- Lead
- 988
- Total
- 20,343
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- 64.7%
Pasquotank County, NC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.7% of 31,683 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 19,897
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- 65.4%
- Lead
- 435
- Total
- 17,391
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- 57.5%
- Lead
- 2,649
- Total
- 18,107
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,494
- Total
- 18,180
- vs nation
- D+6.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 375
- Total
- 13,648
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 931
- Total
- 10,903
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,234
- Total
- 7,822
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,8342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,5892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 34.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bolivar County, MS · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.7%20,490 participants ÷ 31,683 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.9%–48.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 17,391 | 30,264 | 57.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,458 | 30,047 | 44.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,956 | 30,510 | 65.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,550 | 31,226 | 46.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,490 | 31,683 | 64.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 20,343 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PROPRO | 1,271 | 2,594 | 45 | 3,910 | 32.5% | 66.3% | R+33.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MHMH | 1,582 | 1,888 | 52 | 3,522 | 44.9% | 53.6% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -NIXNIX | 1,026 | 2,070 | 34 | 3,130 | 32.8% | 66.1% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -EASTEAST | 1,266 | 998 | 30 | 2,294 | 55.2% | 43.5% | D+11.7 |
| Precinct -SOUTHSOUTH | 1,477 | 422 | 32 | 1,931 | 76.5% | 21.9% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -WESTWEST | 1,228 | 375 | 24 | 1,627 | 75.5% | 23.0% | D+52.4 |
| Precinct -NEWNEW | 628 | 877 | 8 | 1,513 | 41.5% | 58.0% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -NORTHNORTH | 814 | 567 | 22 | 1,403 | 58.0% | 40.4% | D+17.6 |
| Precinct -SALSAL | 257 | 746 | 10 | 1,013 | 25.4% | 73.6% | R+48.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −18.7% |
| 1896 | −18.8% |
| 1900 | −3.5% |
| 1904 | +54.9% |
| 1908 | +39.3% |
| 1912 | +72.6% |
| 1916 | +62.6% |
| 1920 | +54.8% |
| 1924 | +59.9% |
| 1928 | +41.0% |
| 1932 | +79.5% |
| 1936 | +81.7% |
| 1940 | +73.5% |
| 1944 | +49.4% |
| 1948 | +43.7% |
| 1952 | +26.0% |
| 1956 | +23.7% |
| 1960 | +42.5% |
| 1964 | +28.4% |
| 1968 | +14.9% |
| 1972 | −28.9% |
| 1976 | +23.6% |
| 1980 | +10.2% |
| 1984 | −9.3% |
| 1988 | −1.8% |
| 1992 | +13.5% |
| 1996 | +15.8% |
| 2000 | +8.5% |
| 2004 | +2.7% |
| 2008 | +13.7% |
| 2012 | +14.6% |
| 2016 | +2.5% |
| 2020 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | −4.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Pasquotank County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 13-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 26,675 | 14,687 | 5,672 | 6,296 | 20 |
| 2012 | 29,446 | 15,385 | 5,856 | 8,117 | 88 |
| 2016 | 28,677 | 13,602 | 6,004 | 8,924 | 147 |
| 2020 | 28,763 | 11,698 | 6,973 | 9,869 | 223 |
| 2022 | 29,225 | 11,196 | 7,329 | 10,492 | 208 |
| 2024 | 32,029 | 10,937 | 8,226 | 12,518 | 348 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+614 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −373 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,398 in average income, against $62,629 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.8 on average — 9.9 points more Republican-leaning than Pasquotank County, NC itself (R+4.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chesapeake city, VA108D+3.8
- Virginia Beach city, VA99D+2.6
- Perquimans County, NC96R+39.3
- Camden County, NC83R+50.7
- Currituck County, NC78R+47.8
- Norfolk city, VA45D+41.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Perquimans County, NC108
- Chesapeake city, VA77
- Camden County, NC62
- Virginia Beach city, VA49
- Currituck County, NC48
- Wake County, NC43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −480 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | −984 |
| 2014 | −332 |
| 2015 | −243 |
| 2016 | −112 |
| 2017 | −113 |
| 2018 | +94 |
| 2019 | +112 |
| 2021 | +229 |
| 2022 | +360 |
| 2023 | +323 |
| 2024 | +220 |
| 2025 | +614 |
Pasquotank, anchored by Elizabeth City on the Albemarle Sound, has shifted from a battleground to a modest Republican lean — the 2024 presidential margin landed at R+4.9, reflecting broader rural realignment in northeastern North Carolina.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 40,834, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,589 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bolivar County and Macon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pasquotank County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.