807,047 | 227,439 |
| 2021 | 14,284,920 | 5,095,008 | 5,120,076 | 3,816,816 | 253,020 |
| 2023 | 13,540,135 | 4,460,831 | 5,158,753 | 3,607,279 | 313,272 |
| 2024 | 14,278,472 | 4,497,119 | 5,633,700 | 3,719,066 | 428,587 |
Source: Florida Division of Elections
A quarter-century tossup that decided 2000 by 537 votes went to Trump by 13.1 points in 2024 — a 9.7-point swing, the largest of any battleground, led by Miami-Dade voting Republican for the first time since 1988.
- Tossup to Republican
- R+0.0 (2000, by 537 votes) → R+1.2 (2016) → R+3.4 (2020) → R+13.1 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Largest battleground swing
- A 9.7-pt shift toward Trump from 2020 — the biggest of any battleground; third nationally, after New York (10.5) and New Jersey (10.1) · MIT Election Lab
- Miami-Dade flipped
- D+29.6 (2016) and D+7.3 (2020) → R+11.4 (2024) — first Republican presidential win since 1988 · MIT Election Lab
- The Latino geography
- Hispanic or Latino 27.4% — Cuban 7.3%, Puerto Rican 5.6%, Venezuelan 1.6%; Osceola flipped R+1.5 · ACS 2024 5-year; MIT Election Lab
- Registration crossed over
- Republicans trailed by 107k in 2020; led by 1.14M by 2024 (5.63M to 4.50M) · Florida Division of Elections, 2024
- Open seats in 2026
- Governor open (DeSantis term-limited): Donalds (R) vs Jolly (D); Senate special: appointed Moody (R) vs Vindman (D) — Aug 18 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New York
New York
46.1twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalePuerto Rican ancestry≠ 2000 margin
New Jersey
New Jersey
39.1twin score
12-yr trend% WhitePuerto Rican ancestry≠ median income
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
37.4twin score
population scalemedian ageEnglish ancestry≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/FL/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Florida
Frequently asked questions
How did Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,893,752 votes cast, 4,683,038 went Democratic and 6,110,125 went Republican.
When did Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida?
Florida has a population of 22,416,077 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida?
Median household income in Florida is $74,568 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.