Akashic

county

Madison County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English17.1%12.0%9.5%

German15.8%10.1%12.5%

Irish12.9%9.1%9.4%

American8.1%8.4%5.3%

Scottish2.7%1.9%1.3%

Italian2.0%3.9%4.8%

Welsh2.0%——

French1.4%1.3%1.6%

African American†7.3%15.6%9.9%

African1.6%0.9%0.5%

Mexican2.3%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.7%1.4%1.8%

Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%

Costa Rican0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Madison County	Virginia	United States
Median age	46.4	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.6%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	23.2%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Madison County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$84,323	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.8%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	27.0%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Madison County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.3%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	3.2%	7.9%	13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic	1.3%	0.4%	0.7%

Religious landscape

Measure	Madison County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	2.4%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	21.8%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	57.4%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	11.8%	8.4%	5.2%
Hindu	6.5%	0.4%	0.4%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 76.7% of 11,084 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic31.8%2,700TrumpRepublican66.9%5,671OtherAll other candidates0.5%41

R+35.0

Lead: 2,971
Total: 8,480
vs nation: R+33.6
Turnout: 76.7%

BidenDemocratic33.2%2,698TrumpRepublican65.2%5,300JorgensenLibertarian1.3%106

R+32.0

Lead: 2,602
Total: 8,129
vs nation: R+36.5
Turnout: 78.9%

ClintonDemocratic31.6%2,203TrumpRepublican63.3%4,419JohnsonLibertarian2.6%184

R+31.8

Lead: 2,216
Total: 6,979
vs nation: R+33.8
Turnout: 68.8%

ObamaDemocratic39.9%2,639RomneyRepublican58.5%3,869OtherAll other candidates1.6%106

R+18.6

Lead: 1,230
Total: 6,614
vs nation: R+22.5
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic42.7%2,862McCainRepublican56.1%3,758OtherAll other candidates1.2%79

R+13.4

Lead: 896
Total: 6,699
vs nation: R+20.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic37.7%2,176BushRepublican61.6%3,556OtherAll other candidates0.7%40

R+23.9

Lead: 1,380
Total: 5,772
vs nation: R+21.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.7%1,844BushRepublican58.5%2,940NaderGreen2.9%148

R+21.8

Lead: 1,096
Total: 5,027
vs nation: R+22.3
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic38.4%1,734DoleRepublican50.9%2,296PerotReform8.0%360

R+12.5

Lead: 562
Total: 4,510
vs nation: R+21.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+35.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 14,0442024 5-year
Median household income: $84,3232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 83.8%2024 5-year
Black: 8.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+29.7 in 1892MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+35.0 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Brown County, IN · twin score 74.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 76.7%8,502 participants ÷ 11,084 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +19.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -4.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 57.6%–62.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	7,026	10,215	68.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	6,062	10,277	59.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,173	10,359	78.9%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	6,527	10,922	59.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	8,502	11,084	76.7%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

18 precincts · 8,480 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Madison County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -007 - BRIGHTWOOD007 - BRIGHTWOOD	389	1,246	17	1,652	23.5%	75.4%	R+51.9
Precinct -005 - MADISON005 - MADISON	544	999	15	1,558	34.9%	64.1%	R+29.2
Precinct -002 - RADIANT002 - RADIANT	502	931	28	1,461	34.4%	63.7%	R+29.4
Precinct -001 - OAK PARK001 - OAK PARK	364	604	13	981	37.1%	61.6%	R+24.5
Precinct -006 - WOLFTOWN006 - WOLFTOWN	282	561	10	853	33.1%	65.8%	R+32.7
Precinct -008 - CRIGLERSVILLE008 - CRIGLERSVILLE	247	472	7	726	34.0%	65.0%	R+31.0
Precinct -003 - ROCHELLE003 - ROCHELLE	199	501	14	714	27.9%	70.2%	R+42.3
Precinct -009 - ETLAN009 - ETLAN	149	310	4	463	32.2%	67.0%	R+34.8
Precinct -004 - GRAVES MILL004 - GRAVES MILL	24	47	1	72	33.3%	65.3%	R+31.9
Brightwood51113000007	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Criglersville51113000008	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Etlan51113000009	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Graves Mill51113000004	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Madison51113000005	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Oak Park51113000001	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Radiant51113000002	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rochelle51113000003	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Wolftown51113000006	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+29.7%
1896	+20.1%
1900	+19.5%
1904	+29.6%
1908	+20.8%
1912	+28.4%
1916	+24.1%
1920	+7.2%
1924	+24.9%
1928	−14.2%
1932	+23.7%
1936	+9.7%
1940	+3.4%
1944	−13.7%
1948	−19.7%
1952	−30.3%
1956	−21.2%
1960	−21.9%
1964	−24.2%
1968	−29.1%
1972	−30.1%
1976	−7.6%
1980	−17.3%
1984	−35.0%
1988	−26.7%
1992	−13.4%
1996	−12.5%
2000	−21.8%
2004	−23.9%
2008	−13.4%
2012	−18.6%
2016	−31.8%
2020	−32.0%
2024	−35.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	31.8%Harris2,700	66.9%Trump5,671	0.4%Oliver37 +4	R+35.0	R+3.0	R+33.6	8,480
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican66.9%5,671 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic31.8%2,700 OtherAll other candidates0.5%41 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%37 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%15 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%10 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%6
2020	R	33.2%Biden2,698	65.2%Trump5,300	1.3%Jorgensen106	R+32.0	R+0.3	R+36.5	8,129
2016	R	31.6%Clinton2,203	63.3%Trump4,419	2.6%Johnson184	R+31.8	R+13.2	R+33.8	6,979
2012	R	39.9%Obama2,639	58.5%Romney3,869	1.6%	R+18.6	R+5.2	R+22.5	6,614
2008	R	42.7%Obama2,862	56.1%McCain3,758	1.2%	R+13.4	D+10.5	R+20.6	6,699
2004	R	37.7%Kerry2,176	61.6%Bush3,556	0.7%	R+23.9	R+2.1	R+21.5	5,772
2000	R	36.7%Gore1,844	58.5%Bush2,940	2.9%Nader148	R+21.8	R+9.3	R+22.3	5,027
1996	R	38.4%Clinton1,734	50.9%Dole2,296	8.0%Perot360	R+12.5	D+1.0	R+21.0	4,510
1992	R	35.6%Clinton1,700	49.0%Bush2,341	13.7%Perot653	R+13.4	D+13.3	R+19.0	4,779
1988	R	35.4%Dukakis1,427	62.1%Bush2,501	2.4%	R+26.7	D+8.4	R+18.9	4,026
1984	R	32.1%Mondale1,302	67.2%Reagan2,723	0.7%	R+35.0	R+17.8	R+16.8	4,055
1980	R	38.4%Carter1,351	55.6%Reagan1,959	6.0%	R+17.3	R+9.7	R+7.5	3,521
1976	R	45.4%Carter1,466	53.0%Ford1,710	1.6%	R+7.6	D+22.6	R+9.6	3,228
1972	R	33.4%McGovern1,338	63.5%Nixon2,545	3.0%	R+30.1	R+1.0	R+7.0	4,005
1968	R	19.6%Humphrey478	48.7%Nixon1,188	31.7%	R+29.1	R+5.0	R+28.4	2,439
1964	R	37.9%Johnson1,128	62.0%Goldwater1,847	0.1%	R+24.2	R+2.3	R+46.7	2,977
1960	R	38.5%Kennedy636	60.4%Nixon998	1.1%	R+21.9	R+0.7	R+22.1	1,653
1956	R	35.7%Stevenson533	56.9%Eisenhower850	7.5%	R+21.2	D+9.1	R+5.8	1,495
1952	R	34.7%Stevenson540	65.0%Eisenhower1,012	0.4%	R+30.3	R+10.6	R+19.5	1,558
1948	R	36.0%Truman428	55.7%Dewey662	8.2%	R+19.7	R+6.0	R+24.2	1,188
1944	R	43.1%Roosevelt616	56.8%Dewey811	0.1%	R+13.7	R+17.1	R+21.1	1,428
1940	D	51.6%Roosevelt692	48.1%Willkie646	0.3%	D+3.4	R+6.3	R+6.5	1,342
1936	D	54.8%Roosevelt804	45.1%Landon662	0.1%	D+9.7	R+14.0	R+14.6	1,467
1932	D	61.5%Roosevelt849	37.8%Hoover522	0.7%	D+23.7	D+37.9	D+5.9	1,380
1928	R	42.9%Smith580	57.1%Hoover772	0.0%	R+14.2	R+39.1	D+3.3	1,352
1924	D	60.7%Davis589	35.7%Coolidge347	3.6%La Follette35	D+24.9	D+17.7	D+50.1	971
1920	D	53.0%Cox499	45.8%Harding431	1.2%	D+7.2	R+16.9	D+33.4	941
1916	D	61.6%Wilson572	37.5%Hughes348	0.9%	D+24.1	R+4.2	D+21.0	928
1912	D	59.4%Wilson402	31.0%Taft210	9.6%	D+28.4	D+7.5	D+8.8	677
1908	D	60.3%Bryan466	39.5%Taft305	0.3%	D+20.8	R+8.8	D+30.4	773
1904	D	64.8%Parker538	35.2%Roosevelt292	0.0%	D+29.6	D+10.1	D+49.3	830
1900	D	59.8%Bryan986	40.2%McKinley664	0.0%	D+19.5	R+0.6	D+27.1	1,650
1896	D	59.9%Bryan1,089	39.8%McKinley724	0.3%	D+20.1	R+9.6	D+26.2	1,818
1892	D	61.8%Cleveland1,115	32.1%Harrison579	6.1%	D+29.7	—	D+28.1	1,804
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	31.1%2,771	68.9%6,139	8,910
2018	R	36.6%2,202	63.4%3,813	6,015

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	33.9%2,839	66.1%5,546	8,385
2020Class II	R	36.2%Mark Warner2,925	63.7%Daniel Gade5,156	8,088
2018Class I	R	37.7%Tim Kaine2,273	60.6%Corey Stewart3,655	6,029
2014Class II	R	34.7%Mark Warner1,418	62.7%Ed Gillespie2,560	4,083
2012Class I	R	40.2%Tim Kaine2,678	59.7%George Allen3,978	6,661
2008Class II	D	57.3%Mark Warner3,701	41.2%Jim Gilmore2,657	6,454
2006Class I	R	41.2%Jim Webb1,864	57.6%George Allen2,607	4,525
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	79.6%John Warner2,117	2,658
2000Class I	R	39.2%Chuck Robb1,943	60.8%George Allen3,010	4,954
1996Class II	R	40.7%Mark Warner1,732	59.2%John Warner2,516	4,252
1994Class I	R	36.6%Chuck Robb1,450	52.5%Oliver North2,080	3,965
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	85.6%John Warner2,030	2,371
1988Class I	D	64.3%Chuck Robb2,379	35.6%Maurice A. Dawkins1,316	3,697
1984Class II	R	25.5%Edythe Harrison962	74.4%John Warner2,809	3,775
1982Class I	R	43.1%Dick Davis1,232	56.9%Paul S. Trible1,627	2,859
1978Class II	D	50.9%Andrew Miller1,318	49.1%John Warner1,271	2,590
1976Class I	D	25.4%Elmo Zumwalt802	0.0%None0	3,159
1972Class II	R	35.4%William B. Spong Jr.857	62.7%Bill Scott1,516	2,419
1970Class I	R	16.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.314	18.5%Ray Garland349	1,885
1966Class II	D	55.7%William B. Spong Jr.692	41.5%James P. Ould Jr.516	1,243
1964Class I	D	76.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,365	10.7%Richard A. May190	1,775
1960Class II	D	87.4%A. Willis Robertson1,273	0.0%None0	1,457
1958Class I	D	84.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.808	0.0%None0	960
1954Class II	D	79.3%A. Willis Robertson493	0.0%None0	622
1952Class I	D	88.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,209	0.0%None0	1,369
1948Class II	D	52.6%A. Willis Robertson571	46.0%Robert H. Woods499	1,085
1946Class I	D	62.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.497	34.9%Lester S. Parsons276	791
1942Class II	D	81.4%Carter Glass332	0.0%None0	408
1940Class I	D	93.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,121	0.0%None0	1,195
1936Class II	D	88.7%Carter Glass907	9.7%George Rohlson99	1,023
1934Class I	D	68.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.430	27.9%Lawrence C. Page174	624
1930Class II	D	71.2%Carter Glass800	0.0%None0	1,124
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson994	0.0%None0	994
1924Class II	D	70.9%Carter Glass646	2.2%William Doak20	911
1922Class I	D	76.9%Claude Swanson673	19.4%J.W. McGavock170	875
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin233	0.0%None0	233
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson915	0.0%None0	915

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	60.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.788	35.2%Lawrence Traylor456	1,295
1933Special · Class I	D	54.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.457	44.3%Henry Wise373	842

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	35.9%Abigail Spanberger2,386	64.0%Winsome Earle-Sears4,259	6,654
2017	R	36.3%Ralph Northam1,789	62.5%Ed Gillespie3,082	4,931
2013	R	34.8%Terry McAuliffe1,575	55.5%Ken Cuccinelli2,510	4,522
2009	R	30.5%Creigh Deeds1,268	69.5%Bob McDonnell2,892	4,163
2005	R	43.2%Tim Kaine1,672	54.4%Jerry Kilgore2,105	3,871
2001	R	44.9%Mark Warner1,794	53.1%Mark Earley2,121	3,992
1997	R	34.7%Don Beyer1,312	63.1%Jim Gilmore2,386	3,782
1993	R	28.2%Mary Sue Terry1,098	71.0%George Allen2,763	3,891
1989	R	40.5%Douglas Wilder1,448	59.4%Marshall Coleman2,121	3,573
1985	D	52.6%Gerald Baliles1,538	47.4%Wyatt Durrette1,385	2,923
1981	D	50.3%Chuck Robb1,561	49.7%Marshall Coleman1,544	3,105
1977	R	41.8%Henry Howell1,300	57.6%John N. Dalton1,789	3,107

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Madison County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	9,155
2018	9,314
2020	9,962
2022	10,366
2024	10,792

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+30 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +496 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $75,472 in average income, against $94,923 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+15.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, VA itself (R+35.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Culpeper County, VA72R+24.9
Orange County, VA39R+24.6
Greene County, VA36R+24.6
Albemarle County, VA29D+33.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Culpeper County, VA57
Orange County, VA35
Greene County, VA31

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Madison County, VA in Madison County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−140
2012	+16
2013	−18
2014	−38
2015	+22
2016	+40
2017	+131
2018	+15
2019	+2
2021	+118
2022	+68
2023	+134
2024	+116
2025	+30

Nestled between the Blue Ridge and the Rapidan River, Madison County's rural character and modest population of roughly 12,500 have produced consistent double-digit Republican presidential margins for over two decades, reaching R+35 in 2024.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.7 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 35.0 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.

A population of 14,044, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,323 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brown County and Louisa County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Brown County

Indiana

74.9twin score

% Catholicmedian incomemedian age≠ elasticity

Louisa County

Virginia

73.5twin score

median income% Catholic% Latino

Piatt County

Illinois

68.5twin score

median incomeEnglish ancestry% Latino

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Madison County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Madison County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Madison County, Virginia voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,480 votes cast, 2,700 went Democratic and 5,671 went Republican.

When did Madison County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Madison County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1940.

How many people live in Madison County, Virginia?

Madison County, Virginia has a population of 14,044 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Madison County, Virginia?

Median household income in Madison County, Virginia is $84,323 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Madison County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Madison County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.

Measure

Madison County

Virginia

United States

Median age

46.4

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

7.6%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

23.2%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Madison County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$84,323

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

10.8%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

27.0%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Madison County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

5.3%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

3.2%

7.9%

13.6%

Russian, Polish, or other Slavic

1.3%

0.4%

0.7%

Measure

Madison County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

2.4%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

21.8%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

57.4%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

11.8%

8.4%

5.2%

Hindu

6.5%

0.4%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+35.0MIT Election Lab

Population

14,0442024 5-year

Median household income

$84,3232024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

83.8%2024 5-year

Black

8.9%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.9%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+29.7 in 1892MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+35.0 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Brown County, IN · twin score 74.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

7,026

10,215

68.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

6,062

10,277

59.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,173

10,359

78.9%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

6,527

10,922

59.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

8,502

11,084

76.7%

A/A

Madison County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -007 - BRIGHTWOOD007 - BRIGHTWOOD

389

1,246

1,652

23.5%

75.4%

R+51.9

Precinct -005 - MADISON005 - MADISON

544

999

1,558

34.9%

64.1%

R+29.2

Precinct -002 - RADIANT002 - RADIANT

502

931

1,461

34.4%

63.7%

R+29.4

Precinct -001 - OAK PARK001 - OAK PARK

364

604

981

37.1%

61.6%

R+24.5

Precinct -006 - WOLFTOWN006 - WOLFTOWN

282

561

853

33.1%

65.8%

R+32.7

Precinct -008 - CRIGLERSVILLE008 - CRIGLERSVILLE

247

472

726

34.0%

65.0%

R+31.0

Precinct -003 - ROCHELLE003 - ROCHELLE

199

501

714

27.9%

70.2%

R+42.3

Precinct -009 - ETLAN009 - ETLAN

149

310

463

32.2%

67.0%

R+34.8

Precinct -004 - GRAVES MILL004 - GRAVES MILL

33.3%

65.3%

R+31.9

Brightwood51113000007

—

No votes

Criglersville51113000008

—

No votes

Etlan51113000009

—

No votes

Graves Mill51113000004

—

No votes

Madison51113000005

—

No votes

Oak Park51113000001

—

No votes

Radiant51113000002

—

No votes

Rochelle51113000003

—

No votes

Wolftown51113000006

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+29.7%
1896	+20.1%
1900	+19.5%
1904	+29.6%
1908	+20.8%
1912	+28.4%
1916	+24.1%
1920	+7.2%
1924	+24.9%
1928	−14.2%
1932	+23.7%
1936	+9.7%
1940	+3.4%
1944	−13.7%
1948	−19.7%
1952	−30.3%
1956	−21.2%
1960	−21.9%
1964	−24.2%
1968	−29.1%
1972	−30.1%
1976	−7.6%
1980	−17.3%
1984	−35.0%
1988	−26.7%
1992	−13.4%
1996	−12.5%
2000	−21.8%
2004	−23.9%
2008	−13.4%
2012	−18.6%
2016	−31.8%
2020	−32.0%
2024	−35.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

31.8%Harris2,700

66.9%Trump5,671

0.4%Oliver37 +4

R+35.0

R+3.0

R+33.6

8,480

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican66.9%5,671
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic31.8%2,700
OtherAll other candidates0.5%41
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%37
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%15
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%10
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%6

