Independent Hill, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −25.5% |
| 2008 | −3.5% |
| 2012 | −4.2% |
| 2016 | +2.0% |
| 2020 | +15.1% |
| 2024 | +13.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 55.4%Harris3,434 | 41.9%Trump2,594 | 2.7% | D+13.6 | R+1.5 | D+15.0 | 6,194 | |
| D | 56.7%Biden3,461 | 41.6%Trump2,539 | 1.8% | D+15.1 | D+13.1 | D+10.6 | 6,108 | |
| D | 48.0%Clinton2,523 | 46.0%Trump2,418 | 6.1% | D+2.0 | D+6.2 | R+0.1 | 5,260 | |
| R | 47.3%Obama2,303 | 51.5%Romney2,509 | 1.3% | R+4.2 | R+0.7 | R+8.1 | 4,874 | |
| R | 48.0%Obama2,097 | 51.5%McCain2,250 | 0.6% | R+3.5 | D+22.0 | R+10.8 | 4,372 | |
| R | 37.0%Kerry1,375 | 62.5%Bush2,324 | 0.5% | R+25.5 | — | R+23.1 | 3,718 |
Independent Hill sits in the outer Washington metro ring, where rapid residential expansion since the 2000s has drawn a diverse, commuter-heavy population that has made Prince William County one of Virginia's most competitive jurisdictions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 25.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.6 points.
A population of 10,853, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $204,886 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South Run and Difficult Run.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Independent Hill, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5139544/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.