- Lead
- 31,583
- Total
- 104,676
- vs nation
- D+31.6
Virginia 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 41,009
- Total
- 107,747
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Lead
- 30,573
- Total
- 96,246
- vs nation
- D+29.7
- Lead
- 19,494
- Total
- 90,697
- vs nation
- D+17.6
- Lead
- 17,955
- Total
- 84,897
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Lead
- 1,920
- Total
- 71,628
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 2,237
- Total
- 59,981
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Lead
- 2,368
- Total
- 50,420
- vs nation
- R+13.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 217,7772024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,951 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 73.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $139,5512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 34, VA · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
68.1%
73,366 votes · D+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 63.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
48.2%
34,549 votes · D+2.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 39.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
73,366votes
68.1% of the vote · D+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 66,661 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
35,078votes
33.5% of the vote · D+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 34,963 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+33.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +31.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−5.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+2.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −13.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 33rd State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 40.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 217,777, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $139,551 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 34 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.