Dale City, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +16.1% |
| 2008 | +37.0% |
| 2012 | +39.4% |
| 2016 | +43.1% |
| 2020 | +43.2% |
| 2024 | +28.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 62.2%Harris18,923 | 33.9%Trump10,312 | 3.9% | D+28.3 | R+14.9 | D+29.8 | 30,433 | |
| D | 70.7%Biden22,662 | 27.5%Trump8,812 | 1.8% | D+43.2 | D+0.2 | D+38.8 | 32,037 | |
| D | 69.1%Clinton19,596 | 26.1%Trump7,387 | 4.8% | D+43.1 | D+3.7 | D+41.0 | 28,344 | |
| D | 69.0%Obama17,880 | 29.6%Romney7,670 | 1.4% | D+39.4 | D+2.5 | D+35.5 | 25,912 | |
| D | 68.1%Obama17,169 | 31.1%McCain7,852 | 0.8% | D+37.0 | D+20.9 | D+29.7 | 25,214 | |
| D | 57.6%Kerry11,262 | 41.6%Bush8,121 | 0.8% | D+16.1 | — | D+18.5 | 19,543 |
Dale City is one of Virginia's most diverse unincorporated communities, with a large share of residents holding federal or military jobs — a demographic mix that has made Prince William County one of the state's most closely watched suburban battlegrounds.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.3 points.
A population of 71,016, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,994 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Woodbridge and Carson.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Dale City, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5121088/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.