- Lead
- 42,940
- Total
- 92,499
- vs nation
- R+45.0
Florida 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 38,246
- Total
- 90,314
- vs nation
- R+46.8
- Lead
- 33,161
- Total
- 79,303
- vs nation
- R+43.9
- Lead
- 27,883
- Total
- 75,178
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Lead
- 26,252
- Total
- 76,293
- vs nation
- R+41.7
- Lead
- 25,092
- Total
- 68,731
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Lead
- 13,189
- Total
- 53,097
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Lead
- 4,671
- Total
- 46,234
- vs nation
- R+18.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,8672024 5-year
- Population density
- 80 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,265 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,5422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.1 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 7, FL · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
36.1%
19,173 votes · R+24.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 32.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.8%
67,372 votes · R+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
25,604votes
28.3% of the vote · R+42.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 24,575 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67,372votes
72.8% of the vote · R+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 63,850 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−25.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+24.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −34.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+46.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +45.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 10 recorded an R+46.4 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most heavily one-sided legislative seats. That kind of spread typically signals a homogeneous electorate and limits meaningful down-ballot competition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.1 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 55.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.4 points.
A population of 180,867, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,542 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 7 and State House District 5.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.