Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2008D+30.62012D+32.42016D+33.72020D+32.82024D+23.3
full record · 2008 → 2024
D+23.3
2024
median income$66,080U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age36.7U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate16.2%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)39.3%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english38.5%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
African American†22.5%
Haitian6.9%
Jamaican3.3%
American8.0%
German6.0%
English5.8%
Puerto Rican10.7%
Colombian2.5%
Venezuelan2.5%
Asian Indian1.2%
Chinese0.7%
Vietnamese0.7%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Orange County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 15th State Senate District

Akashic
Florida 15th State Senate DistrictHarrisD+23.3
2024
2024 presidential margin for Florida 15th State Senate DistrictThe boundary of Florida 15th State Senate District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (D+23.3), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Florida 15th State Senate District · D+23.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic60.9%119,957
Donald TrumpRepublican37.6%74,090
Jill SteinGreen1.5%2,904
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Florida 15th State Senate District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Orange County, FLDemocraticD+13.6
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
60.9%Harris119,957
37.6%Trump74,090
1.5%Stein2,904
+23.3%
196,951
D
65.8%Biden142,666
33.0%Trump71,522
1.2%Jorgensen2,630
+32.8%
216,818
D
64.8%Clinton123,465
31.2%Trump59,369
4.0%Johnson7,616
+33.7%
190,450
D
66.2%Obama111,300
33.8%Romney56,830
0.0%
+32.4%
168,130
D
64.9%Obama111,266
34.3%McCain58,781
0.8%Nader1,378
+30.6%
171,425
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +23.3% in 2024.+23.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+30.6%
2012+32.4%
2016+33.7%
2020+32.8%
2024+23.3%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
DLaVon Bracy DavisState Senate · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+34, this north-central Florida district ranks among the state's most reliably right-leaning senate seats, leaving little competitive ground for either major party to contest in most cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 9.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.3 points.

A population of 534,207, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,080 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 32.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 3
Pennsylvania
85.8twin score
% WhitePuerto Rican ancestrypopulation scale≠ 2008 margin
State Senate District 32
Florida
85.7twin score
2016–2020 trajectorypopulation scale% White≠ median age
State Senate District 16
Florida
85.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Florida 15th State Senate District

counties it covers1
Orange County

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 15th State Senate District voted Democratic by 23.3 points (D+23.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 196,951 votes cast, 119,957 went Democratic and 74,090 went Republican.
How many people live in Florida 15th State Senate District?
Florida 15th State Senate District has a population of 534,207 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Florida 15th State Senate District is $66,080 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 15th State Senate District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.