akashic
1876–2024
Pinellas County, Florida
Pinellas County·Florida

Pinellas County votes the way the country votes.

A Tampa Bay bellwether that has shifted steadily rightward this decade

18762024·38 elections
Pinellas County, Florida · Michel Rathwell from Cornwall, Canada · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
963,481
2024 ACS
Most similar
St. Lucie County
FL · similarity 0.98
286 precincts · 516,981 votes cast
Trump · R+5
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−5.2%
242,385269,447516,981
2020D
+0.2%
277,450276,209559,715
2016R
−1.1%
233,701239,201492,403
2012D
+5.6%
239,104213,258457,702
2008D
+8.3%
248,299210,066463,282
2004R
−0.0%
225,460225,686455,357
2000D
+4.0%
200,657184,849398,526
1996D
+8.7%
184,748152,155376,272
1992D
+0.3%
160,528159,121422,851
1988R
−16.0%
152,420211,049365,370
1984R
−30.3%
128,574240,612369,249
1980R
−13.7%
138,428185,728345,003
1976R
−2.7%
141,879150,003295,569
1972R
−39.8%
77,197179,541257,116
1968R
−19.4%
68,209109,235211,258
1964D
+10.0%
98,38180,414178,795
1960R
−27.4%
58,054101,779159,833
1956R
−45.1%
28,11374,314102,427
1952R
−42.7%
22,36555,69178,056
1948R
−20.6%
15,72424,90044,524
1944D
+15.4%
19,57414,34033,914
1940D
+17.4%
18,94113,32732,268
1936D
+19.2%
12,0728,18320,255
1932D
+15.9%
9,6707,02416,694
1928R
−50.2%
3,43910,54514,151
1924R
−4.0%
2,6332,8726,043
1920D
+5.5%
2,8482,5295,819
1916D
+39.0%
1,5035552,428
1912D
+54.0%
853871,418
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
7.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.9%
Other Christian
9.8%
Baptist
4.5%
Methodist
3.4%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pinellas County, home to St. Petersburg and Clearwater, delivered margins within 5 points of the national result in four consecutive presidential cycles before moving to R+5.2 in 2024, reflecting broader suburban realignment along Florida's Gulf Coast.

The Democratic margin in Pinellas County has rarely exceeded fifty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by five points.

Pinellas County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $72,646 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Lucie County and Montgomery County.