akashic
1876–2024
Gainesville·Virginia

Gainesville moved 17.2 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

20082024·5 elections
VA
Gainesville
HarrisD+6.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic51.4%5,371
Donald TrumpRepublican45.1%4,715
OtherAll other candidates3.6%373
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +6.3% in 2024.flipped D · 2016+6.3%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−0.1%
2012−2.0%
2016+4.4%
2020+23.5%
2024+6.3%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
51.4%Harris5,371
45.1%Trump4,715
3.6%
+6.3%
10,459
D
60.9%Biden4,355
37.4%Trump2,676
1.7%incl. Jorgensen
+23.5%
7,150
D
49.4%Clinton3,999
45.0%Trump3,643
5.6%incl. Johnson
+4.4%
8,097
R
49.0%Obama2,968
51.0%Romney3,090
0.0%
−2.0%
6,058
R
49.6%Obama2,522
49.7%McCain2,528
0.7%
−0.1%
5,085

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorGainesvilleCityVirginiaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White55.0%60.2%61.0%
Black14.7%18.6%12.2%
Asian14.7%6.9%6.0%
Two or more races12.5%9.5%12.6%
Other race3.1%4.8%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino11.6%11.0%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$174,410$93,170$84,427
Poverty rate4.0%10.0%12.5%
Median age37.239.339.1
Age 18–248.9%9.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older11.3%16.7%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)44.9%42.3%35.6%
Speaks a non-English language at home36.5%17.5%22.3%
Spanish20.0%7.9%13.6%
Other Indo-European5.5%2.6%2.0%
Other languages3.8%1.1%0.8%
Arabic1.5%0.8%0.4%
Ancestry
Largest ancestrySalvadoran 8.5%English 12.0%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryGerman 8.2%German 10.1%Mexican 11.3%
3rd-largest ancestryEnglish 7.7%Irish 9.1%English 9.5%
Religion
Catholic15.2%County context10.2%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant12.8%County context19.9%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed59.1%County context54.3%51.5%
Muslim5.2%County context2.0%1.3%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
8.2%
English
7.7%
Irish
7.3%
American
3.9%
Italian
3.6%
Polish
1.6%
Scottish
1.5%
French
1.1%
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
Ghanaian
1.5%
African
1.3%
Ethiopian
1.2%
Jamaican
0.4%
Nigerian
0.3%
Somali
0.2%
Sierra Leonean
0.2%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian
0.2%
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Asian Indian
2.0%
Pakistani
1.3%
Filipino
1.2%
Korean
1.2%
Afghan
0.9%
Vietnamese
0.8%
Chinese
0.5%
Bangladeshi
0.5%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Salvadoran
8.5%
Mexican
4.0%
Puerto Rican
2.0%
Peruvian
2.0%
Guatemalan
1.8%
Honduran
1.5%
Bolivian
1.2%
Colombian
0.6%
Tribal grouping · detailed group · ACS B02020 · B02016
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Maya
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
63.5%
speak English only
Spanish20.0%
Other Indo-European5.5%
Other languages3.8%
Arabic1.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island1.4%
Korean1.0%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.9%
Vietnamese0.8%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.4%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.4%
German or other West Germanic0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
15.2%
Evangelical Protestant
12.8%
Muslim
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Black Protestant
1.7%
Latter-day Saints
1.5%
Other Christian
0.5%
Orthodox Christian
0.4%
Buddhist
0.1%
Unaffiliated or not counted59.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Gainesville sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 2.0 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 17.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.3 points.

A population of 18,196, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $174,410 describe the city.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5130176/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Gainesville, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, Virginia voted Democratic by 6.3 points (D+6.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 10,459 votes cast, 5,371 went Democratic and 4,715 went Republican.
What is Gainesville, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Gainesville, Virginia in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the city has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did Gainesville, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, Virginia voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Gainesville, Virginia?
Gainesville, Virginia has a population of 18,196 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, Virginia?
Median household income in Gainesville, Virginia is $174,410 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Gainesville, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Gainesville, Virginia from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The city's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.