akashic
1876–2024
Seminole County, Florida
Seminole County·Florida

Seminole County votes the way the country votes.

Once a reliably red suburb, Seminole now splits presidential races by single digits

18762024·38 elections
Seminole County, Florida · Elizabethklements · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
481,470
2024 ACS
Most similar
Virginia Beach city
VA · similarity 0.98
82 precincts · 253,616 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−3.6%
120,647129,704253,616
2020D
+2.8%
132,528125,241260,815
2016R
−1.6%
105,914109,443224,896
2012R
−6.5%
96,445109,943208,620
2008R
−2.8%
99,335105,070205,895
2004R
−16.8%
76,971108,172186,195
2000R
−12.0%
59,22775,790137,805
1996R
−12.8%
45,05859,797114,904
1992R
−18.2%
35,66057,101117,560
1988R
−45.1%
22,63560,40183,658
1984R
−51.9%
17,79556,24474,092
1980R
−37.3%
17,44339,98960,439
1976R
−15.1%
19,60926,65546,813
1972R
−61.8%
6,50327,65834,212
1968R
−19.4%
6,12010,82124,216
1964R
−5.0%
9,12510,07819,203
1960R
−29.3%
4,8918,93613,827
1956R
−30.3%
3,1255,8418,966
1952R
−20.0%
3,1204,6837,803
1948D
+11.9%
2,2611,6655,007
1944D
+37.0%
2,9401,3524,292
1940D
+39.4%
3,1501,3694,519
1936D
+48.4%
2,5808973,477
1932D
+38.6%
2,1429483,090
1928R
−19.8%
1,1871,7883,036
1924D
+36.1%
9453721,586
1920D
+30.2%
1,4857672,376
1916D
+55.3%
706155996
1912
No data
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
9.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.6%
Other Christian
17.8%
Baptist
6.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.6%
Methodist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Seminole County, anchored by Sanford and a dense ring of Orlando exurbs, has trended toward competitive margins over the past decade as college-educated suburban voters have reshaped its electorate.

The Democratic margin in Seminole County has rarely exceeded fifty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-two points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Seminole County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,761 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Virginia Beach city and Morris County.