Akashic

county

Baker County, FL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1884–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1884 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Irish12.1%8.2%9.4%

English11.1%8.2%9.5%

American10.1%7.7%5.3%

German8.3%8.9%12.5%

Italian3.9%5.6%4.8%

Scottish1.4%1.3%1.3%

Scotch-Irish1.4%——

Polish1.0%2.1%2.2%

African American†6.4%9.5%9.9%

African3.7%0.5%0.5%

Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.4%0.2%—

Puerto Rican1.7%5.6%1.8%

Mexican0.5%3.3%11.3%

Cuban0.5%7.3%0.7%

Peruvian0.3%——

Spaniard0.2%——

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Baker County	Florida	United States
Median age	38.1	43.1	39.1
Age 18–24	8.9%	8.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	15.4%	21.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Baker County	Florida	United States
Median household income	$79,836	$74,568	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.8%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.8%	34.2%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Baker County	Florida	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.2%	30.7%	22.3%
Spanish	2.2%	22.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Baker County	Florida	United States
Catholic	2.3%	19.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	25.4%	18.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	66.8%	53.1%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 70.4% of 21,393 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic13.2%1,982TrumpRepublican86.3%12,926OliverLibertarian0.2%36

R+73.1

Lead: 10,944
Total: 14,977
vs nation: R+71.6
Turnout: 70.4%

BidenDemocratic14.5%2,037TrumpRepublican84.7%11,911JorgensenLibertarian0.7%93

R+70.2

Lead: 9,874
Total: 14,059
vs nation: R+74.7
Turnout: 64.9%

ClintonDemocratic16.7%2,112TrumpRepublican81.5%10,294JohnsonLibertarian1.3%169

R+64.8

Lead: 8,182
Total: 12,634
vs nation: R+66.9
Turnout: 62.5%

ObamaDemocratic20.3%2,311RomneyRepublican78.9%8,975OtherAll other candidates0.7%82

R+58.6

Lead: 6,664
Total: 11,368
vs nation: R+62.5
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic21.0%2,327McCainRepublican78.4%8,672OtherAll other candidates0.5%60

R+57.4

Lead: 6,345
Total: 11,059
vs nation: R+64.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.9%2,180BushRepublican77.7%7,738OtherAll other candidates0.4%37

R+55.8

Lead: 5,558
Total: 9,955
vs nation: R+53.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic29.3%2,392BushRepublican68.8%5,611NaderGreen0.6%53

R+39.5

Lead: 3,219
Total: 8,155
vs nation: R+40.0
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic34.2%2,273DoleRepublican55.5%3,686PerotReform10.0%667

R+21.3

Lead: 1,413
Total: 6,637
vs nation: R+29.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+73.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 28,4302024 5-year
Median household income: $79,8362024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 77.6%2024 5-year
Black: 10.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+87.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+73.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Brantley County, GA · twin score 92.5

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 70.4%15,054 participants ÷ 21,393 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +14.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -9.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 56.3%–57.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	12,768	20,415	62.5%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	10,635	20,904	50.9%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	14,134	21,768	64.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	10,737	21,127	50.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	15,054	21,393	70.4%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 15,011 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Baker County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -5A-GLEN ST MARY5A-GLEN ST MARY	248	2,974	27	3,249	7.6%	91.5%	R+83.9
Precinct -3A-NORTH MACCLENNY3A-NORTH MACCLENNY	396	2,510	26	2,932	13.5%	85.6%	R+72.1
Precinct -2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY	511	2,331	22	2,864	17.8%	81.4%	R+63.5
Precinct -4C-MACEDONIA4C-MACEDONIA	185	1,817	7	2,009	9.2%	90.4%	R+81.2
Precinct -1A-SANDERSON1A-SANDERSON	471	1,445	12	1,928	24.4%	74.9%	R+50.5
Precinct -4D-CUYLER4D-CUYLER	58	948	3	1,009	5.7%	94.0%	R+88.2
Precinct -4B-TAYLOR4B-TAYLOR	39	551	5	595	6.6%	92.6%	R+86.1
Precinct -6A-OLUSTEE6A-OLUSTEE	59	177	0	236	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0
Precinct -4A-BAXTER4A-BAXTER	15	173	1	189	7.9%	91.5%	R+83.6

