| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 882 | 8,193 | 9,116 | |
| 2020 | R | 924 | 8,080 | 9,068 | |
| 2016 | R | 853 | 7,483 | 8,514 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,264 | 6,919 | 8,274 | |
| 2008 | R | 1,446 | 7,033 | 8,589 | |
| 2004 | R | 1,810 | 6,412 | 8,300 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,177 | 5,012 | 7,396 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,312 | 3,249 | 6,804 | |
| 1992 | R | 1,877 | 3,196 | 6,528 | |
| 1988 | R | 1,639 | 4,225 | 5,900 | |
| 1984 | R | 1,231 | 4,548 | 5,779 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,767 | 3,221 | 6,146 | |
| 1976 | D | 3,256 | 1,850 | 5,180 | |
| 1972 | R | 309 | 3,819 | 4,128 | |
| 1968 | R | 312 | 377 | 5,389 | |
| 1964 | R | 1,193 | 3,225 | 4,418 | |
| 1960 | D | 2,370 | 1,235 | 3,605 | |
| 1956 | D | 2,516 | 1,036 | 3,552 | |
| 1952 | D | 3,216 | 1,230 | 4,446 | |
| 1948 | D | 1,799 | 492 | 3,196 | |
| 1944 | D | 2,652 | 908 | 3,560 | |
| 1940 | D | 2,684 | 887 | 3,571 | |
| 1936 | D | 3,213 | 772 | 3,985 | |
| 1932 | D | 2,701 | 429 | 3,130 | |
| 1928 | R | 735 | 2,260 | 3,036 | |
| 1924 | D | 658 | 377 | 1,177 | |
| 1920 | D | 869 | 537 | 1,600 | |
| 1916 | D | 763 | 427 | 1,481 | |
| 1912 | D | 411 | 52 | 672 | |
| 1908 | D | 438 | 337 | 864 | |
| 1904 | D | 284 | 140 | 473 | |
| 1900 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1896 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1892 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | D | 399 | 74 | 473 | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Holmes County, tucked into Florida's western Panhandle, recorded an R+80.2 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in the state—reflecting a rural, small-population electorate with deeply consolidated voting patterns.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Holmes County peaked at seventy-three points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of seven points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Holmes County's median household income of $49,343 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stephens County and Covington County.