akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Florida

Florida 15th State Senate District changed direction in the last decade — D+14 in 2024.

One of Florida's most Republican-leaning upper-chamber districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+14
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
422,493
2024 ACS

Florida 15th State Senate District, Florida: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+14%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1892.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
422,4932024 5-year
Median household income
$79,7192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
42.0%2024 5-year
Black
20.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
33.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+92 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+13.6%
97,79974,127174,255
D
+23.1%
113,38270,437185,825
D
+24.7%
94,69056,033156,798
D
+18.2%
78,55154,131133,860
D
+18.6%
78,36253,627132,813
D
+0.2%
55,49955,265111,381
D
+2.0%
40,25238,61580,413
R
−0.2%
30,29330,44266,341
R
−11.0%
23,73331,22668,030
R
−36.6%
15,50633,65149,591
R
−42.9%
13,99335,03749,078
R
−27.0%
13,99825,10241,108
R
−9.2%
16,77520,22237,440
R
−59.5%
6,84327,12934,093
R
−28.1%
6,47214,60228,895
R
−12.2%
10,97814,03125,010
R
−42.0%
5,66313,84819,510
R
−44.1%
4,17110,75914,930
R
−42.1%
3,4858,55712,042
R
−7.4%
2,8883,4367,363
D
+15.3%
3,4472,5335,980
D
+22.0%
3,6802,3536,033
D
+24.9%
2,0991,2613,361
D
+16.1%
1,4001,0112,411
R
−42.0%
7511,8732,674
D
+5.6%
5404741,179
D
+16.0%
5844151,053
D
+48.2%
362119504
D
+56.0%
36165529
D
+29.0%
273139462
D
+45.0%
25190358
D
+32.9%
246115398
D
+30.1%
312162499
D
+92.1%
3280356
—
No data
———
D
+25.4%
536319854
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
8.7%
German
6.5%
English
6.3%
Irish
5.9%
Italian
4.5%
Polish
1.5%
French
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
1.6%
75–84
2.1%
3.6%
65–74
4.3%
5.6%
55–64
5.8%
6.4%
45–54
6.5%
7.5%
35–44
7.5%
8.0%
25–34
8.0%
5.0%
18–24
5.2%
8.0%
5–17
7.7%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$79,719
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$79,719
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.6%
Working age (18–64)11.9%
Seniors (65+)14.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.5%
speak English only
Spanish26.2%
Other Indo-European8.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.8%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
16.0%
Baptist
6.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.1%
Non-Christian
2.7%
Methodist
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+34, this north-central Florida district ranks among the state's most reliably right-leaning senate seats, leaving little competitive ground for either major party to contest in most cycles.

The 2000 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by two points. The 2024 margin was fourteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 422,493, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,719 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Florida voted Democratic by 13.6 points (D+14), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 174,255 votes cast, 97,799 went Democratic and 74,127 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Florida as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Florida voted Republican was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Florida?
State Senate District 15, Florida has a population of 422,493 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Florida?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Florida is $79,719 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.