Sudley, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +2.3% |
| 2008 | +24.5% |
| 2012 | +28.0% |
| 2016 | +32.0% |
| 2020 | +31.9% |
| 2024 | +14.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 56.1%Harris2,976 | 41.5%Trump2,205 | 2.4% | D+14.5 | R+17.4 | D+16.0 | 5,308 | |
| D | 65.0%Biden3,941 | 33.1%Trump2,008 | 1.9% | D+31.9 | R+0.1 | D+27.4 | 6,064 | |
| D | 62.5%Clinton3,678 | 30.6%Trump1,798 | 6.9% | D+32.0 | D+4.0 | D+29.9 | 5,884 | |
| D | 63.2%Obama3,350 | 35.3%Romney1,868 | 1.5% | D+28.0 | D+3.5 | D+24.1 | 5,299 | |
| D | 61.6%Obama3,125 | 37.1%McCain1,883 | 1.2% | D+24.5 | D+22.2 | D+17.2 | 5,069 | |
| D | 50.6%Kerry2,040 | 48.3%Bush1,947 | 1.0% | D+2.3 | — | D+4.8 | 4,029 |
Sudley sits in western Prince William County, where rapid residential expansion since the 1990s has reshaped the electorate toward a younger, diverse commuter base that has trended competitive in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 17.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.5 points.
A population of 19,162, a 22% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,309 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bull Run and Hutchison.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Sudley, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5176416/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.