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1884–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1884	+31.4%
1888	No data
1892	No data
1896	No data
1900	No data
1904	+25.7%
1908	+14.3%
1912	+39.6%
1916	+68.9%
1920	+45.5%
1924	+24.0%
1928	−46.5%
1932	+87.3%
1936	+86.1%
1940	+84.4%
1944	+79.9%
1948	+62.7%
1952	+55.9%
1956	+59.5%
1960	+57.4%
1964	+0.7%
1968	+7.0%
1972	−67.3%
1976	+45.9%
1980	+6.6%
1984	−43.2%
1988	−43.1%
1992	−21.3%
1996	−21.3%
2000	−39.5%
2004	−55.8%
2008	−57.4%
2012	−58.6%
2016	−64.8%
2020	−70.2%
2024	−73.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	13.2%Harris1,982	86.3%Trump12,926	0.2%Oliver36 +4	R+73.1	R+2.8	R+71.6	14,977
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican86.3%12,926 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic13.2%1,982 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%36 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%15 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%9 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%6 Randall TerryIndependent0.0%3
2020	R	14.5%Biden2,037	84.7%Trump11,911	0.7%Jorgensen93	R+70.2	R+5.5	R+74.7	14,059
2016	R	16.7%Clinton2,112	81.5%Trump10,294	1.3%Johnson169	R+64.8	R+6.1	R+66.9	12,634
2012	R	20.3%Obama2,311	78.9%Romney8,975	0.7%	R+58.6	R+1.2	R+62.5	11,368
2008	R	21.0%Obama2,327	78.4%McCain8,672	0.5%	R+57.4	R+1.5	R+64.6	11,059
2004	R	21.9%Kerry2,180	77.7%Bush7,738	0.4%	R+55.8	R+16.4	R+53.4	9,955
2000	R	29.3%Gore2,392	68.8%Bush5,611	0.6%Nader53	R+39.5	R+18.2	R+40.0	8,155
1996	R	34.2%Clinton2,273	55.5%Dole3,686	10.0%Perot667	R+21.3	D+0.1	R+29.8	6,637
1992	R	29.2%Clinton1,976	50.6%Bush3,418	19.5%Perot1,315	R+21.3	D+21.8	R+26.9	6,756
1988	R	28.3%Dukakis1,355	71.5%Bush3,418	0.2%	R+43.1	D+0.1	R+35.4	4,781
1984	R	28.4%Mondale1,381	71.6%Reagan3,485	0.0%	R+43.2	R+49.8	R+25.0	4,866
1980	D	52.5%Carter2,611	45.9%Reagan2,283	1.6%	D+6.6	R+39.3	D+16.3	4,976
1976	D	71.2%Carter2,985	25.2%Ford1,058	3.6%	D+45.9	D+113.3	D+43.9	4,195
1972	R	16.3%McGovern379	83.6%Nixon1,943	0.0%	R+67.3	R+74.4	R+44.2	2,323
1968	O	17.8%Humphrey487	10.7%Nixon294	71.5%	Wallace +53.8	D+6.3	D+7.7	2,743
1964	D	50.4%Johnson1,137	49.6%Goldwater1,121	0.0%	D+0.7	R+56.7	R+21.9	2,258
1960	D	78.7%Kennedy1,469	21.3%Nixon398	0.0%	D+57.4	R+2.2	D+57.2	1,867
1956	D	79.8%Stevenson1,443	20.2%Eisenhower366	0.0%	D+59.5	D+3.6	D+74.9	1,809
1952	D	78.0%Stevenson1,482	22.0%Eisenhower419	0.0%	D+55.9	R+6.8	D+66.7	1,901
1948	D	72.2%Truman849	9.5%Dewey112	18.3%	D+62.7	R+17.2	D+58.2	1,176
1944	D	90.0%Roosevelt1,137	10.0%Dewey127	0.0%	D+79.9	R+4.5	D+72.4	1,264
1940	D	92.2%Roosevelt1,352	7.8%Willkie114	0.0%	D+84.4	R+1.7	D+74.5	1,466
1936	D	93.1%Roosevelt1,555	6.9%Landon116	0.0%	D+86.1	R+1.1	D+61.9	1,671
1932	D	93.6%Roosevelt1,278	6.4%Hoover87	0.0%	D+87.3	D+133.7	D+69.5	1,365
1928	R	25.9%Smith242	72.4%Hoover676	1.7%	R+46.5	R+70.5	R+29.0	934
1924	D	56.7%Davis215	32.7%Coolidge124	6.6%La Follette25	D+24.0	R+21.5	D+49.2	379
1920	D	68.1%Cox346	22.6%Harding115	9.3%	D+45.5	R+23.4	D+71.7	508
1916	D	78.1%Wilson439	9.3%Hughes52	12.6%	D+68.9	D+29.3	D+65.7	562
1912	D	50.8%Wilson168	11.2%Taft37	38.1%	D+39.6	D+25.3	D+20.0	331
1908	D	45.2%Bryan152	31.0%Taft104	23.8%	D+14.3	R+11.4	D+23.8	336
1904	D	61.1%Parker207	35.4%Roosevelt120	3.5%	D+25.7	—	D+45.3	339
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	D	65.7%Cleveland337	34.3%Blaine176	0.0%	D+31.4	—	—	513
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 1 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	13.7%2,014	86.3%12,680	14,694
2020	R	17.9%2,476	82.1%11,329	13,805
2018	R	18.9%1,966	81.1%8,448	10,414

