Florida 21st Congressional District (FL) — Elections 1876–2024

Florida 21st Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+11%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+11MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 798,0422024 5-year
Median household income: $77,9752024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 60.0%2024 5-year
Black: 17.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 21.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab

MAST, Brian JeffreyCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: FRANKEL, Lois (2021–2023), FRANKEL, Lois (2019–2021), FRANKEL, Lois (2017–2019), DEUTCH, Theodore E. (Ted) (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−11.1%	183,835	230,226	417,154
2020	R	−2.3%	198,871	208,090	409,702
2016	R	−2.3%	164,333	172,397	345,549
2012	D	+3.2%	158,750	148,801	309,750
2008	D	+9.3%	165,494	137,236	304,888
2004	D	+5.1%	141,054	127,138	270,295
2000	D	+9.4%	116,612	96,139	217,785
1996	D	+8.5%	98,441	81,444	199,901
1992	R	−1.0%	72,408	74,398	194,174
1988	R	−27.2%	54,823	96,183	151,910
1984	R	−35.8%	42,861	90,639	133,522
1980	R	−28.0%	34,950	64,436	105,395
1976	R	−2.8%	38,533	40,821	80,632
1972	R	−50.2%	14,869	45,064	60,207
1968	R	−20.6%	13,707	23,626	48,145
1964	R	−2.9%	19,239	20,404	39,643
1960	R	−15.2%	13,387	18,195	31,582
1956	R	−37.9%	6,689	14,850	21,539
1952	R	−30.1%	6,508	12,109	18,617
1948	R	−3.7%	4,208	4,611	10,883
1944	D	+28.6%	5,081	2,820	7,900
1940	D	+29.7%	5,321	2,881	8,202
1936	D	+46.5%	4,454	1,628	6,082
1932	D	+43.9%	3,816	1,488	5,304
1928	R	−21.3%	1,691	2,637	4,451
1924	D	+7.9%	999	834	2,090
1920	D	+14.4%	1,434	1,047	2,695
1916	D	+50.6%	833	190	1,272
1912	D	+60.2%	434	51	636
1908	D	+50.0%	280	63	434
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	42.8%	55.6%	10,757,428
2022	R	41.3%	57.7%	7,758,014
2018	R	49.9%	50.1%	8,190,005
2016	R	44.3%	52.0%	9,301,820
2012	D	55.2%	42.2%	8,189,946
2010	R	20.2%	48.9%	5,411,106
2006	D	60.3%	38.1%	4,793,534
2004	R	48.3%	49.4%	7,429,894
2000	D	51.0%	46.2%	5,856,731
1998	D	62.5%	37.5%	3,900,162
1994	R	29.5%	70.5%	4,106,816
1992	D	65.4%	34.6%	4,962,290
1988	R	49.6%	50.4%	4,068,209
1986	D	54.7%	45.3%	3,429,996
1982	D	61.7%	38.3%	2,653,419
1980	R	48.3%	51.7%	3,528,028
1976	D	63.0%	37.0%	2,857,534

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

American

14.3%

Irish

9.4%

German

9.0%

Italian

8.2%

English

7.5%

Polish

2.8%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 46.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.5%

85+

1.9%

4.3%

75–84

5.0%

6.3%

65–74

7.2%

6.8%

55–64

7.3%

5.8%

45–54

5.9%

5.8%

35–44

5.6%

25–34

5.5%

3.7%

18–24

3.3%

7.1%

5–17

6.8%

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$77,975

Congressional District 21 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 21$77,975

Florida$74,568

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.8%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1817.1%

Working age (18–64)10.6%

Seniors (65+)10.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

74.0%

speak English only

Spanish16.4%

Other Indo-European7.8%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%

Other languages0.7%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

22.0%

Other Christian

9.5%

Baptist

3.2%

Mainline Protestant

1.7%

Methodist

1.5%

Non-Christian

1.5%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.4%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida's 21st congressional district, anchored in Palm Beach County's southern suburbs, delivered a 5-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting the area's growing share of college-educated and Hispanic voters shifting the district's competitive balance.

The Democratic margin in Florida 21st Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by eleven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,975 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 21, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1221/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 21, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 21, Florida voted Republican by 11.1 points (R+11), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 417,154 votes cast, 183,835 went Democratic and 230,226 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 21, Florida's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 21, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 21, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 21, Florida voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Congressional District 21, Florida?

Congressional District 21, Florida has a population of 798,042 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 21, Florida?

Median household income in Congressional District 21, Florida is $77,975 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Congressional District 21, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 21, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Florida 21st Congressional District delivered R+11 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions