akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 11·Florida

Florida 11th Congressional District delivered R+11 in 2024.

One of Florida's most reliably Republican congressional districts

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+11
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
966,898
2024 ACS

Florida 11th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
966,8982024 5-year
Median household income
$76,1422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
56.0%2024 5-year
Black
15.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+77 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
WEBSTER, Daniel A.Congress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: NUGENT, Richard (2015–2017), NUGENT, Richard (2013–2015), CASTOR, Kathy (2011–2013), CASTOR, Kathy (2009–2011)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−11.3%
210,659264,696479,937
R
−3.2%
225,801240,871470,942
R
−3.5%
182,293195,946390,834
R
−3.1%
159,772169,953332,492
D
+0.6%
158,239156,485316,961
R
−10.8%
113,939141,797257,830
R
−5.5%
86,50496,786187,125
R
−1.5%
67,49569,808153,363
R
−9.5%
52,23366,414149,298
R
−35.1%
36,27975,945113,144
R
−42.7%
31,16077,668108,890
R
−23.6%
33,65155,58893,108
R
−5.1%
38,40242,60782,081
R
−60.1%
13,85955,96270,041
R
−23.4%
13,42028,01662,283
R
−12.6%
23,16129,81252,974
R
−32.0%
14,71628,56243,278
R
−30.7%
12,05522,71934,774
R
−26.0%
11,04318,82329,866
D
+5.8%
8,3017,24318,343
D
+29.9%
9,9995,39215,391
D
+39.5%
11,9865,19917,186
D
+33.6%
7,8233,89011,713
D
+39.1%
6,7532,9609,713
R
−31.2%
3,2196,2159,614
D
+21.4%
2,2951,3944,214
D
+37.9%
3,0921,3504,600
D
+55.3%
1,8624712,516
D
+63.3%
1,3721631,909
D
+41.9%
1,1003741,734
D
+51.5%
1,0202651,466
D
+52.4%
1,0362841,435
D
+49.2%
1,5304832,128
D
+77.0%
1,58102,052
No data
D
+34.5%
1,8398962,735
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R42.8%55.6%10,757,428
2022R41.3%57.7%7,758,014
2018R49.9%50.1%8,190,005
2016R44.3%52.0%9,301,820
2012D55.2%42.2%8,189,946
2010R20.2%48.9%5,411,106
2006D60.3%38.1%4,793,534
2004R48.3%49.4%7,429,894
2000D51.0%46.2%5,856,731
1998D62.5%37.5%3,900,162
1994R29.5%70.5%4,106,816
1992D65.4%34.6%4,962,290
1988R49.6%50.4%4,068,209
1986D54.7%45.3%3,429,996
1982D61.7%38.3%2,653,419
1980R48.3%51.7%3,528,028
1976D63.0%37.0%2,857,534

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
10.8%
German
9.8%
English
8.9%
Irish
8.5%
Italian
5.2%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
72.8%
speak English only
Spanish19.3%
Other Indo-European5.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.8%
Other Christian
13.1%
Baptist
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.2%
Methodist
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

FL-11 spans the Nature Coast and Central Florida exurbs, where a predominantly white, rural-to-suburban electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles.

The Democratic margin in Florida 11th Congressional District has rarely exceeded seventy-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,142 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 11, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1211/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 11, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 11, Florida voted Republican by 11.3 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 479,937 votes cast, 210,659 went Democratic and 264,696 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 11, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 11, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 11, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 11, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Congressional District 11, Florida?
Congressional District 11, Florida has a population of 966,898 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 11, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 11, Florida is $76,142 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 11, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 11, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.