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	14.6%2,161	83.9%12,415	14,797
2022	R	11.0%1,181	88.2%9,431	10,692
2018Class I	R	18.5%Bill Nelson1,945	81.5%Rick Scott8,579	10,525
2016Class III	R	17.1%Patrick Murphy2,135	79.5%Marco Rubio9,901	12,458
2012Class I	R	34.9%Bill Nelson3,884	62.3%Connie Mack IV6,940	11,139
2010Class III	R	12.9%Kendrick Meek1,031	68.0%Marco Rubio5,435	7,995
2006Class I	R	44.3%Bill Nelson2,771	54.6%Katherine Harris3,420	6,262
2004Class III	R	29.0%Betty Castor2,853	69.2%Mel Martinez6,815	9,854
2000Class I	R	39.6%Bill Nelson3,104	58.4%Bill McCollum4,578	7,840
1998Class III	D	55.4%Bob Graham2,586	44.6%Charlie Crist2,082	4,668
1994Class I	R	22.8%Hugh E. Rodham1,185	77.2%Connie Mack III4,010	5,195
1992Class III	D	63.9%Bob Graham4,689	36.1%Bill Grant2,647	7,336
1988Class I	R	48.0%Buddy McKay2,498	52.0%Connie Mack III2,711	5,209
1986Class III	D	53.8%Bob Graham2,197	45.9%Paula Hawkins1,875	4,082
1982Class I	D	79.6%Lawton Chiles2,029	20.4%Van B. Poole520	2,549
1980Class III	D	64.6%Bill Gunter3,082	35.4%Paula Hawkins1,687	4,769
1976Class I	D	72.0%Lawton Chiles2,572	28.0%John Grady1,000	3,572
1974Class III	D	50.1%Richard Stone744	27.1%Jack Eckerd402	1,484
1970Class I	D	70.1%Lawton Chiles1,243	29.9%William C. Cramer531	1,774
1968Class III	R	33.2%Leroy Collins738	66.8%Edward J. Gurney1,487	2,225
1964Class I	D	81.8%Spessard L. Holland1,284	18.2%Claude E. Kirk Jr.285	1,569
1962Class III	D	94.3%George A. Smathers748	5.7%Emerson Rupert45	793
1958Class I	D	97.9%Spessard L. Holland558	2.1%Leland Hyzer12	570
1956Class III	D	100.0%George A. Smathers1,395	0.0%None0	1,395
1952Class I	D	100.0%Spessard L. Holland1,511	0.0%None0	1,511
1950Class III	D	94.3%George A. Smathers812	5.7%John P. Booth49	861
1946Class I	D	78.2%Spessard L. Holland391	21.8%J. Harry Schad109	500
1944Class III	D	90.2%Claude Pepper1,091	9.8%Miles H. Draper119	1,210
1940Class I	D	100.0%Charles O. Andrews628	0.0%None0	628
1938Class III	D	89.3%Claude Pepper723	10.7%Thomas E. Swanson87	810
1934Class I	—	0.0%Park Trammell0	0.0%None0	410
1932Class III	D	100.0%Duncan U. Fletcher915	0.0%None0	915
1928Class I	D	92.0%Park Trammell641	8.0%Barclay H. Warburton56	697
1926Class III	D	86.6%Duncan U. Fletcher155	6.1%W.R. O'Neal11	179
1922Class I	D	100.0%Park Trammell227	0.0%None0	227
1920Class III	D	82.5%Duncan U. Fletcher372	11.5%John M. Cheney52	451
1916Class I	D	86.7%Park Trammell373	9.1%W.R. O'Neal39	430
1914Class III	D	100.0%Duncan U. Fletcher150	0.0%None0	150

