akashic
1876–2024
Osceola County, Florida
Osceola County·Florida

Osceola County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Once reliably blue, now a sub-2-point battleground

18762024·38 elections
Osceola County, Florida · Ebyabe · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
427,415
2024 ACS
Most similar
Orange County
FL · similarity 0.93
126 precincts · 172,705 votes cast
Trump · R+1
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−1.5%
84,16186,684172,705
2020D
+13.8%
97,29773,480172,436
2016D
+25.1%
85,45850,301140,206
2012D
+24.5%
67,23940,592108,698
2008D
+19.7%
59,96240,086100,670
2004R
−5.5%
38,63343,11782,204
2000D
+3.5%
28,18726,23755,690
1996D
+7.6%
21,87418,33746,491
1992R
−9.1%
15,01019,14345,267
1988R
−36.8%
9,81221,35531,381
1984R
−46.9%
6,62818,34824,980
1980R
−23.4%
6,60310,86318,205
1976R
−1.2%
6,8937,06214,175
1972R
−66.3%
1,8759,32011,237
1968R
−24.2%
1,8704,1729,504
1964R
−12.2%
3,5314,5168,047
1960R
−36.6%
2,1784,6916,869
1956R
−30.4%
1,9233,6025,525
1952R
−24.5%
1,9003,1335,033
1948D
+0.1%
1,5771,5753,532
1944D
+11.5%
1,7631,4003,163
1940D
+17.0%
2,0151,4283,443
1936D
+19.1%
1,6221,1012,723
1932D
+29.3%
1,6569062,562
1928R
−21.7%
1,1271,7602,921
1924D
+16.8%
8845891,761
1920R
−16.4%
7281,0351,871
1916D
+5.0%
5114531,162
1912D
+45.2%
512110889
1908D
+33.3%
19381336
1904D
+58.4%
27165353
1900D
+60.2%
26642372
1896D
+38.0%
274118410
1892D
+94.2%
2590275
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.9%
African American
8.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
23.3%
Other Christian
14.9%
Baptist
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Methodist
0.7%
Mainline Protestant
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Osceola's large Puerto Rican community near Kissimmee has made it a closely watched barometer of Latino voting shifts in central Florida, with the 2024 margin tightening to R+1.4 after years of Democratic-leaning results.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached ninety-four points in 1892; the Republican margin reached sixty-six points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Osceola County's demographics — a population of 427,415, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,637 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orange County and Hillsborough County.