2020

33.2%Biden2,698

65.2%Trump5,300

1.3%Jorgensen106

R+32.0

R+0.3

R+36.5

8,129

2016

31.6%Clinton2,203

63.3%Trump4,419

2.6%Johnson184

R+31.8

R+13.2

R+33.8

6,979

2012

39.9%Obama2,639

58.5%Romney3,869

1.6%

R+18.6

R+5.2

R+22.5

6,614

2008

42.7%Obama2,862

56.1%McCain3,758

1.2%

R+13.4

D+10.5

R+20.6

6,699

2004

37.7%Kerry2,176

61.6%Bush3,556

0.7%

R+23.9

R+2.1

R+21.5

5,772

2000

36.7%Gore1,844

58.5%Bush2,940

2.9%Nader148

R+21.8

R+9.3

R+22.3

5,027

1996

38.4%Clinton1,734

50.9%Dole2,296

8.0%Perot360

R+12.5

D+1.0

R+21.0

4,510

1992

35.6%Clinton1,700

49.0%Bush2,341

13.7%Perot653

R+13.4

D+13.3

R+19.0

4,779

1988

35.4%Dukakis1,427

62.1%Bush2,501

2.4%

R+26.7

D+8.4

R+18.9

4,026

1984

32.1%Mondale1,302

67.2%Reagan2,723

0.7%

R+35.0

R+17.8

R+16.8

4,055

1980

38.4%Carter1,351

55.6%Reagan1,959

6.0%

R+17.3

R+9.7

R+7.5

3,521

1976

45.4%Carter1,466

53.0%Ford1,710

1.6%

R+7.6

D+22.6

R+9.6

3,228

1972

33.4%McGovern1,338

63.5%Nixon2,545

3.0%

R+30.1

R+1.0

R+7.0

4,005

1968

19.6%Humphrey478

48.7%Nixon1,188

31.7%

R+29.1

R+5.0

R+28.4

2,439

1964

37.9%Johnson1,128

62.0%Goldwater1,847

0.1%

R+24.2

R+2.3

R+46.7

2,977

1960

38.5%Kennedy636

60.4%Nixon998

1.1%

R+21.9

R+0.7

R+22.1

1,653

1956

35.7%Stevenson533

56.9%Eisenhower850

7.5%

R+21.2

D+9.1

R+5.8

1,495

1952

34.7%Stevenson540

65.0%Eisenhower1,012

0.4%

R+30.3

R+10.6

R+19.5

1,558

1948

36.0%Truman428

55.7%Dewey662

8.2%

R+19.7

R+6.0

R+24.2

1,188

1944

43.1%Roosevelt616

56.8%Dewey811

0.1%

R+13.7

R+17.1

R+21.1

1,428

1940

51.6%Roosevelt692

48.1%Willkie646

0.3%

D+3.4

R+6.3

R+6.5

1,342

1936

54.8%Roosevelt804

45.1%Landon662

0.1%

D+9.7

R+14.0

R+14.6

1,467

1932

61.5%Roosevelt849

37.8%Hoover522

0.7%

D+23.7

D+37.9

D+5.9

1,380

1928

42.9%Smith580

57.1%Hoover772

0.0%

R+14.2

R+39.1

D+3.3

1,352

1924

60.7%Davis589

35.7%Coolidge347

3.6%La Follette35

D+24.9

D+17.7

D+50.1

971

1920

53.0%Cox499

45.8%Harding431

1.2%

D+7.2

R+16.9

D+33.4

941

1916

61.6%Wilson572

37.5%Hughes348

0.9%

D+24.1

R+4.2

D+21.0

928

1912

59.4%Wilson402

31.0%Taft210

9.6%

D+28.4

D+7.5

D+8.8

677

1908

60.3%Bryan466

39.5%Taft305

0.3%

D+20.8

R+8.8

D+30.4

773

1904

64.8%Parker538

35.2%Roosevelt292

0.0%

D+29.6

D+10.1

D+49.3

830

1900

59.8%Bryan986

40.2%McKinley664

0.0%

D+19.5

R+0.6

D+27.1

1,650

1896

59.9%Bryan1,089

39.8%McKinley724

0.3%

D+20.1

R+9.6

D+26.2

1,818

1892

61.8%Cleveland1,115

32.1%Harrison579

6.1%

D+29.7

—

D+28.1

1,804

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

31.1%2,771

68.9%6,139

8,910

2018

36.6%2,202

63.4%3,813

6,015

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

33.9%2,839

66.1%5,546

8,385

2020Class II

36.2%Mark Warner2,925

63.7%Daniel Gade5,156

8,088

2018Class I

37.7%Tim Kaine2,273

60.6%Corey Stewart3,655

6,029

2014Class II

34.7%Mark Warner1,418

62.7%Ed Gillespie2,560

4,083

2012Class I

40.2%Tim Kaine2,678

59.7%George Allen3,978

6,661

2008Class II

57.3%Mark Warner3,701

41.2%Jim Gilmore2,657

6,454

2006Class I

41.2%Jim Webb1,864

57.6%George Allen2,607

4,525

2002Class II

0.0%None0

79.6%John Warner2,117

2,658

2000Class I

39.2%Chuck Robb1,943

60.8%George Allen3,010

4,954

1996Class II

40.7%Mark Warner1,732

59.2%John Warner2,516

4,252

1994Class I

36.6%Chuck Robb1,450

52.5%Oliver North2,080

3,965

1990Class II

0.0%None0

85.6%John Warner2,030

2,371

1988Class I

64.3%Chuck Robb2,379

35.6%Maurice A. Dawkins1,316

3,697

1984Class II

25.5%Edythe Harrison962

74.4%John Warner2,809

3,775

1982Class I

43.1%Dick Davis1,232

56.9%Paul S. Trible1,627

2,859

1978Class II

