akashic
1876–2024
St. Johns County, Florida
St. Johns County·Florida

St. Johns County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

One of Florida's fastest-growing counties, and one of its most reliably Republican

18762024·38 elections
St. Johns County, Florida · Georgia Guercio · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+31
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
306,934
2024 ACS
Most similar
Okaloosa County
FL · similarity 1.00
53 precincts · 197,389 votes cast
Trump · R+31
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−31.4%
66,828128,728197,389
2020R
−26.7%
63,850110,946176,622
2016R
−33.4%
43,09988,684136,514
2012R
−37.7%
35,19078,513114,795
2008R
−31.6%
35,79169,222105,844
2004R
−38.0%
26,39959,19686,290
2000R
−33.0%
19,50939,56460,771
1996R
−21.8%
16,71627,31848,549
1992R
−19.7%
12,29120,18839,986
1988R
−40.8%
8,02919,22827,415
1984R
−42.5%
6,65216,50023,154
1980R
−23.0%
6,89811,23418,826
1976D
+5.2%
7,4126,66014,371
1972R
−55.3%
2,5498,91911,511
1968R
−10.0%
2,7483,88011,310
1964R
−26.2%
4,3577,45011,807
1960D
+15.0%
5,5834,1259,708
1956R
−12.9%
3,9405,1049,044
1952R
−3.7%
4,3664,7029,068
1948D
+2.4%
1,9941,8406,305
1944D
+40.8%
3,7641,5825,346
1940D
+52.0%
4,1221,3035,425
1936D
+51.7%
3,4111,0854,496
1932D
+45.1%
3,3441,2654,609
1928D
+25.9%
3,3071,9395,291
1924D
+26.9%
1,0235171,884
1920D
+18.3%
1,8101,2213,215
1916D
+47.1%
1,1333261,713
1912D
+69.1%
836451,144
1908D
+30.6%
7583441,352
1904D
+35.7%
550204969
1900D
+49.2%
7642341,077
1896D
+78.7%
56150649
1892D
+95.5%
5890617
1888
No data
1884D
+17.2%
7275141,241
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
4.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
13.1%
Other Christian
9.0%
Baptist
7.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.3%
Methodist
1.1%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Johns sits south of Jacksonville along the St. Augustine coast and has nearly doubled in population since 2010, drawing suburban and exurban migrants who have reinforced its already wide Republican presidential margins.

The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in St. Johns County, by a twenty-three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at fifty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-one points.

The political shift has tracked, in St. Johns County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $109,839, and a 7% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Okaloosa County and Santa Rosa County.