akashic
1876–2024
State House District 21·Virginia

Virginia 21st State House District changed direction in the last decade — D+18 in 2024.

One of Virginia's most Republican-leaning state house seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+18
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
122,490
2024 ACS

Virginia 21st State House District, Virginia: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+18%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+18MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
122,4902024 5-year
Median household income
$131,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
43.2%2024 5-year
Black
20.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
26.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+73 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1984MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+17.9%
32,85522,60157,304
D
+27.0%
35,79520,35057,140
D
+21.1%
28,34917,97049,219
D
+16.0%
25,89018,65645,148
D
+15.9%
23,41016,94340,701
R
−6.4%
15,35217,48333,089
R
−8.0%
11,21113,22625,183
R
−7.4%
8,3849,84519,654
R
−11.8%
6,6368,87818,962
R
−34.4%
4,8109,93514,896
R
−38.1%
3,9168,76712,729
R
−26.3%
3,2045,7789,801
R
−0.7%
3,8123,8707,898
R
−33.3%
3978021,215
R
−12.7%
1,3951,9904,682
R
−25.4%
3796381,018
D
+6.4%
7486571,413
R
−4.3%
464507995
D
+1.0%
414406826
D
+19.3%
291190522
D
+27.5%
336191528
D
+48.4%
360125486
D
+53.1%
379115497
D
+58.4%
37697478
D
+0.5%
207205412
D
+49.5%
21267293
D
+33.4%
19798296
D
+59.2%
18948238
D
+72.9%
20421251
D
+56.7%
18550238
D
+51.7%
18157240
D
+33.0%
338170509
D
+29.6%
336182520
D
+33.8%
340166515
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.2%
English
7.7%
Irish
7.3%
American
3.9%
Italian
3.6%
Polish
1.6%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.5%
1.5%
75–84
1.9%
3.3%
65–74
3.7%
5.9%
55–64
5.8%
7.0%
45–54
6.9%
7.5%
35–44
7.5%
6.4%
25–34
6.4%
4.7%
18–24
4.2%
10.2%
5–17
9.5%
3.5%
<5
3.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$131,402
State House District 21 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 21$131,402
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.8%
Working age (18–64)5.5%
Seniors (65+)7.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
63.5%
speak English only
Spanish20.0%
Other Indo-European6.8%
Other languages5.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.6%
Other Christian
9.7%
Non-Christian
5.4%
Baptist
3.7%
Methodist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+69.7, this district sits at the far end of Virginia's partisan spectrum — the kind of lopsided rural or exurban terrain where statewide candidates rarely invest resources.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by sixteen points. The 2024 margin was eighteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 122,490, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,402 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 21, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 21, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 21, Virginia voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+18), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 57,304 votes cast, 32,855 went Democratic and 22,601 went Republican.
What is State House District 21, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 21, Virginia as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 21, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 21, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State House District 21, Virginia?
State House District 21, Virginia has a population of 122,490 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 21, Virginia?
Median household income in State House District 21, Virginia is $131,402 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State House District 21, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 21, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.