Florida 16th Congressional District (FL) — Elections 1876–2024

Florida 16th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+13%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+13MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 1,032,8882024 5-year
Median household income: $79,0892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 59.3%2024 5-year
Black: 12.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 25.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab

BUCHANAN, Vernon G.Congress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: ROONEY, Thomas J. (2011–2013), ROONEY, Thomas J. (2009–2011), MAHONEY, Tim (2007–2009), FOLEY, Mark A. (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

2 counties · 0 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−12.5%	213,897	275,891	494,857
2020	R	−3.1%	239,230	254,653	498,975
2016	R	−3.5%	193,170	207,638	415,665
2012	R	−1.3%	179,961	184,714	368,194
2008	D	+1.1%	178,144	174,330	355,295
2004	R	−9.9%	146,071	178,579	327,083
2000	R	−5.2%	116,388	129,627	253,064
1996	D	+0.4%	99,029	98,259	218,970
1992	R	−6.7%	79,499	94,467	223,196
1988	R	−25.3%	65,839	110,655	177,410
1984	R	−36.5%	55,041	118,340	173,408
1980	R	−17.7%	56,640	82,580	146,892
1976	D	+1.1%	61,805	60,392	123,727
1972	R	−48.4%	26,002	75,025	101,343
1968	R	−12.5%	26,445	37,828	91,068
1964	D	+5.2%	41,309	37,194	78,503
1960	R	−3.4%	33,465	35,824	69,289
1956	R	−15.9%	20,686	28,494	49,181
1952	R	−13.8%	17,753	23,438	41,191
1948	D	+6.3%	10,233	8,729	23,962
1944	D	+45.8%	16,880	6,278	23,158
1940	D	+54.7%	17,305	5,074	22,380
1936	D	+52.5%	11,488	3,578	15,067
1932	D	+53.8%	10,476	3,146	13,622
1928	R	−14.7%	5,430	7,340	12,983
1924	D	+33.0%	2,834	1,257	4,777
1920	D	+28.0%	4,553	2,378	7,758
1916	D	+55.3%	2,866	563	4,168
1912	D	+63.5%	1,758	118	2,583
1908	D	+62.3%	1,715	238	2,372
1904	D	+51.4%	1,375	295	2,103
1900	D	+62.4%	1,429	198	1,973
1896	D	+53.4%	1,318	366	1,783
1892	D	+92.3%	1,425	0	1,544
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	D	+53.3%	1,168	356	1,524
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	42.8%	55.6%	10,757,428
2022	R	41.3%	57.7%	7,758,014
2018	R	49.9%	50.1%	8,190,005
2016	R	44.3%	52.0%	9,301,820
2012	D	55.2%	42.2%	8,189,946
2010	R	20.2%	48.9%	5,411,106
2006	D	60.3%	38.1%	4,793,534
2004	R	48.3%	49.4%	7,429,894
2000	D	51.0%	46.2%	5,856,731
1998	D	62.5%	37.5%	3,900,162
1994	R	29.5%	70.5%	4,106,816
1992	D	65.4%	34.6%	4,962,290
1988	R	49.6%	50.4%	4,068,209
1986	D	54.7%	45.3%	3,429,996
1982	D	61.7%	38.3%	2,653,419
1980	R	48.3%	51.7%	3,528,028
1976	D	63.0%	37.0%	2,857,534

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

10.8%

English

9.5%

Irish

9.2%

American

6.2%

Italian

6.1%

Polish

2.4%

French

1.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.4%

3.1%

75–84

3.7%

5.3%

65–74

6.2%

6.4%

55–64

6.9%

6.1%

45–54

6.3%

6.4%

35–44

6.5%

25–34

6.5%

4.0%

18–24

4.0%

7.5%

5–17

7.2%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$79,089

Congressional District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 16$79,089

Florida$74,568

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

11.5%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1814.1%

Working age (18–64)10.7%

Seniors (65+)12.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

73.8%

speak English only

Spanish19.0%

Other Indo-European4.1%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%

Other languages1.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

21.1%

Other Christian

12.4%

Baptist

7.2%

Methodist

2.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.0%

Mainline Protestant

1.5%

Non-Christian

1.4%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Florida's 16th has delivered double-digit Republican presidential margins across recent cycles, shaped by an older, affluent coastal electorate that has trended away from competitive swings seen elsewhere in the state.

The Democratic margin in Florida 16th Congressional District has rarely exceeded ninety-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by thirteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $79,089 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 16, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 16, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 16, Florida voted Republican by 12.5 points (R+13), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 494,857 votes cast, 213,897 went Democratic and 275,891 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 16, Florida's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 16, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 16, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 16, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.

How many people live in Congressional District 16, Florida?

Congressional District 16, Florida has a population of 1,032,888 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 16, Florida?

Median household income in Congressional District 16, Florida is $79,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Congressional District 16, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 16, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Florida 16th Congressional District delivered R+13 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions