- Lead
- 144,662
- Total
- 295,972
- vs nation
- R+47.4
Florida 2nd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 127,810
- Total
- 288,434
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Lead
- 124,103
- Total
- 255,854
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Lead
- 108,656
- Total
- 238,002
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Lead
- 100,800
- Total
- 239,704
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Lead
- 101,621
- Total
- 221,431
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Lead
- 64,069
- Total
- 175,843
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Lead
- 35,829
- Total
- 156,687
- vs nation
- R+31.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 538,7692024 5-year
- Population density
- 109 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,936 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,9872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 1, FL · twin score 94.0
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
30.6%
53,770 votes · R+36.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 28.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.0%
218,920 votes · R+48.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 72.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
78,205votes
27.1% of the vote · R+44.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 74,258 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
218,920votes
74.0% of the vote · R+48.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 206,015 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−37.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+36.4 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −43.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.5 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +49.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Florida's 2nd Senate District spans the western Panhandle, where a dense concentration of military installations and retirees has produced some of the state's most consistent Republican margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 70.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.9 points.
A population of 538,769, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,987 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 6.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.