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1936Special · Class I	D	50.2%Charles O. Andrews1,298	3.4%Howard C. Babcock88	2,586

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	10.2%Charlie Crist1,092	89.5%Ron Desantis9,594	10,725
2018	R	16.7%Andrew Gillum1,760	82.4%Ron Desantis8,688	10,542
2014	R	24.9%Charlie Crist2,100	70.5%Rick Scott5,956	8,444
2010	R	34.5%Alex Sink2,731	62.3%Rick Scott4,940	7,924
2006	R	27.8%Jim Davis1,738	69.4%Charlie Crist4,335	6,247
2002	R	30.1%Bill McBride1,961	69.2%Jeb Bush4,515	6,523
1998	R	28.9%Buddy MacKay1,326	71.1%Jeb Bush3,268	4,594
1994	R	31.5%Lawton Chiles1,654	68.5%Jeb Bush3,600	5,254
1990	D	52.3%Lawton Chiles2,150	47.7%Bob Martinez1,957	4,107
1986	R	36.7%Steve Pajcic1,447	63.1%Bob Martinez2,491	3,945
1982	D	82.2%Bob Graham2,074	17.8%Skip Bafalis449	2,523
1978	D	63.3%Bob Graham2,012	36.7%Jack Eckerd1,167	3,179

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024R+47.8

Presidential vote · 2024R+73.1

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 25 points more Democratic.

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Baker County, FL
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2017	15,279	5,735	7,887	1,607	50
2018	15,446	5,226	8,509	1,651	60
2019	15,895	5,024	8,960	1,830	81
2020	17,166	4,461	10,598	1,954	153
2021	17,439	4,253	10,844	2,153	189
2023	18,150	3,751	11,767	2,350	282
2024	19,278	3,623	12,843	2,393	419

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+155 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +2,306 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $55,835 in average income, against $69,603 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+15.6 on average — 57 points more Democratic-leaning than Baker County, FL itself (R+73.1).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Duval County, FL267R+1.5
Clay County, FL86R+39.3
Columbia County, FL27R+50.2
Nassau County, FL26R+46.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Duval County, FL188
Clay County, FL53
Nassau County, FL33
Columbia County, FL27
Charlton County, GA22

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Baker County, FL in Baker County, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−157
2012	−123
2013	−116
2014	−68
2015	+151
2016	+409
2017	+250
2018	+61
2019	+802
2021	+548
2022	−972
2023	+671
2024	+695
2025	+155

A rural county in the state's northeastern corner, Baker recorded an R+73.1 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in Florida—reflecting a predominantly white, small-town population with little competitive electoral history.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 73.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.1 points.

A population of 28,430, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,836 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brantley County and Pike County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Brantley County

Georgia

92.5twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Pike County

Georgia

92.4twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Baker County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Baker County

Macclenny

R+71

7.7K residents

Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Baker County, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Baker County, Florida voted Republican by 73.1 points (R+73.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,977 votes cast, 1,982 went Democratic and 12,926 went Republican.

When did Baker County, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Baker County, Florida voted Democratic was 1980.

How many people live in Baker County, Florida?

Baker County, Florida has a population of 28,430 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Baker County, Florida?

Median household income in Baker County, Florida is $79,836 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Baker County, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baker County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.

