| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 1,982 | 12,925 | 14,976 | |
| 2020 | R | 2,037 | 11,911 | 14,059 | |
| 2016 | R | 2,112 | 10,294 | 12,634 | |
| 2012 | R | 2,311 | 8,975 | 11,368 | |
| 2008 | R | 2,327 | 8,672 | 11,059 | |
| 2004 | R | 2,180 | 7,738 | 9,955 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,392 | 5,611 | 8,155 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,273 | 3,686 | 6,637 | |
| 1992 | R | 1,976 | 3,418 | 6,756 | |
| 1988 | R | 1,355 | 3,418 | 4,781 | |
| 1984 | R | 1,381 | 3,485 | 4,866 | |
| 1980 | D | 2,611 | 2,283 | 4,976 | |
| 1976 | D | 2,985 | 1,058 | 4,195 | |
| 1972 | R | 379 | 1,943 | 2,323 | |
| 1968 | D | 487 | 294 | 2,743 | |
| 1964 | D | 1,137 | 1,121 | 2,258 | |
| 1960 | D | 1,469 | 398 | 1,867 | |
| 1956 | D | 1,443 | 366 | 1,809 | |
| 1952 | D | 1,482 | 419 | 1,901 | |
| 1948 | D | 849 | 112 | 1,176 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,137 | 127 | 1,264 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,352 | 114 | 1,466 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,555 | 116 | 1,671 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,278 | 87 | 1,365 | |
| 1928 | R | 242 | 676 | 934 | |
| 1924 | D | 215 | 124 | 379 | |
| 1920 | D | 346 | 115 | 508 | |
| 1916 | D | 439 | 52 | 562 | |
| 1912 | D | 168 | 37 | 331 | |
| 1908 | D | 152 | 104 | 336 | |
| 1904 | D | 207 | 120 | 339 | |
| 1900 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1896 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1892 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | D | 337 | 176 | 513 | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
A rural county in the state's northeastern corner, Baker recorded an R+73.1 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in Florida—reflecting a predominantly white, small-town population with little competitive electoral history.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Baker County peaked at eighty-seven points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of forty-three points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Baker County's median household income of $79,836 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chilton County and Webster County.
