akashic
1876–2024
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL·Florida

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL delivered D+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A theme-park economy anchors one of Florida's fastest-diversifying metros

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
2,793,746
2024 ACS

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
2,793,7462024 5-year
Median household income
$78,7082024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.1%2024 5-year
Black
15.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
33.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+89 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+1.2%
630,032615,1121,260,118
D
+10.7%
708,344569,9781,291,968
D
+11.7%
584,104457,1481,081,839
D
+7.7%
499,148426,767934,488
D
+8.8%
495,254414,790916,202
R
−7.8%
357,179418,217780,393
R
−4.0%
264,221286,568562,261
R
−3.7%
202,223219,290466,444
R
−12.6%
156,553215,857469,625
R
−38.9%
103,236236,320342,381
R
−46.2%
85,392231,979317,600
R
−30.1%
85,941165,104263,391
R
−11.0%
99,313124,144226,212
R
−61.2%
37,021154,573192,156
R
−26.7%
35,13777,630159,193
R
−13.1%
58,67776,375135,052
R
−40.5%
31,73474,850106,584
R
−41.5%
23,90657,81381,719
R
−38.1%
20,95846,76167,719
R
−3.3%
17,37518,79042,470
D
+19.2%
21,03414,27135,305
D
+26.1%
23,30813,65436,962
D
+29.7%
15,5618,42623,987
D
+23.7%
11,7457,24318,988
R
−34.8%
6,40413,45520,241
D
+15.2%
5,0933,56210,055
D
+19.0%
5,9683,98310,455
D
+38.5%
3,3641,3535,222
D
+54.6%
2,3644303,543
D
+31.2%
1,6327662,778
D
+49.2%
1,6745282,328
D
+41.9%
1,6155872,452
D
+36.7%
2,2309853,390
D
+89.3%
2,53802,842
—
No data
———
D
+25.4%
1,8671,1102,977
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
9.4%
German
8.0%
English
7.3%
Irish
7.1%
Italian
4.9%
Polish
1.8%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.2%
65–74
5.0%
5.8%
55–64
6.1%
6.3%
45–54
6.5%
7.2%
35–44
7.2%
7.3%
25–34
7.3%
4.5%
18–24
4.6%
8.1%
5–17
7.7%
2.8%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$78,708
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL$78,708
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)13.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.0%
speak English only
Spanish25.5%
Other Indo-European6.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.9%
Other Christian
15.6%
Baptist
5.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Methodist
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Puerto Rican migration over the past two decades has reshaped Orlando's electorate, making it a bellwether corridor where hospitality-sector employment and rapid Latino population growth interact in ways that consistently complicate statewide forecasts.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-nine points in 1892; the Republican margin reached sixty-one points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 2,793,746, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $78,708 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/36740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida voted Democratic by 1.2 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,260,118 votes cast, 630,032 went Democratic and 615,112 went Republican.
What is Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida has a population of 2,793,746 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida is $78,708 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.