Measure

Baker County

Florida

United States

Median age

38.1

43.1

39.1

Age 18–24

8.9%

8.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

15.4%

21.3%

17.2%

Measure

Baker County

Florida

United States

Median household income

$79,836

$74,568

$84,427

Poverty rate

11.8%

12.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

17.8%

34.2%

35.6%

Measure

Baker County

Florida

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.2%

30.7%

22.3%

Spanish

2.2%

22.6%

13.6%

Measure

Baker County

Florida

United States

Catholic

2.3%

19.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

25.4%

18.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

66.8%

53.1%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+73.1MIT Election Lab

Population

28,4302024 5-year

Median household income

$79,8362024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

77.6%2024 5-year

Black

10.9%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

4.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+87.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+73.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Brantley County, GA · twin score 92.5

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

12,768

20,415

62.5%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

10,635

20,904

50.9%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

14,134

21,768

64.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

10,737

21,127

50.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

15,054

21,393

70.4%

A/A

Baker County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -5A-GLEN ST MARY5A-GLEN ST MARY

248

2,974

3,249

7.6%

91.5%

R+83.9

Precinct -3A-NORTH MACCLENNY3A-NORTH MACCLENNY

396

2,510

2,932

13.5%

85.6%

R+72.1

Precinct -2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY

511

2,331

2,864

17.8%

81.4%

R+63.5

Precinct -4C-MACEDONIA4C-MACEDONIA

185

1,817

2,009

9.2%

90.4%

R+81.2

Precinct -1A-SANDERSON1A-SANDERSON

471

1,445

1,928

24.4%

74.9%

R+50.5

Precinct -4D-CUYLER4D-CUYLER

948

1,009

5.7%

94.0%

R+88.2

Precinct -4B-TAYLOR4B-TAYLOR

551

595

6.6%

92.6%

R+86.1

Precinct -6A-OLUSTEE6A-OLUSTEE

177

236

25.0%

75.0%

R+50.0

Precinct -4A-BAXTER4A-BAXTER

173

189

7.9%

91.5%

R+83.6

Presidential margin, 1884–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1884	+31.4%
1888	No data
1892	No data
1896	No data
1900	No data
1904	+25.7%
1908	+14.3%
1912	+39.6%
1916	+68.9%
1920	+45.5%
1924	+24.0%
1928	−46.5%
1932	+87.3%
1936	+86.1%
1940	+84.4%
1944	+79.9%
1948	+62.7%
1952	+55.9%
1956	+59.5%
1960	+57.4%
1964	+0.7%
1968	+7.0%
1972	−67.3%
1976	+45.9%
1980	+6.6%
1984	−43.2%
1988	−43.1%
1992	−21.3%
1996	−21.3%
2000	−39.5%
2004	−55.8%
2008	−57.4%
2012	−58.6%
2016	−64.8%
2020	−70.2%
2024	−73.1%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

13.2%Harris1,982

86.3%Trump12,926

0.2%Oliver36 +4

R+73.1

R+2.8

R+71.6

14,977

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican86.3%12,926
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic13.2%1,982
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%36
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%15
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%9
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%6
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%3