50.9%Andrew Miller1,318

49.1%John Warner1,271

2,590

1976Class I

25.4%Elmo Zumwalt802

0.0%None0

3,159

1972Class II

35.4%William B. Spong Jr.857

62.7%Bill Scott1,516

2,419

1970Class I

16.7%George C. Rawlings Jr.314

18.5%Ray Garland349

1,885

1966Class II

55.7%William B. Spong Jr.692

41.5%James P. Ould Jr.516

1,243

1964Class I

76.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,365

10.7%Richard A. May190

1,775

1960Class II

87.4%A. Willis Robertson1,273

0.0%None0

1,457

1958Class I

84.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.808

0.0%None0

960

1954Class II

79.3%A. Willis Robertson493

0.0%None0

622

1952Class I

88.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,209

0.0%None0

1,369

1948Class II

52.6%A. Willis Robertson571

46.0%Robert H. Woods499

1,085

1946Class I

62.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.497

34.9%Lester S. Parsons276

791

1942Class II

81.4%Carter Glass332

0.0%None0

408

1940Class I

93.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,121

0.0%None0

1,195

1936Class II

88.7%Carter Glass907

9.7%George Rohlson99

1,023

1934Class I

68.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.430

27.9%Lawrence C. Page174

624

1930Class II

71.2%Carter Glass800

0.0%None0

1,124

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson994

0.0%None0

994

1924Class II

70.9%Carter Glass646

2.2%William Doak20

911

1922Class I

76.9%Claude Swanson673

19.4%J.W. McGavock170

875

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin233

0.0%None0

233

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson915

0.0%None0

915

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

60.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.788

35.2%Lawrence Traylor456

1,295

1933Special · Class I

54.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.457

44.3%Henry Wise373

842

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

35.9%Abigail Spanberger2,386

64.0%Winsome Earle-Sears4,259

6,654

2017

36.3%Ralph Northam1,789

62.5%Ed Gillespie3,082

4,931

2013

34.8%Terry McAuliffe1,575

55.5%Ken Cuccinelli2,510

4,522

2009

30.5%Creigh Deeds1,268

69.5%Bob McDonnell2,892

4,163

2005

43.2%Tim Kaine1,672

54.4%Jerry Kilgore2,105

3,871

2001

44.9%Mark Warner1,794

53.1%Mark Earley2,121

3,992

1997

34.7%Don Beyer1,312

63.1%Jim Gilmore2,386

3,782

1993

28.2%Mary Sue Terry1,098

71.0%George Allen2,763

3,891

1989

40.5%Douglas Wilder1,448

59.4%Marshall Coleman2,121

3,573

1985

52.6%Gerald Baliles1,538

47.4%Wyatt Durrette1,385

2,923

1981

50.3%Chuck Robb1,561

49.7%Marshall Coleman1,544

3,105

1977

41.8%Henry Howell1,300

57.6%John N. Dalton1,789

3,107

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Madison County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	9,155
2018	9,314
2020	9,962
2022	10,366
2024	10,792

How did Madison County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Madison County, Virginia voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,480 votes cast, 2,700 went Democratic and 5,671 went Republican.

When did Madison County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Madison County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1940.

How many people live in Madison County, Virginia?

Madison County, Virginia has a population of 14,044 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Madison County, Virginia?

Median household income in Madison County, Virginia is $84,323 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Madison County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Madison County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.