- Lead
- 6,112
- Total
- 39,249
- vs nation
- D+17.0
Virginia 96th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,982
- Total
- 39,957
- vs nation
- D+15.5
- Lead
- 4,401
- Total
- 35,566
- vs nation
- D+10.3
- Lead
- 4,932
- Total
- 34,543
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Lead
- 5,678
- Total
- 35,504
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Lead
- 628
- Total
- 30,002
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 632
- Total
- 25,728
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Lead
- 1,424
- Total
- 21,805
- vs nation
- R+2.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,2332024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,878 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,1552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.1 in 1960MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 23, VA · twin score 87.6
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 96th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
58.9%
23,524 votes · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
50.6%
15,186 votes · R+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 42.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
23,524votes
58.9% of the vote · D+20.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 22,453 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,341votes
41.6% of the vote · D+15.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,542 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+17.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +15.5 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−0.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+2.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −8.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 63.1%15,041 | 36.9%8,806 | 23,847 |
| 2018 | D | 51.2%16,216 | 48.8%15,425 | 31,641 |
Anchored in the densely populated suburbs of Northern Virginia, this district has posted double-digit Democratic presidential margins, reflecting the region's rapid demographic shift toward college-educated and immigrant-origin households over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.1 points in 1960 and a Republican high of 43.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.6 points.
A population of 85,233, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,155 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 23 and State Legislative District 32.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 96th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51096/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.