Florida 7th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Democratic peak: D+85 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 753,8322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,0822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
MILLS, Cory
−1 liberal+1 conservative
Predecessors: MURPHY, Stephanie (2021–2023), MURPHY, Stephanie (2019–2021), MURPHY, Stephanie (2017–2019), MICA, John L. (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 7, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 177,068 | 217,883 | 399,471 | ||
| R | 193,884 | 206,919 | 405,279 | ||
| R | 157,175 | 176,642 | 347,477 | ||
| R | 150,365 | 165,151 | 318,827 | ||
| D | 159,386 | 158,609 | 320,467 | ||
| R | 131,253 | 160,764 | 293,773 | ||
| R | 104,954 | 114,494 | 224,113 | ||
| R | 82,142 | 89,443 | 190,162 | ||
| R | 66,308 | 84,906 | 190,629 | ||
| R | 48,700 | 95,265 | 145,300 | ||
| R | 38,386 | 88,365 | 126,810 | ||
| R | 38,360 | 64,735 | 108,313 | ||
| R | 42,710 | 44,287 | 88,270 | ||
| R | 16,670 | 52,401 | 69,259 | ||
| R | 17,862 | 23,990 | 57,213 | ||
| D | 25,525 | 21,820 | 47,345 | ||
| R | 15,876 | 22,266 | 38,142 | ||
| R | 9,933 | 17,637 | 27,571 | ||
| R | 8,717 | 13,994 | 22,711 | ||
| D | 6,585 | 5,313 | 14,254 | ||
| D | 6,809 | 4,247 | 11,056 | ||
| D | 7,860 | 4,428 | 12,288 | ||
| D | 6,304 | 3,216 | 9,519 | ||
| D | 5,613 | 3,027 | 8,640 | ||
| R | 2,617 | 4,912 | 7,645 | ||
| D | 1,905 | 1,138 | 3,463 | ||
| D | 2,783 | 1,789 | 4,851 | ||
| D | 1,430 | 571 | 2,242 | ||
| D | 443 | 76 | 656 | ||
| D | 346 | 209 | 594 | ||
| D | 307 | 124 | 493 | ||
| D | 355 | 120 | 528 | ||
| D | 354 | 298 | 689 | ||
| D | 369 | 0 | 433 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 413 | 382 | 795 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.8%
Irish
10.2%
English
9.8%
American
9.1%
Italian
6.6%
Polish
2.5%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,082
Congressional District 7 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 7$80,082
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.9%
Working age (18–64)9.6%
Seniors (65+)10.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.6%
speak English only
Spanish13.9%
Other Indo-European3.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Florida's 7th stretches through Orlando's northern suburbs, where a growing Puerto Rican and Latino population has reshaped the electorate over the past decade, producing presidential margins within single digits in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Florida 7th Congressional District has rarely exceeded eighty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 63% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $80,082 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 7, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1207/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 7, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 7, Florida voted Republican by 10.2 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 399,471 votes cast, 177,068 went Democratic and 217,883 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 7, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 7, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 7, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 7, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 7, Florida?
Congressional District 7, Florida has a population of 753,832 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 7, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 7, Florida is $80,082 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 7, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 7, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.