Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 12th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+4.12012D+2.72016R+4.22020R+5.82024R+15.3
full record · 20082024
R+15.3
2024
median income$65,279U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age46.8U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate12.5%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)32.8%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english23.7%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American11.4%
German11.4%
Irish9.8%
Puerto Rican8.0%
Cuban5.1%
Mexican4.2%
African American7.3%
Jamaican0.7%
Haitian0.6%
Asian Indian1.7%
Filipino0.6%
Vietnamese0.6%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Pasco County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 12th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionFlorida 12th Congressional DistrictTrumpR+15.3
Florida 12th Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+15.3, 203 precincts, 10 city labels.
2024
203 precincts by 2024 margin · 10 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −15.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−15.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+4.1%
2012+2.7%
2016−4.2%
2020−5.8%
2024−15.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RGus BilirakisU.S. House · FL-12+0.42
RMarco RubioU.S. Senate
RRick ScottU.S. Senate+0.73
RAshley MoodyU.S. Senate+0.61

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202412R
29.0%124,949
71.0%306,487
431,436
202212R
29.6%95,390
70.4%226,601
321,995
202012R
37.1%168,194
62.9%284,941
453,135
201812R
39.7%132,844
58.1%194,564
334,918
201612R
31.4%116,110
68.6%253,559
369,669
201412R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
201212R
32.9%108,770
63.5%209,604
330,167
201012R
41.1%87,769
48.1%102,704
213,330
200812R
42.5%137,465
57.5%185,698
323,163
200612R
0.0%0
69.1%124,452
180,064
200412R
35.1%96,965
64.9%179,204
276,169
200212R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
200012R
43.0%94,395
57.0%125,224
219,625
199812R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
199612R
38.4%76,513
61.6%122,584
199,097
199412R
35.0%57,210
65.0%106,140
163,350
199212R
47.9%92,346
52.1%100,484
192,830
199012R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
198812R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
198612R
0.0%0
99.4%150,244
151,180
198412R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
198212R
47.4%73,913
52.6%81,893
155,806
198012R
45.5%107,164
54.5%128,561
235,725
197812D
61.6%107,037
38.4%66,610
173,647
197612R
46.1%91,749
53.9%107,268
199,076

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
42.8%4,603,077
55.6%5,977,706
10,757,428
2022R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534

Florida's 12th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Pasco and Hillsborough counties. About 768,300 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 46.8. Measured on those boundaries, the district voted Democratic for president early in the decade and Republican in 2024. The margin was D+2.7 in 2012, R+4.2 in 2016, R+5.8 in 2020, and R+15.3 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 15.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.3 points.

A population of 768,276, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,279 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 21.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Florida 12th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1212/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Florida 12th Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 12th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 12th Congressional District voted Republican by 15.3 points (R+15.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 384,447 votes cast, 159,994 went Democratic and 218,930 went Republican.
When did Florida 12th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 12th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida 12th Congressional District?
Florida 12th Congressional District has a population of 768,276 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 12th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 12th Congressional District is $65,279 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 12th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 12th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.