Florida 11th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 966,8982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: NUGENT, Richard (2015–2017), NUGENT, Richard (2013–2015), CASTOR, Kathy (2011–2013), CASTOR, Kathy (2009–2011)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 210,659 | 264,696 | 479,937 | ||
| R | 225,801 | 240,871 | 470,942 | ||
| R | 182,293 | 195,946 | 390,834 | ||
| R | 159,772 | 169,953 | 332,492 | ||
| D | 158,239 | 156,485 | 316,961 | ||
| R | 113,939 | 141,797 | 257,830 | ||
| R | 86,504 | 96,786 | 187,125 | ||
| R | 67,495 | 69,808 | 153,363 | ||
| R | 52,233 | 66,414 | 149,298 | ||
| R | 36,279 | 75,945 | 113,144 | ||
| R | 31,160 | 77,668 | 108,890 | ||
| R | 33,651 | 55,588 | 93,108 | ||
| R | 38,402 | 42,607 | 82,081 | ||
| R | 13,859 | 55,962 | 70,041 | ||
| R | 13,420 | 28,016 | 62,283 | ||
| R | 23,161 | 29,812 | 52,974 | ||
| R | 14,716 | 28,562 | 43,278 | ||
| R | 12,055 | 22,719 | 34,774 | ||
| R | 11,043 | 18,823 | 29,866 | ||
| D | 8,301 | 7,243 | 18,343 | ||
| D | 9,999 | 5,392 | 15,391 | ||
| D | 11,986 | 5,199 | 17,186 | ||
| D | 7,823 | 3,890 | 11,713 | ||
| D | 6,753 | 2,960 | 9,713 | ||
| R | 3,219 | 6,215 | 9,614 | ||
| D | 2,295 | 1,394 | 4,214 | ||
| D | 3,092 | 1,350 | 4,600 | ||
| D | 1,862 | 471 | 2,516 | ||
| D | 1,372 | 163 | 1,909 | ||
| D | 1,100 | 374 | 1,734 | ||
| D | 1,020 | 265 | 1,466 | ||
| D | 1,036 | 284 | 1,435 | ||
| D | 1,530 | 483 | 2,128 | ||
| D | 1,581 | 0 | 2,052 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 1,839 | 896 | 2,735 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
FL-11 spans the Nature Coast and Central Florida exurbs, where a predominantly white, rural-to-suburban electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Florida 11th Congressional District has rarely exceeded seventy-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eleven points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,142 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Congressional District 11, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1211/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.