akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·Florida

Florida 10th Congressional District changed direction in the last decade — D+14 in 2024.

Orlando-anchored district delivers among Florida's widest Democratic margins

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
399,717
2024 ACS

Florida 10th Congressional District, Florida: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
399,7172024 5-year
Median household income
$79,7192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
42.0%2024 5-year
Black
20.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
33.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
FROST, MaxwellCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: DEMINGS, Valdez (2021–2023), DEMINGS, Valdez (2019–2021), DEMINGS, Valdez (2017–2019), WEBSTER, Daniel A. (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+13.6%
92,52770,131164,861
D
+23.1%
107,26966,640175,808
D
+24.7%
89,58553,013148,345
D
+18.2%
74,31651,213126,644
D
+18.6%
74,13850,736125,653
D
+0.2%
52,50752,286105,377
D
+2.0%
38,08236,53376,078
R
−0.2%
28,66028,80162,764
R
−11.0%
22,45329,54264,362
R
−36.6%
14,67031,83746,917
R
−42.9%
13,23933,14946,432
R
−27.0%
13,24323,74938,892
R
−9.2%
15,87019,13235,421
R
−59.5%
6,47425,66732,255
R
−28.1%
6,12313,81527,337
R
−12.2%
10,38713,27523,661
R
−41.9%
5,35813,10118,459
R
−44.1%
3,94610,17914,125
R
−42.1%
3,2978,09611,393
R
−7.4%
2,7333,2516,966
D
+15.3%
3,2612,3975,658
D
+22.0%
3,4822,2265,708
D
+24.9%
1,9861,1933,179
D
+16.1%
1,3249562,281
R
−42.0%
7101,7722,530
D
+5.6%
5114491,116
D
+16.1%
553393996
D
+48.0%
342113477
D
+55.8%
34162500
D
+29.1%
259132437
D
+44.5%
23786339
D
+33.0%
233109376
D
+30.0%
295153473
D
+92.0%
3100337
No data
D
+25.5%
507301808
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R42.8%55.6%10,757,428
2022R41.3%57.7%7,758,014
2018R49.9%50.1%8,190,005
2016R44.3%52.0%9,301,820
2012D55.2%42.2%8,189,946
2010R20.2%48.9%5,411,106
2006D60.3%38.1%4,793,534
2004R48.3%49.4%7,429,894
2000D51.0%46.2%5,856,731
1998D62.5%37.5%3,900,162
1994R29.5%70.5%4,106,816
1992D65.4%34.6%4,962,290
1988R49.6%50.4%4,068,209
1986D54.7%45.3%3,429,996
1982D61.7%38.3%2,653,419
1980R48.3%51.7%3,528,028
1976D63.0%37.0%2,857,534

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
8.7%
German
6.5%
English
6.3%
Irish
5.9%
Italian
4.5%
Polish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.5%
speak English only
Spanish26.2%
Other Indo-European8.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.0%
Baptist
6.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Methodist
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

FL-10 covers a dense urban core west of Orlando, where a majority-minority electorate — heavily Black and Hispanic — has produced double-digit Democratic presidential margins consistently over the past decade.

The 2000 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by two points. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 399,717, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,719 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1210/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, Florida voted Democratic by 13.6 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 164,861 votes cast, 92,527 went Democratic and 70,131 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Florida as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 10, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Florida voted Republican was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, Florida?
Congressional District 10, Florida has a population of 399,717 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, Florida is $79,719 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.