2020

14.5%Biden2,037

84.7%Trump11,911

0.7%Jorgensen93

R+70.2

R+5.5

R+74.7

14,059

2016

16.7%Clinton2,112

81.5%Trump10,294

1.3%Johnson169

R+64.8

R+6.1

R+66.9

12,634

2012

20.3%Obama2,311

78.9%Romney8,975

0.7%

R+58.6

R+1.2

R+62.5

11,368

2008

21.0%Obama2,327

78.4%McCain8,672

0.5%

R+57.4

R+1.5

R+64.6

11,059

2004

21.9%Kerry2,180

77.7%Bush7,738

0.4%

R+55.8

R+16.4

R+53.4

9,955

2000

29.3%Gore2,392

68.8%Bush5,611

0.6%Nader53

R+39.5

R+18.2

R+40.0

8,155

1996

34.2%Clinton2,273

55.5%Dole3,686

10.0%Perot667

R+21.3

D+0.1

R+29.8

6,637

1992

29.2%Clinton1,976

50.6%Bush3,418

19.5%Perot1,315

R+21.3

D+21.8

R+26.9

6,756

1988

28.3%Dukakis1,355

71.5%Bush3,418

0.2%

R+43.1

D+0.1

R+35.4

4,781

1984

28.4%Mondale1,381

71.6%Reagan3,485

0.0%

R+43.2

R+49.8

R+25.0

4,866

1980

52.5%Carter2,611

45.9%Reagan2,283

1.6%

D+6.6

R+39.3

D+16.3

4,976

1976

71.2%Carter2,985

25.2%Ford1,058

3.6%

D+45.9

D+113.3

D+43.9

4,195

1972

16.3%McGovern379

83.6%Nixon1,943

0.0%

R+67.3

R+74.4

R+44.2

2,323

1968

17.8%Humphrey487

10.7%Nixon294

71.5%

Wallace +53.8

D+6.3

D+7.7

2,743

1964

50.4%Johnson1,137

49.6%Goldwater1,121

0.0%

D+0.7

R+56.7

R+21.9

2,258

1960

78.7%Kennedy1,469

21.3%Nixon398

0.0%

D+57.4

R+2.2

D+57.2

1,867

1956

79.8%Stevenson1,443

20.2%Eisenhower366

0.0%

D+59.5

D+3.6

D+74.9

1,809

1952

78.0%Stevenson1,482

22.0%Eisenhower419

0.0%

D+55.9

R+6.8

D+66.7

1,901

1948

72.2%Truman849

9.5%Dewey112

18.3%

D+62.7

R+17.2

D+58.2

1,176

1944

90.0%Roosevelt1,137

10.0%Dewey127

0.0%

D+79.9

R+4.5

D+72.4

1,264

1940

92.2%Roosevelt1,352

7.8%Willkie114

0.0%

D+84.4

R+1.7

D+74.5

1,466

1936

93.1%Roosevelt1,555

6.9%Landon116

0.0%

D+86.1

R+1.1

D+61.9

1,671

1932

93.6%Roosevelt1,278

6.4%Hoover87

0.0%

D+87.3

D+133.7

D+69.5

1,365

1928

25.9%Smith242

72.4%Hoover676

1.7%

R+46.5

R+70.5

R+29.0

934

1924

56.7%Davis215

32.7%Coolidge124

6.6%La Follette25

D+24.0

R+21.5

D+49.2

379

1920

68.1%Cox346

22.6%Harding115

9.3%

D+45.5

R+23.4

D+71.7

508

1916

78.1%Wilson439

9.3%Hughes52

12.6%

D+68.9

D+29.3

D+65.7

562

1912

50.8%Wilson168

11.2%Taft37

38.1%

D+39.6

D+25.3

D+20.0

331

1908

45.2%Bryan152

31.0%Taft104

23.8%

D+14.3

R+11.4

D+23.8

336

1904

61.1%Parker207

35.4%Roosevelt120

3.5%

D+25.7

—

D+45.3

339

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

65.7%Cleveland337

34.3%Blaine176

0.0%

D+31.4

—

513

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

13.7%2,014

86.3%12,680

14,694

2020

17.9%2,476

82.1%11,329

13,805

2018

18.9%1,966

81.1%8,448

10,414

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

14.6%2,161

83.9%12,415

14,797

2022

11.0%1,181

88.2%9,431

10,692

2018Class I

18.5%Bill Nelson1,945

81.5%Rick Scott8,579

10,525

2016Class III

17.1%Patrick Murphy2,135

79.5%Marco Rubio9,901

12,458

2012Class I

34.9%Bill Nelson3,884

62.3%Connie Mack IV6,940

11,139

2010Class III

12.9%Kendrick Meek1,031

68.0%Marco Rubio5,435

7,995

2006Class I

44.3%Bill Nelson2,771

54.6%Katherine Harris3,420

6,262

2004Class III

29.0%Betty Castor2,853

69.2%Mel Martinez6,815

9,854

2000Class I

39.6%Bill Nelson3,104

58.4%Bill McCollum4,578

7,840

1998Class III

55.4%Bob Graham2,586

44.6%Charlie Crist2,082

4,668

1994Class I

22.8%Hugh E. Rodham1,185

77.2%Connie Mack III4,010

5,195

1992Class III

63.9%Bob Graham4,689

36.1%Bill Grant2,647

