Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 10th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+26.92012D+28.92016D+34.02020D+32.92024D+23.9
full record · 20082024
D+23.9
2024
median income$71,412U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age34.9U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate15.3%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)39.3%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english38.5%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American9.5%
German7.1%
English6.9%
Puerto Rican12.8%
Colombian3.0%
Venezuelan3.0%
African American16.7%
Haitian5.1%
Jamaican2.4%
Asian Indian1.4%
Chinese0.8%
Vietnamese0.8%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Orange County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 10th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionFlorida 10th Congressional DistrictHarrisD+23.9
Florida 10th Congressional District premium atlas map: Harris D+23.9, 147 precincts, 4 city labels.
2024
147 precincts by 2024 margin · 4 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +23.9% in 2024.+23.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+26.9%
2012+28.9%
2016+34.0%
2020+32.9%
2024+23.9%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DMaxwell FrostU.S. House · FL-10-0.44
RMarco RubioU.S. Senate
RRick ScottU.S. Senate+0.73
RAshley MoodyU.S. Senate+0.61

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202410D
62.4%181,455
37.6%109,460
290,915
202210D
59.0%117,955
39.4%78,844
199,910
202010D
63.6%239,434
36.4%136,889
376,397
201810D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
201610D
64.9%198,491
35.1%107,498
305,989
201410R
38.5%89,426
61.5%143,128
232,574
201210R
48.3%153,574
51.7%164,649
318,269
201010R
34.1%71,313
65.9%137,943
209,256
200810R
39.3%118,430
60.7%182,781
301,220
200610R
34.1%67,950
65.9%131,488
199,445
200410R
30.7%91,658
69.3%207,175
298,833
200210R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
200010R
0.0%0
75.7%146,799
194,003
199810R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
199610R
33.4%57,375
66.6%114,443
171,820
199410R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
199210R
43.4%114,809
56.6%149,606
264,415
199010R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
198810R
26.5%56,536
73.5%156,563
213,099
198610R
28.8%49,571
71.2%122,395
171,966
198410R
38.1%77,635
61.9%126,206
203,841
198210D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
198010R
21.1%72,646
78.9%272,393
345,039
197810R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
197610R
33.7%83,413
66.3%164,273
247,686

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
42.8%4,603,077
55.6%5,977,706
10,757,428
2022R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534

Florida's 10th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Orange county. About 769,000 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 34.9. Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2012, by narrowing margins. The margin was D+28.8 in 2012, D+34.0 in 2016, D+32.9 in 2020, and D+23.9 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.9 points.

A population of 769,026, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,412 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 3.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 10th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1210/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Florida 10th Congressional District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 10th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 10th Congressional District voted Democratic by 23.9 points (D+23.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 300,033 votes cast, 183,364 went Democratic and 111,727 went Republican.
How many people live in Florida 10th Congressional District?
Florida 10th Congressional District has a population of 769,026 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 10th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 10th Congressional District is $71,412 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 10th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 10th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.