Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Florida 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+6.82012R+8.02016R+11.82020R+11.02024R+18.1
full record · 20082024
R+18.1
2024
median income$64,208U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age38.9U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate16.6%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)33.0%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english9.2%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English11.9%
Irish9.3%
German8.7%
African American20.7%
African0.6%
Jamaican0.6%
Mexican2.0%
Puerto Rican1.4%
Cuban0.8%
Asian Indian0.5%
Filipino0.3%
Chinese0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Gulf County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Florida 2nd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionFlorida 2nd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+18.1
Florida 2nd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+18.1, 316 precincts, 3 city labels.
2024
316 precincts by 2024 margin · 3 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −18.1% in 2024.−18.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−6.8%
2012−8.0%
2016−11.8%
2020−11.0%
2024−18.1%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RNeal DunnU.S. House · FL-02+0.51
RMarco RubioU.S. Senate
RRick ScottU.S. Senate+0.73
RAshley MoodyU.S. Senate+0.61

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20242R
38.4%154,323
61.6%247,957
402,280
20222R
40.2%121,153
59.8%180,236
301,389
20202R
0.0%0
97.9%305,337
311,999
20182R
32.6%96,233
67.4%199,335
295,568
20162R
29.9%102,801
67.3%231,163
343,362
20142D
50.5%126,096
49.3%123,262
249,780
20122R
47.2%157,634
52.7%175,856
333,718
20102R
41.4%105,211
53.6%136,371
254,438
20082D
61.9%216,804
38.1%133,404
350,367
20062D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
20042D
61.6%201,577
38.3%125,399
326,987
20022D
66.9%152,164
33.1%75,275
227,439
20002D
72.1%185,579
27.9%71,754
257,403
19982D
95.2%138,440
0.0%0
145,420
19962D
59.4%138,151
40.5%94,122
232,400
19942D
61.3%117,420
38.7%74,040
191,468
19922D
73.4%167,215
26.5%60,425
227,726
19902D
56.9%103,032
43.1%77,939
180,971
19882D
99.7%134,269
0.0%0
134,621
19862D
99.4%110,141
0.0%0
110,766
19842D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
19822D
61.7%79,143
38.3%49,101
128,244
19802D
70.6%138,252
29.4%57,588
195,840
19782D
81.7%112,649
18.3%25,148
137,797
19762D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
42.8%4,603,077
55.6%5,977,706
10,757,428
2022R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534

Florida's 2nd congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in Leon, Bay, Jackson, and Gadsden counties and parts of Walton. About 769,200 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 38.9. Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012, by widening margins. The margin was R+8.0 in 2012, R+11.8 in 2016, R+11.0 in 2020, and R+18.1 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 18.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.1 points.

A population of 769,219, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,208 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 5.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Florida 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Florida 2nd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Florida 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 18.1 points (R+18.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 412,885 votes cast, 166,199 went Democratic and 240,896 went Republican.
How many people live in Florida 2nd Congressional District?
Florida 2nd Congressional District has a population of 769,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 2nd Congressional District is $64,208 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Florida 2nd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.