State Senate District 16 State Senate District (FL) — Elections 1876–2024

Florida 16th State Senate District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+95 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 346,3352024 5-year
Median household income: $78,0702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 55.4%2024 5-year
Black: 14.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+95 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

2 counties · 0 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−3.6%	76,082	81,845	159,845
2020	D	+5.2%	88,615	79,757	170,320
2016	D	+4.8%	73,009	66,089	144,689
2012	D	+6.4%	69,588	61,115	132,088
2008	D	+7.4%	67,877	58,395	127,364
2004	R	−4.8%	55,599	61,243	117,793
2000	R	−0.8%	45,725	46,520	95,030
1996	D	+4.6%	39,976	36,116	84,004
1992	R	−3.0%	32,933	35,574	87,973
1988	R	−18.7%	29,401	43,045	72,869
1984	R	−29.7%	25,285	46,703	72,002
1980	R	−10.8%	26,406	33,233	63,184
1976	D	+4.2%	27,801	25,545	53,996
1972	R	−40.2%	14,024	32,901	46,998
1968	R	−9.1%	13,432	17,220	41,639
1964	D	+14.3%	20,298	15,221	35,519
1960	R	−3.0%	15,587	16,549	32,137
1956	R	−18.5%	9,064	13,192	22,256
1952	R	−16.8%	7,664	10,767	18,432
1948	D	+2.3%	4,579	4,329	10,801
1944	D	+41.4%	7,074	2,934	10,007
1940	D	+48.4%	6,952	2,418	9,370
1936	D	+48.2%	4,540	1,587	6,127
1932	D	+50.2%	4,167	1,381	5,548
1928	R	−16.9%	2,052	2,902	5,037
1924	D	+28.5%	1,002	504	1,748
1920	D	+22.5%	1,467	869	2,656
1916	D	+56.7%	943	166	1,370
1912	D	+62.3%	538	35	807
1908	D	+63.2%	484	66	661
1904	D	+46.5%	354	92	564
1900	D	+58.9%	404	62	581
1896	D	+52.6%	378	105	519
1892	D	+95.5%	486	0	509
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	D	+56.3%	225	63	288
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

9.5%

Irish

8.5%

English

8.3%

American

6.3%

Italian

6.0%

Polish

2.3%

French

1.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.2%

2.3%

75–84

3.0%

4.6%

65–74

5.4%

6.3%

55–64

6.6%

6.3%

45–54

6.4%

6.8%

35–44

6.9%

7.2%

25–34

7.2%

4.2%

18–24

4.3%

7.7%

5–17

7.3%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$78,070

State Senate District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State Senate District 16$78,070

Florida$74,568

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.4%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1815.0%

Working age (18–64)11.6%

Seniors (65+)13.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

72.5%

speak English only

Spanish19.7%

Other Indo-European4.3%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%

Other languages1.2%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

26.5%

Other Christian

13.3%

Baptist

8.5%

Methodist

3.4%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.3%

Non-Christian

2.1%

Mainline Protestant

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+20.6, this district of roughly 534,000 residents ranks among Florida's more decisively right-leaning senate seats, reflecting the demographic and cultural patterns common to the state's inland and coastal-rural communities.

The Democratic margin in Florida 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded ninety-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $78,070 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State Senate District 16, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, State Senate District 16, Florida voted Republican by 3.6 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 159,845 votes cast, 76,082 went Democratic and 81,845 went Republican.

What is State Senate District 16, Florida's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.

When did State Senate District 16, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in State Senate District 16, Florida?

State Senate District 16, Florida has a population of 346,335 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Florida?

Median household income in State Senate District 16, Florida is $78,070 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Florida?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Florida 16th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

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Frequently asked questions