Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 16th Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+4.32012D+0.32016R+5.62020R+5.52024R+13.6
full record · 20082024
R+13.6
2024
median income$84,737U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age43.1U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate9.7%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)34.1%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english19.2%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German13.6%
English12.0%
Irish11.4%
Mexican5.7%
Puerto Rican3.5%
Cuban1.9%
African American9.3%
Haitian1.2%
Jamaican0.7%
Vietnamese0.6%
Asian Indian0.4%
Filipino0.4%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See DeSoto County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 16th Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionFlorida 16th Congressional DistrictTrumpR+13.6
Florida 16th Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+13.6, 204 precincts, 3 city labels.
2024
204 precincts by 2024 margin · 3 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −13.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−13.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+4.3%
2012+0.3%
2016−5.6%
2020−5.5%
2024−13.6%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RVern BuchananU.S. House · FL-16+0.36
RMarco RubioU.S. Senate
RRick ScottU.S. Senate+0.73
RAshley MoodyU.S. Senate+0.61

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
202416R
40.5%168,625
59.5%247,516
416,141
202216R
37.8%115,575
62.1%189,762
305,358
202016R
44.5%215,683
55.5%269,001
484,684
201816R
45.4%164,463
54.6%197,483
361,946
201616R
40.2%155,262
59.8%230,654
385,916
201416R
38.4%105,483
61.5%169,126
274,829
201216R
46.4%161,929
53.6%187,147
349,076
201016R
33.1%80,327
66.8%162,285
242,763
200816R
39.9%139,373
60.1%209,874
349,247
200616D
49.5%115,832
47.7%111,415
233,773
200416R
32.0%101,247
68.0%215,563
316,810
200216R
0.0%0
78.9%176,171
223,340
200016R
37.2%108,782
60.2%176,153
292,500
199816R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
199616R
36.0%98,827
64.0%175,714
274,541
199416R
41.9%88,653
58.1%122,760
211,413
199216R
39.2%101,237
60.8%157,322
258,559
199016D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
198816D
69.4%153,032
30.6%67,461
220,493
198616D
69.7%121,219
30.3%52,809
174,028
198416D
56.4%108,410
43.6%83,903
192,313
198216D
67.9%91,888
32.1%43,458
135,346

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
42.8%4,603,077
55.6%5,977,706
10,757,428
2022R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534

Florida's 16th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in Manatee and DeSoto counties and parts of Sarasota, Pinellas, and Polk. About 769,200 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 43.1. Measured on those boundaries, the district voted Democratic for president early in the decade and Republican in 2024. The margin was D+0.3 in 2012, R+5.6 in 2016, R+5.5 in 2020, and R+13.6 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 13.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.6 points.

A population of 769,221, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,737 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 17 and Congressional District 6.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 16th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Embed & data: CC BY 4.0 · Akashic Intelligence
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →

Places within Florida 16th Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 16th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 16th Congressional District voted Republican by 13.6 points (R+13.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 432,998 votes cast, 184,281 went Democratic and 243,310 went Republican.
When did Florida 16th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 16th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida 16th Congressional District?
Florida 16th Congressional District has a population of 769,221 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 16th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 16th Congressional District is $84,737 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 16th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 16th Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.