- Lead
- 5,580
- Total
- 9,062
- vs nation
- D+63.0
- Turnout
- 87.5%
Falls Church city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 87.5% of 10,414 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,656
- Total
- 8,819
- vs nation
- D+59.7
- Turnout
- 87.7%
- Lead
- 4,495
- Total
- 7,757
- vs nation
- D+55.9
- Turnout
- 81.8%
- Lead
- 2,868
- Total
- 7,276
- vs nation
- D+35.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,725
- Total
- 6,750
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,870
- Total
- 6,098
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 978
- Total
- 5,593
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 731
- Total
- 4,284
- vs nation
- D+8.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+61.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,7102024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,355 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $143,2622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fairfax city, VA · twin score 94.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 87.5%9,109 participants ÷ 10,414 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.7%–72.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,846 | 9,595 | 81.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,282 | 9,557 | 76.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,837 | 10,075 | 87.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,659 | 10,421 | 63.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,109 | 10,414 | 87.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 9,062 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -003 - THIRD WARD003 - THIRD WARD | 2,607 | 587 | 79 | 3,273 | 79.7% | 17.9% | D+61.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001 - FIRST WARD001 - FIRST WARD | 2,318 | 517 | 75 | 2,910 | 79.7% | 17.8% | D+61.9 |
| Precinct -002 - SECOND WARD002 - SECOND WARD | 2,275 | 516 | 88 | 2,879 | 79.0% | 17.9% | D+61.1 |
| First Ward51610000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Second Ward51610000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Third Ward51610000003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Falls Church city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1952–2024 · 19 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
81.0%
7,146 votes · D+64.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 79.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
68.8%
1,340 votes · R+39.8
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 59.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
7,200votes
79.5% of the vote · D+61.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,146 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,684votes
52.6% of the vote · R+5.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 2,485 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+63.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+61.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +59.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+16.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.8 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +8.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,248 |
| 2018 | 10,509 |
| 2020 | 11,125 |
| 2022 | 11,117 |
| 2024 | 11,893 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +767 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $127,034 in average income, against $239,940 for residents who stayed — 47% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+46.4 on average — 15 points more Republican-leaning than Falls Church city, VA itself (D+61.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fairfax County, VA292D+34.7
- Arlington County, VA165D+58.1
- District of Columbia, DC50D+83.8
- Alexandria city, VA36D+57.1
- Loudoun County, VA32D+16.2
- Montgomery County, MD29D+52.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fairfax County, VA330
- Arlington County, VA102
- District of Columbia, DC47
- Alexandria city, VA44
- Loudoun County, VA38
- Montgomery County, MD31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +125 |
| 2012 | +240 |
| 2013 | +144 |
| 2014 | −134 |
| 2015 | +191 |
| 2016 | −257 |
| 2017 | +506 |
| 2018 | +71 |
| 2019 | +8 |
| 2021 | −210 |
| 2022 | −90 |
| 2023 | +135 |
| 2024 | +37 |
| 2025 | +1 |
This small independent city inside the D.C. suburbs recorded a 62-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, driven by a highly educated, high-income professional population that has shifted sharply leftward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 39.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.
A population of 14,710, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $143,262 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fairfax city and Charlottesville city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Falls Church city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51610/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.