Caroline County, Virginia
AkashicCaroline County, VATrumpR+8.8
2024 precinct map of Caroline CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Caroline County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin, and gold where an independent or third-party candidate carried the precinct.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 53.7% | 9,511 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 45.0% | 7,957 |
| Chase OliverLibertarian | 0.4% | 66 |
Harris +50Trump +50
25 precincts · 17,698 votes. Hover any precinct for its result.
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45.0%Harris7,957 | 53.7%Trump9,511 | 0.4%Oliver66 | 17,698 | ||
| R | 47.0%Biden7,657 | 51.2%Trump8,336 | 1.6%Jorgensen259 | 16,288 | ||
| R | 45.1%Clinton6,432 | 50.2%Trump7,147 | 2.6%Johnson368 | 14,248 | ||
| D | 53.3%Obama7,276 | 45.1%Romney6,151 | 1.6%Johnson225 | 13,652 | ||
| D | 55.4%Obama7,163 | 43.5%McCain5,617 | 1.1%Nader139 | 12,919 | ||
| R | 49.0%Kerry4,878 | 50.2%Bush4,999 | 0.8%Badnarik77 | 9,954 | ||
| D | 51.7%Gore4,314 | 46.4%Bush3,873 | 1.2%Nader102 | 8,351 | ||
| D | 53.5%Clinton3,897 | 38.7%Dole2,816 | 7.2%Perot521 | 7,285 | ||
| D | 48.6%Clinton3,770 | 38.0%Bush2,947 | 12.4%Perot965 | 7,753 | ||
| D | 50.6%Dukakis3,186 | 48.7%Bush3,065 | 0.7%Fulani41 | 6,292 | ||
| D | 50.7%Mondale3,111 | 48.0%Reagan2,949 | 1.3%Larouche78 | 6,138 | ||
| D | 56.7%Carter2,924 | 40.2%Reagan2,071 | 3.1%Anderson159 | 5,154 | ||
| D | 63.9%Carter3,064 | 34.4%Ford1,648 | 1.8%Camejo84 | 4,796 | ||
| R | 45.9%McGovern1,814 | 52.8%Nixon2,086 | 1.3%Schmitz51 | 3,951 | ||
| D | 48.9%Humphrey2,165 | 26.3%Nixon1,162 | 24.8%Wallace1,099 | 4,426 | ||
| D | 63.6%Johnson2,064 | 36.0%Goldwater1,166 | 0.4%Hass13 | 3,243 | ||
| D | 62.7%Kennedy1,483 | 36.5%Nixon864 | 0.8%Byrd20 | 2,367 | ||
| R | 43.3%Stevenson853 | 46.1%Eisenhower907 | 10.6%Andrews209 | 1,969 | ||
| D | 52.3%Stevenson954 | 47.0%Eisenhower858 | 0.7%Hallinan13 | 1,825 | ||
| D | 55.7%Truman731 | 30.3%Dewey397 | 14.0%Thurmond184 | 1,312 | ||
| D | 72.2%Roosevelt1,004 | 27.5%Dewey383 | 0.3%Thomas4 | 1,391 | ||
| D | 78.5%Roosevelt1,136 | 21.1%Willkie305 | 0.4%Thomas6 | 1,447 | ||
| D | 80.8%Roosevelt1,104 | 18.9%Landon258 | 0.4%Lemke5 | 1,367 | ||
| D | 78.9%Roosevelt1,076 | 19.8%Hoover270 | 1.3%Thomas18 | 1,364 | ||
| D | 50.0%Smith639 | 50.0%Hoover638 | 0.0% | 1,277 | ||
| D | 77.6%Davis840 | 20.6%Coolidge223 | 1.8%La Follette20 | 1,083 | ||
| D | 67.6%Cox665 | 31.3%Harding308 | 1.1%Debs11 | 984 | ||
| D | 75.8%Wilson637 | 23.6%Hughes198 | 0.6%Benson5 | 840 | ||
| D | 68.1%Wilson590 | 16.6%Taft144 | 15.2%Roosevelt132 | 866 | ||
| D | 59.7%Bryan494 | 39.4%Taft326 | 0.8%Debs7 | 827 | ||
| D | 60.7%Parker501 | 38.4%Roosevelt317 | 1.0%Debs8 | 826 | ||
| R | 48.2%Bryan1,077 | 51.2%McKinley1,144 | 0.6%Woolley14 | 2,235 | ||
| R | 46.0%Bryan1,293 | 53.4%McKinley1,502 | 0.6%Palmer18 | 2,813 | ||
| R | 43.7%Cleveland1,235 | 47.6%Harrison1,343 | 8.7%Weaver245 | 2,823 | ||
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.8% |
| 1896 | −7.4% |
| 1900 | −3.0% |
| 1904 | +22.3% |
| 1908 | +20.3% |
| 1912 | +51.5% |
| 1916 | +52.3% |
| 1920 | +36.3% |
| 1924 | +57.0% |
| 1928 | +0.1% |
| 1932 | +59.1% |
| 1936 | +61.9% |
| 1940 | +57.4% |
| 1944 | +44.6% |
| 1948 | +25.5% |
| 1952 | +5.3% |
| 1956 | −2.7% |
| 1960 | +26.2% |
| 1964 | +27.7% |
| 1968 | +22.7% |
| 1972 | −6.9% |
| 1976 | +29.5% |
| 1980 | +16.6% |
| 1984 | +2.6% |
| 1988 | +1.9% |
| 1992 | +10.6% |
| 1996 | +14.8% |
| 2000 | +5.3% |
| 2004 | −1.2% |
| 2008 | +12.0% |
| 2012 | +8.2% |
| 2016 | −5.0% |
| 2020 | −4.2% |
| 2024 | −8.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 19,597 |
| 2018 | 20,292 |
| 2020 | 21,743 |
| 2022 | 22,757 |
| 2024 | 24,411 |
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Caroline sits between Richmond and Fredericksburg along the I-95 corridor, blending exurban growth with a historically rural population. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+8.8 reflects a pattern of gradual realignment visible across Virginia's outer-ring counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 8.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.8 points.
A population of 32,098, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,407 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mason County and Knox County.
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Compare two places, side by side
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Caroline County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Caroline County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Caroline County, Virginia voted Republican by 8.8 points (R+8.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,698 votes cast, 7,957 went Democratic and 9,511 went Republican.
When did Caroline County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Caroline County, Virginia voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Caroline County, Virginia?
Caroline County, Virginia has a population of 32,098 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Caroline County, Virginia?
Median household income in Caroline County, Virginia is $87,407 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Caroline County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Caroline County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.