7,336

1988Class I

48.0%Buddy McKay2,498

52.0%Connie Mack III2,711

5,209

1986Class III

53.8%Bob Graham2,197

45.9%Paula Hawkins1,875

4,082

1982Class I

79.6%Lawton Chiles2,029

20.4%Van B. Poole520

2,549

1980Class III

64.6%Bill Gunter3,082

35.4%Paula Hawkins1,687

4,769

1976Class I

72.0%Lawton Chiles2,572

28.0%John Grady1,000

3,572

1974Class III

50.1%Richard Stone744

27.1%Jack Eckerd402

1,484

1970Class I

70.1%Lawton Chiles1,243

29.9%William C. Cramer531

1,774

1968Class III

33.2%Leroy Collins738

66.8%Edward J. Gurney1,487

2,225

1964Class I

81.8%Spessard L. Holland1,284

18.2%Claude E. Kirk Jr.285

1,569

1962Class III

94.3%George A. Smathers748

5.7%Emerson Rupert45

793

1958Class I

97.9%Spessard L. Holland558

2.1%Leland Hyzer12

570

1956Class III

100.0%George A. Smathers1,395

0.0%None0

1,395

1952Class I

100.0%Spessard L. Holland1,511

0.0%None0

1,511

1950Class III

94.3%George A. Smathers812

5.7%John P. Booth49

861

1946Class I

78.2%Spessard L. Holland391

21.8%J. Harry Schad109

500

1944Class III

90.2%Claude Pepper1,091

9.8%Miles H. Draper119

1,210

1940Class I

100.0%Charles O. Andrews628

0.0%None0

628

1938Class III

89.3%Claude Pepper723

10.7%Thomas E. Swanson87

810

1934Class I

—

0.0%Park Trammell0

0.0%None0

410

1932Class III

100.0%Duncan U. Fletcher915

0.0%None0

915

1928Class I

92.0%Park Trammell641

8.0%Barclay H. Warburton56

697

1926Class III

86.6%Duncan U. Fletcher155

6.1%W.R. O'Neal11

179

1922Class I

100.0%Park Trammell227

0.0%None0

227

1920Class III

82.5%Duncan U. Fletcher372

11.5%John M. Cheney52

451

1916Class I

86.7%Park Trammell373

9.1%W.R. O'Neal39

430

1914Class III

100.0%Duncan U. Fletcher150

0.0%None0

150

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1936Special · Class I

50.2%Charles O. Andrews1,298

3.4%Howard C. Babcock88

2,586

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

10.2%Charlie Crist1,092

89.5%Ron Desantis9,594

10,725

2018

16.7%Andrew Gillum1,760

82.4%Ron Desantis8,688

10,542

2014

24.9%Charlie Crist2,100

70.5%Rick Scott5,956

8,444

2010

34.5%Alex Sink2,731

62.3%Rick Scott4,940

7,924

2006

27.8%Jim Davis1,738

69.4%Charlie Crist4,335

6,247

2002

30.1%Bill McBride1,961

69.2%Jeb Bush4,515

6,523

1998

28.9%Buddy MacKay1,326

71.1%Jeb Bush3,268

4,594

1994

31.5%Lawton Chiles1,654

68.5%Jeb Bush3,600

5,254

1990

52.3%Lawton Chiles2,150

47.7%Bob Martinez1,957

4,107

1986

36.7%Steve Pajcic1,447

63.1%Bob Martinez2,491

3,945

1982

82.2%Bob Graham2,074

17.8%Skip Bafalis449

2,523

1978

63.3%Bob Graham2,012

36.7%Jack Eckerd1,167

3,179

Frequently asked questions

How did Baker County, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Baker County, Florida voted Republican by 73.1 points (R+73.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,977 votes cast, 1,982 went Democratic and 12,926 went Republican.

When did Baker County, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Baker County, Florida voted Democratic was 1980.

How many people live in Baker County, Florida?

Baker County, Florida has a population of 28,430 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Baker County, Florida?

Median household income in Baker County, Florida is $79,836 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Baker County, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baker County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.